General Weather Discussion - July 2016

[Bobby821]

Looks like the ridge of death may be retrograding somewhat to the west starting next weekend bringing us under NW flow and some rain chances and maybe cooler temps as well.

[OKCisOK4me]

Looks like the ridge of death may be retrograding somewhat to the west starting next weekend bringing us under NW flow and some rain chances and maybe cooler temps as well.

Not from what I saw on DP's forecast...still 95 and up next Mon-Wed.

[damonsmuz]

Most Mets will likely use climatology to forecast next week before jumping on board the potential "cooler" pattern. Climo is your friend at the end of July

[Bobby821]

My post was from the afternoon discussion from NWS as to what the GFS and ECMWF were hinting at starting next weekend.

[Anonymous.]

Yup, GFS last few runs has began attempting to put a wetter pattern into the southern plains starting around Monday. If it comes to fruition, then that puts the second time in a row that the death ridge was unable to last more than about a week.

[Bobby821]

Yup, GFS last few runs has began attempting to put a wetter pattern into the southern plains starting around Monday. If it comes to fruition, then that puts the second time in a row that the death ridge was unable to last more than about a week.

Lets hope the GFS continues this course..

[Bill Robertson]

Lets hope the GFS continues this course..

Amen!

[shavethewhales]

Anyone got any feelings on the storms for next week? I might be taking a trip and I'm worried that if I do my house will get roughed up again without me being there to fix things. Chances look low for my area, but that's what they said last time...

[Achilleslastand]

Anyone got any feelings on the storms for next week? I might be taking a trip and I'm worried that if I do my house will get roughed up again without me being there to fix things. Chances look low for my area, but that's what they said last time...

Yep, ditto for me. One local station has Wednesdays high around 86 while the other 2 are saying much warmer with storm chances anywhere from 20-50%.

[Anonymous.]

These likely won't be storms you need to worry about. Moreso a hope that they travel over your backyard kind of storm. We are becoming very dry so far this year, last year was truly an outlier.

GFS still putting best chances Monday-Wednesday. Keep in mind, these look to be pretty random, must like what we saw a couple weeks ago.

[Anonymous.]

Models are becoming more confident in rain and storm development across the state this evening. Also are suggesting prolonged rainfall over a very localized area somewhere near/over central OK.

[bradh]

Been raining steadily at MacArthur and NW 150th for a good while now.

[jompster]

Well that was quite a rain storm. I had to get out in it to drive home, and found a lake on I-240 and a rushing river on I-35. Chaos everywhere near the junction of the two. Twenty miles per hour and wipers at full speed and couldn't see the lines on the road much less the next available exit.

[Bunty]

Models are becoming more confident in rain and storm development across the state this evening. Also are suggesting prolonged rainfall over a very localized area somewhere near/over central OK.

WOW. As this map shows, that is just what happened in the OKC area:

[Anonymous.]

Yea the models nailed that last night. VERY good rainfall for C OK. Saved the grass for another couple weeks.

May see redevelopment of rain and storms over C OK throughout the day, especially if we stay in the sunshine and destabilize a little more.

[LakeEffect]

Yea the models nailed that last night. VERY good rainfall for C OK. Saved the grass for another couple weeks.

May see redevelopment of rain and storms over C OK throughout the day, especially if we stay in the sunshine and destabilize a little more.

Amazing model verification.

[baralheia]

At our place near SW 59th and Walker, we picked up at least 5 1/4" of rain in the last 24 hours. I say at least because the rain gauge was completely full this morning. The streets in our neighborhood were absolute rivers last night and the lighting and thunder were incredible!

[SomeGuy]

Can we have a nice night rain for once instead of Heavy downpours and loud thunder

[Anonymous.]

This is Oklahoma. Normally the only time you get a gentle rain with little thunderstorm activity is in late fall and in the winter.


Storm chances look to be increasing today as air is very unstable ahead of a drifting boundary layer that will come out near the KS/OK border. Look for a cu field to develop over eastern and central parts of the state this afternoon and evening. Thus, sparking random thunderstorms that will drift south.

[Anonymous.]

SPC has expanded areas from C OK to NW OK to a SLIGHT risk for overnight damaging wind event. Models are becoming increasingly bullish on a potentially significant wind event taking place overnight from E CO and W KS and racing southeast toward the C OK area.

Question still remains if the complex will still pack a punch by the time it makes it very far into Oklahoma. I would say from south of Woodward to about Enid, has a good shot at seeing these storms before dissipation.

As for now, current CU field is looking healthy between Woodward and up towards Ponca City. We should see pop-up storms begin forming in the next 2-3 hours and pushing towards the I-40 corridor.

[Anonymous.]

The wind-damaging line of storms collapsed just after hitting OKC, perfect timing for great rainfall this AM.

[Bobby821]

Will storms redevelop this afternoon/overnight ?

[Anonymous.]

Will storms redevelop this afternoon/overnight ?

Unlikely during the day. But late overnight tonight into Sat morning there is a chance we could see another round. But not a done deal, at this time.

[Bobby821]

Unlikely during the day. But late overnight tonight into Sat morning there is a chance we could see another round. But not a done deal, at this time.

The long lasting gentle rain this morning has been nice

[FighttheGoodFight]

The long lasting gentle rain this morning has been nice

I left my sprinklers on this morning.... Dang it