General Weather Discussion - March 2015

[bandnerd]

Which is why people should just come to this thread.

We don't have viewers to please and ratings to sustain. We don't have a 10-day with cloud and sun graphics. We don't have vague percentages and a 'bus stop forecast'. I love this thread because it is about the models and science involved in forecasting. We are able to post constantly in a time of ever changing conditions. We don't have set schedules to deliver the weather forecast.

We are simply here reporting on the data we see coming in and add our own analysis that is often based upon experience.

We definitely know by now, you can't get them all right - but when you do, the bust-pitchforkers sure get quiet

[BoulderSooner]

Which is why people should just come to this thread.

We don't have viewers to please and ratings to sustain. We don't have a 10-day with cloud and sun graphics. We don't have vague percentages and a 'bus stop forecast'. I love this thread because it is about the models and science involved in forecasting. We are able to post constantly in a time of ever changing conditions. We don't have set schedules to deliver the weather forecast.

We are simply here reporting on the data we see coming in and add our own analysis that is often based upon experience.

We definitely know by now, you can't get them all right - but when you do, the bust-pitchforkers sure get quiet

This is why this thread is my go to for weather

[venture]

Latest Update....

Heavy band of sleet/snow developing now from Purcell SW to Marlow...Walters...and near Wichita Falls. Movement is generally Northeast. Should be in Norman in about an hour. Further to the SW the dry slot continues to fill in over North Texas, so we keep trending towards precip finally starting to fall - on a consistent basis.

[bradh]

man if that dry slot was never there today, we could have seen some hefty snowfall totals it seems

what's the deal for tomorrow, sunny right off the bat in the morning?

[mblackwell]

Latest Update....

Heavy band of sleet/snow developing now from Purcell SW to Marlow...Walters...and near Wichita Falls. Movement is generally Northeast. Should be in Norman in about an hour. Further to the SW the dry slot continues to fill in over North Texas, so we keep trending towards precip finally starting to fall - on a consistent basis.

Or....it will fall apart right before reaching OKC. NOBODY KNOWS.






something like that right?

[Okiezmom]

I am one who always comes here for weather info. What I read here is much more trustworthy than what I hear on television. Thanks for putting in the time and effort to keep us informed. You all are appreciated!

[mblackwell]

Kudos to Venture, Anom, and everyone else who contributes to this thread with great info. So glad to have this resource, seriously.

[venture]

Radar update....

Side by side of the radars at Frederick (left) and Twin Lakes (right). You can see how the dry air is keep a lot of heavy moisture from falling in the area I have circled. The FDX radar shows moderate precip, the TLX radar has very little. I will say as I am typing this, snow fall is picking up rapidly now in Norman so it is start to punch through.

[okatty]

So is this now infamous "dry slot" an unusual thing or does it happen a lot with winter storms?

[Achilleslastand]

There are two words I have learned here and have come to hate
"dry slot"
"heat dome"

[okatty]

There are two words I have learned here and have come to hate
"dry slot"
"heat dome"

Do i hear "polar vortex"?

[mblackwell]

Looks like the dry slot is trying to give way, no?

[venture]

So is this now infamous "dry slot" an unusual thing or does it happen a lot with winter storms?

Dry slot is very common with winter storms.

[SoonerDave]

I remember about five years back a big winter storm spun up around Christmas" but got "dry slotted" and ended up being a feint as thus one has become so far. Just more fun in forecasting winter weather in Oklahoma!

[okatty]

Light snow falling far NW OKC now...flakes are actually somewhat sizeable.

[s00nr1]

I have never seen the HRRR perform as poorly as it has today. Totally useless.

[yukong]

Nice snow ongoing out NW. Sara and Hefner.

[venture]

Moderate snow with some blowing in Norman, visibility probably about a half mile at best.

[OKCRT]

Looks like it finally made to NW OKC. Now how much is the question?

[FritterGirl]

Downtown OKC still high and apparently, dry-slotted. Not a drop, flake or pellet.

[LocoAko]

I love watching the snow blowing off the roofs. Snow is trying to stick to roads here.

[BoulderSooner]

Downtown OKC still high and apparently, dry-slotted. Not a drop, flake or pellet.

Not true. Light snow has been falling for a while in downtown

[SoonerDave]

Snowing pretty now in SW OKC. Dryslot be darned.

[venture]

Listening to the news this afternoon, for whatever reason some think the snow will be lightening up by 6PM. Not really sure I'm buying that based on the bands out there. We have the one moderate/heavy snow band setting up now along I-44 from the south Metro down to Frederick. Another moderate/heavy snow band from Kingfisher back through Hollis and Mangum to Childress.

[FritterGirl]

Not true. Light snow has been falling for a while in downtown

Not outside my window.

Edited: Scratch that. Noticeable precip coming down now. Doesn't look exactly like snow, at least not flaky snow.