November 2024 - General Weather Discussion

[Anonymous.]

Starting off November with an amazing Friday. Light winds and 75F.

Beginning Saturday afternoon, garden variety showers and storms will develop and move from NW TX into SW OK and continue to spread across the area into overnight.
Sunday, if clearing and daytime heating is sufficient, there will be a window of severe storm threat that evening across roughly W half of OK.
Monday, again if clearing and heating can take place, the threat corridor will be roughly from I-35 and points E.

SPC has both Sunday and Monday marked with 15% probabilities of severe weather. Overall the setup is very muddy due to the near-constant waves of rain and storms. I would place emphasis on flash-flooding. Some models have areas getting as much as half a foot of rain.

[SEMIweather]

There’s a chance that we’ll already have clinched one of our 10 rainiest Novembers on record by the end of Monday. It would take 4.67” of precipitation.

[kukblue1]

Yep agree. Instability might be lacking for severe storms. Sunshine will be a big factor for Sunday. Some good ingredients but maybe no instability at all.

[Outhunder]

Starting off November with an amazing Friday. Light winds and 75F.

Beginning Saturday afternoon, garden variety showers and storms will develop and move from NW TX into SW OK and continue to spread across the area into overnight.
Sunday, if clearing and daytime heating is sufficient, there will be a window of severe storm threat that evening across roughly W half of OK.
Monday, again if clearing and heating can take place, the threat corridor will be roughly from I-35 and points E.

SPC has both Sunday and Monday marked with 15% probabilities of severe weather. Overall the setup is very muddy due to the near-constant waves of rain and storms. I would place emphasis on flash-flooding. Some models have areas getting as much as half a foot of rain.

So possibly dry saturday morning? Have an outdoor event saturday morning and all I have seen is rain rain and more rain.

[kukblue1]

So possibly dry saturday morning? Have an outdoor event saturday morning and all I have seen is rain rain and more rain.

Rain moving in from the SW. Latest HRRR has the morning dry for metro rain not moving in until 2 or 3. I should say heavy rain. Might be showers in the morning.

Sunday. Moisture check, Dryline check, Low pressure near Oklahoma panhandle check, Wind sheer check. Instability NO Might even have rain early Sunday morning.

Monday Looks like Eastern Oklahoma but things could change.

[Bunty]

While the weather is settled down, here is a treat for TV weather fans with a look at how Tulsa TV stations do their weather with regional temperature boards.

KJRH-2


KOTV-6


KOKI-Fox 23 (It's stingy with the temps, no OKC, Norman, Stillwater and others.)


KTUL-8 shown later if interest is expressed.

[bison34]

While the weather is settled down, here is a treat for TV weather fans with a look at how Tulsa TV stations do their weather with regional temperature boards.

KJRH-2


KOTV-6


KOKI-Fox 23 (It's stingy with the temps, no OKC, Norman, Stillwater and others.)


KTUL-8 shown later if interest is expressed.

Haha, you should see the Tulsa World website. OKC might as well not exist.

[Anonymous.]

So possibly dry saturday morning? Have an outdoor event saturday morning and all I have seen is rain rain and more rain.

Personally, I think Sat morning will be (mostly) dry. The main show will be afternoon and overnight.


Latest NAM creams I-44 corridor and points E.

[VeggieMeat]

While the weather is settled down, here is a treat for TV weather fans with a look at how Tulsa TV stations do their weather with regional temperature boards.

KJRH-2


KOTV-6


KOKI-Fox 23 (It's stingy with the temps, no OKC, Norman, Stillwater and others.)


KTUL-8 shown later if interest is expressed.

To be fair, they pretty much follow their DMA.

[SoonerDave]

So if one is planning for the OU game Saturday, are we talking extended mid-game washout with storms?? Sounds like a recipe for a long lightning delay...??

[kukblue1]

So if one is planning for the OU game Saturday, are we talking extended mid-game washout with storms?? Sounds like a recipe for a long lightning delay...??

Looking better for OU game for it not being a complete washout. Showers around yes. Looks like a big way late Saturday night into Sunday morning than round 2 Sunday evening that could be severe but will depend on how much recovery we can achieve after the morning storms.

[BG918]

To be fair, they pretty much follow their DMA.

Traditionally there is overlap between the Joplin, Springdale and Fort Smith TV stations and Tulsa stations, hence why some show Fayetteville, Fort Smith and Coffeyville. If you're in a transition area away from the larger cities it's not uncommon to have several TV news stations i.e. Duncan has OKC, Lawton and Wichita Falls, etc.

[SEMIweather]

OU moved kickoff up to 11 a.m. due to the weather

[kukblue1]

OU moved kickoff up to 11 a.m. due to the weather

I was thinking that might happen and it's a good move on their part

[Outhunder]

Personally, I think Sat morning will be (mostly) dry. The main show will be afternoon and overnight.


Latest NAM creams I-44 corridor and points E.

Thank you. Fingers crossed.

[SoonerDave]

I was thinking that might happen and it's a good move on their part

First time in my life they've pre-emptively moved a home kickoff for weather. I remember the 1983 OU-Nebraska game where a driving rainstorm hit mid third quarter and they kept right on playing.

[Irishman23]

I was at that game and it may have been one of the most funnest OU games I was ever at and I;ve been to alot.

[Pete]

When I was a student at OU -- so it had to have been somewhere between '78 and '82 -- we were killing Kansas and then an absolute torrential downpour came right after halftime. It rained so hard there was water standing on that old artificial turf with the huge crest running down the middle.

Of course everyone left but my fraternity house was close enough to the stadium that a buddy and I ran back, changed into serious rain gear and went back to the game (this was back in the O'Connell's days when they would let you come in and out).

We ended up going up under the west upper deck where maybe a few hundred people (and the poor band, stuck in their usual spot) watched to the end. It never stopped raining and for some reason, that game remains one of my favorite OU football memories.

[okatty]

Not rain, but the 1988 OU v Nebraska game was absolutely frigid and snow/sleet. Nebr beat OU 7-3 (the day Charles Thompson suffered a broken leg). I recall that game very well because my wife was pregnant and she still talks about it!! Quite a memory!

[kukblue1]

SPC has pushed slight Risk into the OKC metro for tomorrow. Should be a pretty late evening event. A lot of forcing with this set up. Sunday looks very interesting. If we get peaks of sun on Sunday pay close attention.

[kukblue1]

FROM THE SPC FOR SATURDAY:
The greatest severe risk appears to be with diurnal activity that
will form along the eastern fringe of the strongest heating coming
out of far west TX, and, just on the south side of any aggregate
outflow boundaries extending across northwest TX and into southwest
OK. Increasing SRH, especially during the evening, may favor a
couple tornadoes with the more discrete cells away from the larger
heavy rain mass (see WPC Excessive Rainfall products for more
information). Otherwise, occasional strong to damaging gusts may
occur with any bowing structures traveling northeastward along the
composite outflow/front as far east as central OK through the
evening and overnight.

[Bunty]

Due to forecasts of thunderstorms, the start time for Oklahoma State’s homecoming football game against Arizona State has been moved. Originally scheduled for 6 p.m., the new kickoff time is set for 2:30 p.m. The game will now be televised on FOX in Oklahoma and Arizona, with nationwide coverage on FS2.

The decision, made by OSU, Arizona State and the Big 12 Conference, reflects weather projections showing storms expected around the Stillwater area starting Saturday evening into Sunday.

The weather for the walkaround in Stillwater was ideal Friday night.

[crimsoncrazy]

Latest models don’t have much rain in central Oklahoma until about 8 pm

[C_M_25]

Of course we move timing for football games and now the models have pushed the rain back till basically tomorrow….

[SoonerDave]

Of course we move timing for football games and now the models have pushed the rain back till basically tomorrow….

You *knew* that would happen.