Re: Thunder media market?
I would think OKC's catchment area is quite large. I would think it could extend the entire state of Oklahoma (of course) then perhaps 100-200 miles in either direction from the state line, with the exception of some overlap in the South Oklahoma/Red River area with Dallas. If true, this catchment area could include cities such as Tulsa (of course), Wichita (also, of course), Amarillo, Lubbock (maybe), Ft Smith, Joplin.
The catchment might even extend further into Missouri and Arkansas, especially since the Thunder is good - you might have many 'bandwagon' fans now that might just turn into die hard Thunder fans in the future. So this might include Little Rock, Kansas City, all of Kansas, maybe even Omaha and Albuquerque.
But it is difficult to say that with certain, because it really depends upon where Bennett is marketing. Clearly, he is marketing within 100 miles of the state line (save DFW, perhaps); but I think the catchment could be further out into cities that are sympathetic/friends/traditional allies with OKC (like Lubbock and Amarillo, maybe Little Rock) but also to regional markets with no NBA team (such as KC, OMA, and perhaps STL) since the Thunder is doing good.
The key to defining the catchment is to look when the Thunder aren't a novelty anymore and/or aren't doing so good. Then, you would get a clear picture of where the fans are. .. I would still think the 100 miles from the OK border argument would stand and maybe further into W Texas due to OKC sympathy/allie. I honestly dont think Dallas has much catchment outside of DFW/N TX anymore, with OKC and Oklahoma/Kansas being gone now.
And Im almost certain, with rising stars the Thunder has - our catchment is a bit larger than the 100-200 miles away from the border it otherwise 'should' be.
What's interesting, is OKC's catchment could be significantly larger than the Sonic's. Seattle Sonics did not carry the whole state, as Portland catches all of SW Washington once you go South past Olympia. Portland also catches much of far S. Washington, especially when they are doing good.
So if you exclude the Vancouver powerhouse (which is debatable whether anybody up there would support the NBA Seattle Sonics with any real numbers), you'd only have perhaps Alaska, Montana, N. Idaho and the Northern 2/3 of Washington as Seattle Sonics catchment. I estimate the population of that region to be almost 5M people (WA=4.2M, N ID/MT = 400K, AK = 400K). Salt Lake would catch most of ID and even part of E. Oregon, and Wyoming.
If you look at OKC's 100-200 mile from border argument I propose, that is 3.65M in OK (assuming S. OK is really Thunder territory, which I think it probably is), S. KS (at least) 1M, W. AR/SW MO 1M, and W TX 500K; totalling at least 6.05M.
so, if you believe my estimates; OKC's catchment is at least 6M people whereas Seattle's catchment (minus Vancouver) was barely 5M. I really dont think you could include any if all of Vancouver in Seattle's catchment because there was NEVER any commercials or products or even promotions of Sonics in Vancouver, except when Vancouver had an NBA team - then they had "some" of their own promotion. I can say that Vancouver get's some of Seattle's tv stations on cable, so it was possible for some to watch when games were broadcast on local tv; but I'd hardly call that catchment particularly since it would be even harder to say with certainty that ANYBODY in vancouver watched.
so, given this - OKC is a larger catchment area than Seattle; who would have thunk. ..
I think what would have made Seattle's catchment larger is if 1) they shared games or pre-season with Vancouver 2) they had a canadian player on the team like Steve Nash who is from Vancouver btw 3) if they had a Chinese player (Yao Ming) or an Indian player on the team (as these are the largest populations in Vancouver). But nope to all of these.
Coincidentally, Portland had a pre-season game in Vancouver this year, and it was well attended. So now Portland's catchment area is quite large with almost all of OR, say 3M, all of WA 6.5M, Alaska 400K; 10M people. Add in Vancouver and you'd get over 14M.
Maybe this is what the NBA was also looking at. Portland could very well carry the Pac NW as Portland definitely has games broadcast in Seattle (on cable tv) and many who love the game are 'converting' over.
OKC was an untapped but potentially huge market. OKC wasn't really Mavericks fans, despite HUGE marketing in what was considered Dallas' largest catchment city. Dallas also couldn't really claim KS and the heartland either. But OKC can much easier, especially with a winning season.
Dallas still has a huge catchment, I'd say all of N Tx, up to 8M people. But with OKC, the NBA has most likely captured a 'dark hole' in the middle of the country - over time, this should improve the NBA's market share and as players get better so does the long term fanbase. Look no further than San Antonio, Phoenix, and Utah for examples.
Oklahoma City, the RENAISSANCE CITY!
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