August 2024 - General Weather Discussion

[SoonerDave]

Hard to tell right now as there could be a couple waves that occur at different times. Should be able to know if it looks likely during the game by Wednesday. Either way it does not look like a wash out like the 2009 opener vs Idaho State.

That's hopeful. I just don't want to leave the game in the hands of the lightning police who will practically evacuate Norman for lighting spotted in Dallas. #sarcasm

[SEMIweather]

Still looks like Thursday will be our last day with highs in the 90's for a while. Might have one final extended stretch of heat and humidity after Labor Day, but it's clear at this point that our hottest days are behind us.

[Libbymin]

Thank god

[SEMIweather]

Right now it appears the best chances for rain are overnight Thursday into Friday Morning, and Sunday Afternoon into Sunday Evening. Severe weather threat looks very low.

[BG918]

Models are showing potentially two waves of rain - the first on Friday morning between 7-10 am and another between 5-8 pm which would affect the OU game. Doesn’t look like any severe weather though.

[SoonerDave]

Models are showing potentially two waves of rain - the first on Friday morning between 7-10 am and another between 5-8 pm which would affect the OU game. Doesn’t look like any severe weather though.

All it takes is one lightning bolt to push the game back to 9pm to satisfy the lightning police.

Don't get me wrong, I know we need the rain, but dang it, a summer of 100 degree days and it rains on football opening day?? sigh.

[SoonerDave]

Hey, weather gurus, it appears at least one model is pushing tomorrow evening rain farther into southern Oklahoma. KWTV this morning was jumping on board with that model this morning.

What say you?

[brunnesa]

Hey, weather gurus, it appears at least one model is pushing tomorrow evening rain farther into southern Oklahoma. KWTV this morning was jumping on board with that model this morning.

What say you?

This is the latest NAM model run. 7 PM Friday night looks like a close call for the OU game according to this.

[brunnesa]

This is the latest NAM model run. 7 PM Friday night looks like a close call for the OU game according to this.

Newest HRRR shows pretty close to the same

[SoonerDave]

Newest HRRR shows pretty close to the same

NAM shows very much the same thing but perhaps just slightly farther south. Gonna be a stinking close call.

[SEMIweather]

As of right now, I think it's trending pretty grim for getting the OU game in without any lightning delays.

[BoulderSooner]

As of right now, I think it's trending pretty grim for getting the OU game in without any lightning delays.

looking any better (or worse) today?

[SEMIweather]

Still not looking great. Storms form roughly along the I-44 corridor sometime between 3:00 and 5:00. Not much storm motion to speak of, so not sure how far southeast of Norman they’ll be by 6:00.

[SEMIweather]

Would expect the best rain/lightning chances to be along and east of the Duncan/Purcell/Shawnee line where storms have recently initiated, but there is still a small chance that they could backbuild into the Metro. Otherwise, rain chances after today are continuing to significantly decrease relative to what looked possible a few days ago. Temperatures will still stay slightly below average for the next week or so, with lows in the mid 60’s and highs in the mid 80’s.

[BG918]

The tropical low pressure in the Gulf is messing with our weather. The models are not doing a very good job with its influence

[C_M_25]

This cold front is on the underwhelming side at the moment. So stinking humid out.

[SoonerDave]

I am in Norman right now and it has been easy to see the cumulus towering to the E/SE/S while the clouds around Norman proper get smaller, flatter, and now start to dissipate. The sun is in full force and it is *sticky hot* here right now. In other words, typical Oklahoma August.

[SoonerDave]

The tropical low pressure in the Gulf is messing with our weather. The models are not doing a very good job with its influence

In all honesty, the NAM and HRRR I saw had these storms forming pretty darned close to these lines.

[SEMIweather]

Seems like the OU game should most likely be okay.

[SoonerDave]

Seems like the OU game should most likely be okay.

Three cheers for the NAM and HRRR.

[TheTravellers]

Seems like the OU game should most likely be okay.

Not sure about the Lips show at the zoo, yet, though, going to take ponchos just in case.