General Weather Discussion - January/February 2015

[venture]

The story has always been this was going to be a degree or two off from rain or a decent icing event. Wet bulb temp in Norman is at 32 now, so Norman could escape with just a cold rain. Below freezing for the rest of the Metro to the west of I-44.

[LocoAko]

Rain has started in central OKC with a temperature of 32F and a wet bulb temperature of 31F. Lovely.

[venture]

Norman is up above freezing, this should hold and prevent any major icing here.

[Easy180]

Looks like we dodged a bullet which is great since we typically only need to dodge 3 or 4 each winter

[jn1780]

Norman is up above freezing, this should hold and prevent any major icing here.

Really most of the metro except maybe the far western sides should easily reach above freezing this afternoon.

[Tydude]

NWS could dropped the Ice Storm Warning for the OKC Metro area.OKC is above Freezing

[OKCisOK4me]

Fine by me.

[venture]

More accurately, the entire metro area except for the eastern sections, are under a Winter Wx Adv through 6AM tomorrow.

[Anonymous.]

Wonder why they would wait so late to post advisories ahead of storm. Then when it is obvious it will be too warm, they go and put out IceStormWarning.

Head scratcher...

[SoonerDave]

Okay, help me here a bit. This morning's wave is liquid, not frozen....but I thought a second wave comes thru tonight. Frozen or solid? Already cancelled (well, postponed) a small bday event today due to ice potential...but if tonight is just liquid, could still go out this evening......all in OKC metro area.

[venture]

Okay, help me here a bit. This morning's wave is liquid, not frozen....but I thought a second wave comes thru tonight. Frozen or solid? Already cancelled (well, postponed) a small bday event today due to ice potential...but if tonight is just liquid, could still go out this evening......all in OKC metro area.

Today through tomorrow morning is the main storm system coming through. Some reports of sleet mixing in with heavier cells, but overall we should be a cold rain here unless temps drop a few degrees.

[Bobby821]

Well this winter storm was a real bust. So when can we expect the next winter weather event??

[venture]

Well this winter storm was a real bust. So when can we expect the next winter weather event??

Maybe for your specific location, but areas just west of us are in line for some pretty intense icing if you notice the stream of moisture coming up from TX.

[Bobby821]

Maybe for your specific location, but areas just west of us are in line for some pretty intense icing if you notice the stream of moisture coming up from TX.

Yeah, we missed out so I am looking forward to the next winter weather event. hopefully we get some good snow or freezing rain here in the metro before winter is over. Just bummed got all excited about it and turns out to be just rain showers.

[Anonymous.]

January 10ish is next storm system.

[kevinpate]

So, if I were to contemplate going from Norman into south OKC this afternoon (59th/Penn(ish), and back to Norman before 6, not a bad travel idea or a dude, what were you thinking sort of idea? Sounds like the former but if not, someone speak up.

[venture]

Look ahead...

January 9th earliest wave via GFS, P-GFS holds it off until the 10th. Transition to rain/mix before storm moves out by the 11th. GEM holds it off until the 11th and all rain.

Operational GFS	Parallel GFS	GEM

[Bobby821]

Doesn't sound like a promising storm system for anything but mostly rain. not that rain is not a good thing, but why does it have to be so hard to get snow and winter precip in Oklahoma these days. When I was growing up in the 70's and early 80's it seems like we used to have more snowy winters.

[Anonymous.]

kevinpate, essentially all of OK is fine for traveling today. Even SW OK is now getting above freezing. I bet ice storm warnings will be dropped for all of OK soon.

Luck of the draw, Bobby. Some systems come out at the perfect time, some come too early or late. Just imagine if this storm system came through on Tuesday or Wednesday.

[jn1780]

Yeah, the areas below freezing are shrinking rather quickly.

[Bobby821]

All right, I am done crying around about it. Just like all weather geeks we get excited for weather events then when they don't turn out as expected or are duds it is a little bit of a letdown process.

[venture]

Ice Storm Warnings dropped...Winter Wx Adv remains west of US 81.

[kevinpate]

Thanks, though a bit of a rats I suppose about missing out on a long winter's nap.

[jn1780]

Even the Winter WX ADV west of US 81 will probably be dropped at the rate temps are going up.

[OKCRT]

Bummer was holding out for some snow..