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Thread: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

  1. #1176

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    I didn't see if anyone had posted this..

    https://www.readfrontier.org/stories...g-in-oklahoma/

    Looks like we finally have some more information on the negative counts from the private labs...

    "The 6,000 new reports bring the state’s total to more than 7,400 negative results. When counting the positive tests, more than 8,600 tests were reported to have been completed as of Sunday."

  2. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    That says that all the data we've been scrutinizing on this board is useless. We still don't have the complete picture of positives or negatives. The demographics are skewed because of selective testing. We won't be able to identify trends until they have corrected the data collection piece of this. It's a little frustrating that private labs just decided not to report negatives.

  3. #1178

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by jerrywall View Post
    I didn't see if anyone had posted this..

    https://www.readfrontier.org/stories...g-in-oklahoma/

    Looks like we finally have some more information on the negative counts from the private labs...

    "The 6,000 new reports bring the state’s total to more than 7,400 negative results. When counting the positive tests, more than 8,600 tests were reported to have been completed as of Sunday."
    Would that mean we aren't in last place in testing our residents?

  4. #1179

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by AP View Post
    That says that all the data we've been scrutinizing on this board is useless. We still don't have the complete picture of positives or negatives. The demographics are skewed because of selective testing. We won't be able to identify trends until they have corrected the data collection piece of this. It's a little frustrating that private labs just decided not to report negatives.
    We do have a complete picture of positive results from tests that have been administered.

  5. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Right, but that doesn't include people who weren't tested because they were not immunocompromised or in the correct age bracket. So not really a complete picture of positives.

  6. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by OKCretro View Post
    Would that mean we aren't in last place in testing our residents?
    Assuming other states aren't having the same issues with their private labs not reporting negatives...

  7. #1182

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by AP View Post
    Right, but that doesn't include people who weren't tested because they were not immunocompromised or in the correct age bracket. So not really a complete picture of positives.
    This is true worldwide.

    The only way to get a 100% complete picture is to test everyone on earth every day.


    I've said all along the most important numbers concern those hospitalized, as taxing our healthcare system is the primary concern. And those totals are going to be pretty close to accurate.

  8. #1183

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by OKCretro View Post
    Would that mean we aren't in last place in testing our residents?
    I've never figured out why that stat matters anyways. Since no one is testing their healthy population, this ranking just reflects which states have a higher rate of folks who need testing. (which isn't to say our testing wasn't behind and limited - just that the ranking folks have been focused on seems to be misleading).

  9. #1184

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Regarding hospital resources, we are trending below this module. So that's promising.

    https://covid19.healthdata.org/

  10. #1185
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    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by jerrywall View Post
    I've never figured out why that stat matters anyways. Since no one is testing their healthy population, this ranking just reflects which states have a higher rate of folks who need testing. (which isn't to say our testing wasn't behind and limited - just that the ranking folks have been focused on seems to be misleading).
    Generally, the more you can test for positives, the more you can quarantine carriers. If testing can be wide spread, you can find asymptomatic carriers and get them out from the general population and limit their spreading of the virus. Only testing for absolutely positive cases is trying to catch the horse after it's left the barn.

  11. #1186

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Rover View Post
    Generally, the more you can test for positives, the more you can quarantine carriers. If testing can be wide spread, you can find asymptomatic carriers and get them out from the general population and limit their spreading of the virus. Only testing for absolutely positive cases is trying to catch the horse after it's left the barn.
    I agree with that intent, but is anyone really just testing the general healthy public, or only those with symptoms or who have been exposed to someone with symptoms? If this is the case, it just makes those ranking irellevant. The hospitalizations and deaths is a much more relevant number. The testing per population #s will really only be relevant once folks are trying to do widespread testing. Or am I missing something?

  12. #1187
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    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    My major concern is the people who test negative; hope they don't become complacent.

    The more information I read on this site and general info from the CDC, Presidential Press Conferences (Fauci, Birx) and graphs; this is one of the scariest things I've seen in my lifetime.

    Coronavirus in Oklahoma: 1,327 confirmed cases, 51 deaths; April 6, 2020
    Wish everyone and their families, relatives and friends, the best.

  13. #1188

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    This is true worldwide.

    The only way to get a 100% complete picture is to test everyone on earth every day.


    I've said all along the most important numbers concern those hospitalized, as taxing our healthcare system is the primary concern. And those totals are going to be pretty close to accurate.
    We were not even testing people to differentiate if you had either minor flu or minor covid-19, when I had one of the two a few weeks ago

  14. #1189

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by jerrywall View Post
    I agree with that intent, but is anyone really just testing the general healthy public, or only those with symptoms or who have been exposed to someone with symptoms? If this is the case, it just makes those ranking irellevant. The hospitalizations and deaths is a much more relevant number. The testing per population #s will really only be relevant once folks are trying to do widespread testing. Or am I missing something?
    If we can get the 15 minute tests and antibody tests out there in large numbers. That would be a game changer. It takes like two days minimum to get test results back.

  15. #1190

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Numbers just updated for Monday.


  16. #1191

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Snowman View Post
    We were not even testing people to differentiate if you had either minor flu or minor covid-19, when I had one of the two a few weeks ago
    Until a few days ago we weren’t even testing people with comorbid conditions who were know to have been exposed. You had to have both Covid 19 symptoms and comorbid issues.

  17. #1192

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    Numbers just updated for Monday.

    Continues to show a very positive trend. Hopeful!

  18. #1193

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    I wonder if the weekends play a factor in it.

  19. #1194

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by OkiePoke View Post
    I wonder if the weekends play a factor in it.
    I can see that with test results. It would be sad, if there was a delay in hospitalizations because someones doctor office is closed for the weekend so they never get sent to hospital. The virus doesn't take a break.

  20. #1195

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Temperatures around the 25th through the 27th of March were higher. Super anecdotal, but that does fall in that 10-14 day window for incubation. Substantially more likely is that the stay at home effort in OKC really kicked up the week of the 23rd, and that being the driving factor here.

    If we see an uptick in the next week or so, we could probably infer that outside temperature does have an effect (though you'd think the environment of most places that people are out and about in have more conducive temps to viral spread).

    I think it's likely the effort for us to all shelter that the numbers in check for now.

  21. #1196

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    This is true worldwide.

    The only way to get a 100% complete picture is to test everyone on earth every day.


    I've said all along the most important numbers concern those hospitalized, as taxing our healthcare system is the primary concern. And those totals are going to be pretty close to accurate.
    That is a key, and total hospital occupancy appears to be holding steady at around 4300 beds for all comers.
    Totally anecdotal, but surgical colleagues are reporting that people are delaying coming to the hospital and as result they're seeing later stage disease. That's not good from a state morbidity/mortality standpoint. It's not just the people who have COVID 19 that we need to be worried about.

  22. #1197

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerDave View Post
    Continues to show a very positive trend. Hopeful!
    Again, the numbers have typically slowed over the weekend and then picked up again during the week.

    This might be a function of that trend; we'll see over the coming week.

  23. #1198

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Teo9969 View Post
    Temperatures around the 25th through the 27th of March were higher. Super anecdotal, but that does fall in that 10-14 day window for incubation. Substantially more likely is that the stay at home effort in OKC really kicked up the week of the 23rd, and that being the driving factor here.

    If we see an uptick in the next week or so, we could probably infer that outside temperature does have an effect (though you'd think the environment of most places that people are out and about in have more conducive temps to viral spread).

    I think it's likely the effort for us to all shelter that the numbers in check for now.
    Do you have any sources that indicate a higher outside temperature prevents the virus from spreading?

    This is from the CDC:
    "Generally coronaviruses survive for shorter periods at higher temperatures and higher humidity than in cooler or dryer environments. However, we don’t have direct data for this virus, nor do we have direct data for a temperature-based cutoff for inactivation at this point. The necessary temperature would also be based on the materials of the surface, the environment, etc. Regardless of temperature please follow CDC’s guidance for cleaning and disinfection."

  24. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Did my three week grocery run today at Sams. Everyone was wearing masks and using good distance measures. Good to see!

  25. #1200

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by OkiePoke View Post
    Do you have any sources that indicate a higher outside temperature prevents the virus from spreading?

    This is from the CDC:
    "Generally coronaviruses survive for shorter periods at higher temperatures and higher humidity than in cooler or dryer environments. However, we don’t have direct data for this virus, nor do we have direct data for a temperature-based cutoff for inactivation at this point. The necessary temperature would also be based on the materials of the surface, the environment, etc. Regardless of temperature please follow CDC’s guidance for cleaning and disinfection."
    No sources, just anecdotal.

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