General Weather Discussion - May 2019

[jn1780]

Mesonet says tornado potential very low for the metro and slight storm chances, which I equate marginal and slight the same, so it back to regularly scheduled programming for me. Why should I even pay attention at that point. I am glad no one is hyping it but at don't lie to me and say something might happen when it probably won't. I am done paying attention to the weather. But I do want summer to get here sooner rather than later.

Actually its low, not very low. You would be correct that it's not the main threat. Bit there always a chance of embedded tornados in a squall line especially when low level jet is at its strongest in the evening. Usually nothing big or major but people need to be aware none the less.

[sacolton]

Wonder what our drought level is at?

[jn1780]

Wonder what our drought level is at?

Zero counties are in drought. There is only so much extra water that the land and plants can hold so this extra rain doesn't help.

[NikonNurse]

But it wasn’t historic by any means either like many were saying. I am just glad storm season is essentially over. Bring on summer.

The flooding is starting to go the historic route.

[NikonNurse]

I’m surprised no one is speaking about the was it one or was it not one that happened this evening near down town.

[OKCbyTRANSFER]

Kind of caught me by surprise, I had turned off the TV thinking it was nowhere near the city and then I received a text from a friend alerting me to take shelter, as downtown was about to get hit. It looks like nothing happened, it started raining like the devil after all that.

[SoonerDave]

Must agree even I was caught off guard last night, even though I knew there could be a rumbler rolling through later. Was at a friend's house when some lightning started, then a quick glance of some info showed there was a lowering and some rotation near WRWA! That was a "yikes" moment, so I sped home in case I needed to get my family organized and sheltered. Obviously nothing came of it, but it was a reminder how things can change quickly. Like everyone else, I'll be glad when this pattern shifts to be more summer-like....

[C_M_25]

I’m ready for a summer pattern too, but it’s going to be a long recovery for our lakes, rivers, and towns. If it stopped raining today, I bet you wouldn’t see things get back to normal till the end of June or early July. Unfortunately, we all know that the rain isn’t going to stop today. This will be a costly recovery for Oklahoma.

[OKCRT]

All this rain I wonder if lake Optima out in western ok panhandle got any?

[Anonymous.]

Storms are on going again out west in a tornado watch. We will likely see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued in a bit for C OK with these storms forming into another line/cluster much like last night and pushing east.

My guess is similar timing to yesterday with OKC impacts felt around 9-10pm.

[d-usa]

Tornadoes hitting OKC.

[OKC Guy]

El Reno hit hard

Fairgrounds to Capitol to Zoo as well

[d-usa]

Lake Thunderbird area now.

[OKC Guy]

El Reno Councilwoman confirms fatalities at hotel.

[OKC Guy]

Damage at 12th/Portland

Damage at 23rd/Classen

[Bellaboo]

Panhandle didn't get in on the flooding the rest of Oklahoma got.

[sacolton]

Looks like another huge line of storms developing in the west.

[Bits_Of_Real_Panther]

Damage at 12th/Portland

Damage at 23rd/Classen

Question:

This is the area around gatewood/ NW 23rd and Classen...

The damage to Mutts, Trinity Church, Rainbow records building, was that technically a low grade tornado or just " a spin up ", or was it like "strong, straight line gust front winds" ?

All of the above?

TIA.

[Anonymous.]

SPC has upgraded to Enhanced Risk across most of C OK and up into NE OK.

Should see storms develop just west of I-35 corridor this afternoon. Guessing around 6-7pm for OKC area. Tornado probabilities are low, around 5%. Main threat will be hail and flash flooding. There is a chance of exceptionally large hail with any cells that remain discrete with strong updraft rotation.

[Anonymous.]

Tornado Watch is out for all of C OK. Probability of 2 or more tornadoes is 60%.

Crisp CU field is evidenced on satellite and we should see storm initiation around 5pm.

[Ginkasa]

Tornado Watch is out for all of C OK. Probability of 2 or more tornadoes is 60%.

Crisp CU field is evidenced on satellite and we should see storm initiation around 5pm.

CU FIELD- Cumulus clouds covering a large spatial area.

http://www.theweatherprediction.com/jargon/

To save anyone else the Google.

[SoonerDave]

CU FIELD- Cumulus clouds covering a large spatial area.

http://www.theweatherprediction.com/jargon/

To save anyone else the Google.

Just means that a broad area of cloud development has started in an area that is favorable for transition from plain cumulus clouds into thunderstorms (cumulonimbus clouds).

[Anonymous.]

Nice shear profiles for supercells present across the area. I have highlighted the area where storms will develop in current CU field. I poorly attempted to show with colorful arrows how the wind at different levels of the atmosphere will induce supercell development due to wind shear. I tried placing the arrows where you can kind of see the direction clouds are being blown at various heights.

Blue arrow is surface winds coming in from the SE.
Pink arrow is mid-level winds coming in from the SW.
Green arrow is upper-levels screaming in from the WSW.





EDIT: Had my colors wrong for initial post.

[soonerguru]

Nice shear profiles for supercells present across the area. I have highlighted the area where storms will develop in current CU field. I poorly attempted to show with colorful arrows how the wind at different levels of the atmosphere will induce supercell development due to wind shear. I tried placing the arrows where you can kind of see the direction clouds are being blown at various heights.

Blue arrow is surface winds coming in from the SE.
Pink arrow is mid-level winds coming in from the SW.
Green arrow is upper-levels screaming in from the WSW.





EDIT: Had my colors wrong for initial post.

Cumulous towers going up now at 4 p.m. in northern Caddo County near Hinton. Cumulous going up west of El Reno.

[Anonymous.]

Storm coming into El Reno is going to be serious business from the looks of it.


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