Oklahoma Weather Discussion - February/March 2013

[MonkeesFan]

This is how Oklahomans react

Click on it to make the picture bigger

[Dustin]

this is how anyone from the south reacts :d

click on it to make the picture bigger

ftfy

[bandnerd]

Venture -- any totals on actual precip yesterday? It rained for so long, and a good steady rain at that, I was hoping to hear a good number!

[Plutonic Panda]

Did we even get an inch of snow anywhere in OKC? Norman, Edmond, Yukon, Guthrie?

[jn1780]

The NWS forecast was actually pretty close. It was about 50 miles too far to the southeast. Which of course left the metro area out of the snow party and everyone knows only the people in the metro area matter.

[Bill Robertson]

I'm sitting in my nice warm office instead of shoveling or plowing snow as I expected to be right now. I'd be doing cartwheels across the hangar but I'd hurt something.

[okcboomer]

Bust or no bust really doesn't matter. The fact that we received beneficial rain should be enough to keep everyone happy. Just a couple of months ago we were wondering if we'd ever break the dry cycle. Let's keep things in perspective and hope we can have a nice wet spring.

[kelroy55]

Even though we didn't get the snow I was hoping for I still want to thank Venture, Anonymous and the others that contributed to keeping us informed. Forecasting isn't an exact science and Mother Nature doesn't always cooperate and do what she's supposed to do.

[RadicalModerate]

I'm sitting in my nice warm office instead of shoveling or plowing snow as I expected to be right now. I'd be doing cartwheels across the hangar but I'd hurt something.

One (of many) things that I don't really understand is why people would want or hope for snow instead of rain. OK, it's white instead of clear . . . I don't get it. Is it the snow forts, igloos, snowball fights, snowmen, sledding or what? One of the reasons I moved to Oklahoma decades ago was to get away from a lot of snow.

[BrettM2]

Even though we didn't get the snow I was hoping for I still want to thank Venture, Anonymous and the others that contributed to keeping us informed. Forecasting isn't an exact science and Mother Nature doesn't always cooperate and do what she's supposed to do.

+1. I've come to use this board more and more, and the local news less and less.

[AP]

Even though we didn't get the snow I was hoping for I still want to thank Venture, Anonymous and the others that contributed to keeping us informed. Forecasting isn't an exact science and Mother Nature doesn't always cooperate and do what she's supposed to do.

This. I spent all day yesterday on this board, and I really appreciate the effort you guys put into keeping us all informed.

[BrettM2]

Venture -- any totals on actual precip yesterday? It rained for so long, and a good steady rain at that, I was hoping to hear a good number!

The KOCO Tornado app has a rainfall option and shows 1.08" at WRWA to 1.36" in Edmond.

[Anonymous.]

All amounts will rise in N, W, and NW OK as the snow melts into the guages:






And this is a map of totals from essentially the entire month of February: [snow melt is still not accounted for yet in the same areas listed above]

[NoOkie]

From some quick and dirty googling, that's over twice the normal rain for February.

I'll take it.

[Of Sound Mind]

With apologies to our well-respected meteorologists here...

[SomeGuy]

Mike Morgan was kinda right

[venture]

Here is the snow total map updates from NWS Norman...the tight gradient definitely came true. 1" in W OKC to 8-9" in Canadian County. So roughly 30 miles from a little dusting to the city being pretty well a mess today.

[venture]

Mike Morgan was kinda right

Keep in mind Morgan was forecasting 3-6" still through yesterday morning until he backed off. So while we jumped ship earlier that most, he still bit the bait with most of us instead of sticking to the forecast models that kept the accumulating snow west of OKC since Friday.

[Bill Robertson]

One (of many) things that I don't really understand is why people would want or hope for snow instead of rain. OK, it's white instead of clear . . . I don't get it. Is it the snow forts, igloos, snowball fights, snowmen, sledding or what? One of the reasons I moved to Oklahoma decades ago was to get away from a lot of snow.

I grew up in Oklahoma so I didn't move here to get away from snow. But after the blizzards of '09/'10 I swore if it ever did that again we're moving to Florida.

[venture]

Totals from out in the Panhandles. The models didn't really zero in on the widespread heavy snow amounts out there until the event was pretty much underway.

[RadicalModerate]

I grew up in Oklahoma so I didn't move here to get away from snow. But after the blizzards of '09/'10 I swore if it ever did that again we're moving to Florida.

Although I gave up motorcycles a long time ago . . . (we only had a three month riding season). =)
I think I used to hate the shoveling the most. the other snow stuff was alright but not worth the cost.

Thanks, Again, Venture! really.

[BoulderSooner]

One (of many) things that I don't really understand is why people would want or hope for snow instead of rain. OK, it's white instead of clear . . . I don't get it. Is it the snow forts, igloos, snowball fights, snowmen, sledding or what? One of the reasons I moved to Oklahoma decades ago was to get away from a lot of snow.

i enjoy getting a snow day and not going to work

[ou48A]

As always take this with grain of salt

https://www.facebook.com/ATsFans
Aaron Tuttle Meteorologist (weatherman)
40 minutes ago.

Next Winter Storm Update: Yeah, like I said, there's always another storm, eventually. So I took a peak at the long range model info. Remember we're stuck in an active and colder than normal pattern through the 3rd week of March. That means things can sneak up on you. However, right now, indications are that the next *big* snow storm for parts of Oklahoma will be around the weekend of March 9th. I've gotten lucky on these long range forecasts all winter; let's see if this one pans out too. Once we get within a few days of the arrival, we'll be able to detail the location and timing, assuming nothing changes of course. Stay tuned!

[jn1780]

As always take this with grain of salt

https://www.facebook.com/ATsFans
Aaron Tuttle Meteorologist (weatherman)
40 minutes ago.

Next Winter Storm Update: Yeah, like I said, there's always another storm, eventually. So I took a peak at the long range model info. Remember we're stuck in an active and colder than normal pattern through the 3rd week of March. That means things can sneak up on you. However, right now, indications are that the next *big* snow storm for parts of Oklahoma will be around the weekend of March 9th. I've gotten lucky on these long range forecasts all winter; let's see if this one pans out too. Once we get within a few days of the arrival, we'll be able to detail the location and timing, assuming nothing changes of course. Stay tuned!

Hopefully, the storm part will pan out regardless of what form the liquid falls in. March 9th is pushing it for winter weather. A couple of degrees higher and their wouldn't have been a blizzard out west yesterday.

[venture]

I would say more of a chance of snow right now, not really a big snow storm. There is no run-to-run consistency yet on the system for March 9th/10th.

06Z Feb 25: Light snow Western PH and far NE OK.
12Z Feb 25: Light accumulation far NE OK, storm system sticks to mainly Ohio Valley.
18Z Feb 25: No system.
00Z Feb 26: Light snow accumulation body of OK.
06Z Feb 26: Moderate to Heavy Snow over SW, SC, and Central OK into NE OK.
12Z Feb 26: Light snow far Eastern OK.

If Tuttle is defining "right now" as a run from last night and not that latest one, sure. However, until there is any consistent indication that this is going to be a significant storm it is all throwing darts in a dark room. If I was officially forecasting this I would say there are good indications we might have snow in the state on one of those two days, and I would favor Eastern OK since that is the only constant in this.

Comparison between the 12Z (first graphic) and the earlier 6Z snowfall forecast.