General Weather Discussion - June 2015

[FighttheGoodFight]

I'll take a weekend cooldown. My body is ready.

[Teo9969]

o0o…that circle is almost right over Canton. 7 inches up there would be quite nice.

I'd be fine with 2 inches in the Metro.

[okatty]

It's toasty today! WOW. Smokin'!!

[turnpup]

OK, I didn't realize just how !@$#ing hot it was when my car is out in the sun! I'm so spoiled to it being in the garage most of the time.

[okatty]

Altus...101 today.

[Robert_M]

Anyone see Aaron Tuttle's latest prediction? He said he doubts any where in the state hits 100 this summer.

Altus...101 today.

Couldn't resist

[okatty]

Good one! You had more energy than I did and actually quoted it!

[Anonymous.]

GFS painting heaviest rain in NW OK over weekend, then spreading E heading into next week.

NAM painting heaviest over SW and C OK over weekend.


Either way, sounds like the remaining parts of the state that are technically in "drought" categories, will have that wiped out after next week.

[venture]

SLGT RISK today from west/south of a Walters - Lawton - Eakly - Elk City - Sweetwater line.
MRGL RISK today west/south of a line from Shattuck - Enid - Cushing - Prague - Ada - Ardmore.

All modes possible, but coverage pretty thin when it comes to the severe stuff. Should get more coverage in storms in general into the afternoon before it appears everything should line up and move east. Few boundaries around with this morning's activity should also help spark a few isolated storms ahead of any main area.

[Bunty]

GFS painting heaviest rain in NW OK over weekend, then spreading E heading into next week.

NAM painting heaviest over SW and C OK over weekend.


Either way, sounds like the remaining parts of the state that are technically in "drought" categories, will have that wiped out after next week.

Up to 7.5 inches of rain forecast in Oklahoma during next 7 days - Tulsa World: Weather

[ou48A]

In a related note…. By now probably 2/3 of my neighbors have a new roof. Since mind wasn’t leaking I’m glad my new roof will be installed after what is hopefully the last bout of severe weather for this season?

But somebody needs to come up with a better roofing system that stands up to grapefruit size hail… This is my 3 new 30 year roof in 13 years. For others, it’s their 4th.

The Texas Tech wind research center does a decent job in this area but since severe weather is very costly to our states resident and to our state’s economy researching how buildings could better survive severe weather is one area of research where I would like to see OU get into….
Now that we normally have pretty good several weather warnings that save lives IMHO structure integrity is the next great area for improvement that can come though research. It would further protect lives and property.

[venture]

Slight Risk area expanded. Now running south/west of a line from Shattuck - Seiling - Hinton - Elgin - Walters.

[Anonymous.]

In a related note…. By now probably 2/3 of my neighbors have a new roof. Since mind wasn’t leaking I’m glad my new roof will be installed after what is hopefully the last bout of severe weather for this season?

But somebody needs to come up with a better roofing system that stands up to grapefruit size hail… This is my 3 new 30 year roof in 13 years. For others, it’s their 4th.

The Texas Tech wind research center does a decent job in this area but since severe weather is very costly to our states resident and to our state’s economy researching how buildings could better survive severe weather is one area of research where I would like to see OU get into….
Now that we normally have pretty good several weather warnings that save lives IMHO structure integrity is the next great area for improvement that can come though research. It would further protect lives and property.

Spend the money and get a metal roof. Go even further and get a white one for extra energy cost savings. More durable, more energy efficient, and saves you money.

Most insurance companies have discounts on premiums if you have a metal roof.

[venture]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0990 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0330 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN OK AND NWRN TX/TX PANHANDLE CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 293... VALID 122030Z - 122230Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS OUTSIDE OF WW 293. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...WITH WW ISSUANCE POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...SFC CONVERGENCE ALONG A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/TROUGH HAS LED TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION NORTH OF CDS /IN THE NE CORNER OF WW 293/. THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY SFC TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S AND SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /MEAN MIXING RATIOS AROUND 14-15 G PER KG/...YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES UPWARDS OF 1500 J/KG. MOREOVER...ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE ERN PERIPHERY OF AN APPROACHING IMPULSE IS YIELDING APPROX 30-35 KTS OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR...ADEQUATE FOR UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION. AS SUCH...MORE VIGOROUS/ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE ABILITY OF THIS AREA OF CONVECTION TO SUSTAIN ITSELF INTO SWRN OK/NWRN TX OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. MORE LIKELY...WITH FORCING FOR ASCENT IMPINGING UPON THE AREA AND UPSCALE GROWTH OF UPSTREAM CONVECTION ACROSS THE WRN TX PANHANDLE...A GREATER THREAT MAY MATERIALIZE LATER THIS EVENING AS ONE OR TWO CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES PROGRESS INTO THE MCD AREA. NONETHELESS...TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL WW ISSUANCE. ..PICCA/CORFIDI.. 06/12/2015

[venture]

Urgent - immediate broadcast requested
severe thunderstorm watch number 295
nws storm prediction center norman ok
355 pm cdt fri jun 12 2015

the nws storm prediction center has issued a

* severe thunderstorm watch for portions of
western and central oklahoma
western north texas

* effective this friday afternoon and evening from 355 pm until
1100 pm cdt.

* primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

summary...scattered thunderstorms and possible supercells now
forming in western ok and over the tx south plains expected to
move/develop generally northeastward through mid-evening...with an
accompanying risk for severe hail and wind.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles south
southwest of altus oklahoma to 40 miles east northeast of alva
oklahoma. For a complete depiction of the watch see the
associated watch outline update (wous64 kwns wou5).

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Remember...a severe thunderstorm watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally
do produce tornadoes.

[Anonymous.]

Perfect timing for Frederick Radar to be getting its clothes pins reattached.

[Bunty]

A look at how the rain has been going for the last 7 days in Oklahoma. 60% chance of thunderstorms tonight. Fortunately, no tornadoes during this rainy period, so far.

[BB37]

This week's rains have been good for Canton; the lake has picked up another four feet of elevation this week, now 5 feet below normal.

[Bunty]

More rain tonight possible after midnight coming from the Texas panhandle.

[OKCisOK4me]

More rain tonight possible after midnight coming from the Texas panhandle.

That stuff musta hit a wall because it looked impressive at one point and then later on it just poofed out.

[John1744]

This tiny little popcorn storm just dumped a ton of water on Harrah for about 10 minutes. Gone as quickly as it appeared though.

[venture]

Today just a bunch of isolated little storms with a lot of water. Filling in really quick along/east of I-44 now.

Big weather story this week for us will be what happens with Invest 91. This could mean another 5 to 10 inches of rain over the state...

[Eddie1]

I wish I was smarter...can't understand nothin'...*

[John1744]

From what I understand basically a developing tropical storm that could impact us quite a bit.

[venture]

Yeah sorry, got distracted and didn't finish my thoughts very well. Developing tropical system could move up over OK the next few days. When this happens, a large amount of tropical moisture will come with it and the remaining system will have enough lift to cause showers/storms to keep forming. Severe weather usually doesn't come with this, outside of a tornado threat due to enhanced low level spin around the low - but flooding is really going to be our concern with this one.