https://twitter.com/stormchaserQ/sta...92875531427857 Quincy is one of the best non hype storm chaser breaks things down very well. Yes it's very early still a week away yes things will change but all signs are there for next week.
https://twitter.com/stormchaserQ/sta...92875531427857 Quincy is one of the best non hype storm chaser breaks things down very well. Yes it's very early still a week away yes things will change but all signs are there for next week.
Why do people act like it is so much worse here than say, the SE or Texas? Not just in this thread, but other threads about sports stadiums and such.
I think most people know the weather generally sucks across the southern half of the country from June-September. The SE tends to have more pop up showers and thunderstorms which can help cool it off briefly while TX/OK bakes under high pressure. I’ve traveled extensively across the South in the summer, the combination of heat and humidity is much worse than OK
SPC has outlined a 15% probability for severe storms across OK->TX for this coming Saturday.
Everything still looks on track for a big time severe weather outbreak somewhere in the plains starting Saturday. Even people in mid south needs to be alert. https://twitter.com/ConvChronicles/s...249693699?s=20
I don't want to hear anything more about a mild spring.
Temps have been higher than average and the NWS is now showing that starting next Thursday, we will be in the high 90s for at least the following 7 days.
All this before the official start of summer.
I disagree. March was much below average, the last 1/2 of April was below average and the last 2/3 of may was below average temps. It has been a mi;d spring.
https://weatherspark.com/h/s/8231/20...es-Temperature
https://twitter.com/NbergWX/status/1...228297731?s=20 This could be a huge event from Oklahoma to the East. Oklahoma area to start the week and mid south middle to end of the week. Most of May was right on average Temperature wise.
Pouring down rain again here 39th and Meridian area. If this daily rain doesn't stop it's going to be a no mow June for me. I have a yard that several days to dry out enough to mow once the rain stops.
Man, SE OKC keeps getting missed by ALL of these storms. Not a drop in a while, yet the west Metro gets poured on.
Saturday looks like a morning MCS hail/wind threat across the state that will quickly move ESE. Then late that afternoon a hail threat will emerge across the same areas with focus being along outflow boundary from the AM storms.
OKC got very close today, but will likely touch 90F tomorrow (Friday) for the first time this season.
Models have backed off of Saturday afternoon storms. But OKC will likely still see severe storms in the morning. Will know more tomorrow.
Models still hinting at multiple MCS events across OK starting this weekend and into next week. These are great widespread rainfall producers so hopefully that pans out. Drier weather incoming on the back side of a possible tropical system affecting the eastern Gulf the following week.
Pre-emptive heads up for everyone to get outside and enjoy what should be some beautiful weather on Monday, as that could well be our last day with highs in the lower 80's and dewpoints in the 50's until whenever the first notable cold front moves through in September.
HRRR snapshot of late-night storm complex that will fly from NW to SE. Damaging wind and hail threat will be primary.
Feel like the models are really starting to ramp tomorrow down quite a bit. Some are showing almost no impact to the okc area and the HRRR seems to be showing som possible interference from storms that fire on an outflow boundary coming out of SW Oklahoma.
Tomorrow afternoon's threat should be focused on the DFW Metroplex. We should still get an area of storms moving through around sunrise tomorrow but that is obviously not a particularly favorable time period of the day for severe weather. Still, would expect there to be a marginal wind/hail threat.
The 6/13-6/14 timeframe is also looking quite muddled in terms of convective evolution now. Might end up seeing the greatest threat unfold to our north, though there is still more than enough time for that to change.
Short-range models are mostly showing tomorrow morning's convection to be fairly disorganized.
Tuesday or Wednesday are possible days next week but the models don't agree go figure and where are systems going to set up. This is why SPC probably hasn't highlighted anything for next week. Might be more a day before or morning of before we will know for sure what will happen those days.
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