March 2024 - General Weather Discussion

[LakeEffect]

Comin' in hot...

[Anonymous.]

As this rain/sleet batch moves out, we will have south winds continue to bring in warmer air. Should be upper 60s in OKC tomorrow with increasing winds - which means back into the 70s and 80s over the weekend. Another front comes in Monday, but not very strong. Should knock highs down into the 60s for next week.

Spring has arrived.

[Brett]

Almost March and OKC almost got snow.

[BoulderSooner]

Almost March and OKC almost got snow.

we had a brief period of giant snow flakes yesterday afternoon just west of down town ..

[TheTravellers]

we had a brief period of giant snow flakes yesterday afternoon just west of down town ..

Yeah, drove through it at 36th/May-ish about 4:15.

[SoonerDave]

Is this lower cloud deck going to burn off later this morning?

[BG918]

Looking at the last few model runs have again pushed most of the upcoming rainfall this week east toward Arkansas. This is something we’ve seen the past couple springs that I thought was due to our drought but wouldn’t be the case this year. Hopefully we can get a little rain from one of these systems to ease the fire danger across the state.

[bison34]

Looking at the last few model runs have again pushed most of the upcoming rainfall this week east toward Arkansas. This is something we’ve seen the past couple springs that I thought was due to our drought but wouldn’t be the case this year. Hopefully we can get a little rain from one of these systems to ease the fire danger across the state.

Like usual.

[BG918]

GFS forecasted rainfall through the weekend. Most of the rain will be Thursday into Friday morning. Cooler weekend on tap with highs in 50's. Potentially heavier rains the following week.

[Bunty]

Surprising how bad the wildfires were in the Texas panhandle and NW Oklahoma, considering there is no serious drought going on there. But tends to be dry out there for time of year.

[BG918]

Surprising how bad the wildfires were in the Texas panhandle and NW Oklahoma, considering there is no serious drought going on there. But tends to be dry out there for time of year.

The unusually wet late summer and fall in that area caused the prairie grasses to be much higher and thicker than normal. That coupled with the recent dry weather in February plus high winds and low humidities created the fire situation we saw last week.

[Bunty]

Wow, didn't know the 2012 Glencoe fire destroyed 53 homes. Fortunately, “We don’t have a Glencoe situation on our hands,” said Jeff Kuhn, emergency management director for Payne County, “but some of the conditions are there.”

https://www.stwnewspress.com/news/no...ticle-nav-next

[Anonymous.]

After a few beautiful weather days, we are going back to some action.

SPC going with Slight Risk across roughly all of W OK for severe storms developing Thursday evening. Right now it is unlikely the storms stay severe if/when they move into C OK. We could see some low clouds hang around C OK after some quick morning showers.

This storm system is non-traditional in the sense that the low is actually tracking (while weakening) from N to S rather than traditional W-E. So for OKC, I would forecast best rain chances for early Thursday, then a break before potentially getting remnants from any storms out west Thursday night. Then finally we would be getting wrap-around on Friday as the system falls apart and jumps east. Early Friday is the best shot for OKC to see meaningful rain.


Friday after the wind shift, temps will plummet into the 30s for the evening - perhaps a few snowflakes with any lingering precipitation. Saturday will be highs in 50s with strong N winds. Sunday looks great.

[Anonymous.]

Morning update: SPC has re-mapped the risk to include OKC and all points to the NW. Primary threats will be hail and damaging winds if storms can hold together after dark and make it to C OK.

[Anonymous.]

Cloud deck did not stick around C OK, so we are warming up significantly. SPC has increased coverage of Slight Risk area and added increased damaging wind potential for C OK.

Storms will likely form into a line/cluster after moving out of W OK and push E into OKC area. Roughly around midnight for C OK impacts.

[BG918]

HRRR showing the line moving through OKC between 10-11 and Tulsa between 11-12 tonight

[Anonymous.]

SVR Watch is out for all of W and C OK. Runs to 10pm.

[Anonymous.]

Rogue severe cell out ahead of the main line has come up between Lawton and Anadarko, hail threat will need to be monitored if it comes toward OKC since it is currently isolated.

EDIT: this storm is now dead.

[bison34]

Okc going to get missed by these storms? Seem to want to stay north of the metro.

[BoulderSooner]

north edmond had a good amount of rain and some small hail ..

[BG918]

Another round of rain and imbedded t-storms expected this afternoon across central OK moving east this evening.

HRRR 2 pm


Cool and windy weekend then quiet weather most of next week until the next storm system arrives Thursday 3/14

[BG918]

Rain chances return Thursday into Friday. SE OK favored for higher totals

GFS rainfall through Sunday

[LakeEffect]

OKC metro is on the western edge of the Marginal Risk (1 our of 5) for severe storms this afternoon - mostly a wind and hail threat, but tornado threat is non-zero as well.

Tomorrow (Thursday the 14th), OKC metro is just on the outside of the western edge of marginal risk. The Slight Risk (2 out 5) area covers most of eastern Oklahoma, with the SE corner of OK being in Enhanced Risk (3 out of 5)... The Enhanced Risk area has significant hail potential, on top of all other modes.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

[bison34]

Ah yes, OKC being just outside of much needed rain. 2023 all over again.

I love all the coverage we get on here, and appreciate all the information, and those who gather it, greatly. I just wish more of it actually ended up involving OKC.

[Jake]

Ah yes, OKC being just outside of much needed rain. 2023 all over again.

I love all the coverage we get on here, and appreciate all the information, and those who gather it, greatly. I just wish more of it actually ended up involving OKC.

Is OKC even in a drought?