Oklahoma Weather Discussion - February/March 2013

[venture]

Hey I'm a snow lover as well...I grew up with it as a kid up north. I just know not to get my hopes up too much.

[venture]

I just want to know if I should cancel my piano lesson tomorrow evening or not...

Also if weather.com is accurate, the temperature here has gone up in the last few minutes, not down.

Mesonet has the temps going down the last few minutes. Mesonet for OKC West was at 51 at the top of the hour and is now at 44.

[Plutonic Panda]

Yeah, that's probably the best strategy. I like having my expectations lower and being surprised rather than being disappointed.

[Matt]

This is from a website called "The Lost Ogle"

[sacolton]

Just checking the radar. Man, this thing is going to be a complete bust for OKC. Nothing but rain. We'd be lucky to get a dusting of snow.

[Plutonic Panda]

Well, that just sucks! >_< . . . This is from Amarillo. .



If the video doesn't work, here is a link. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=569404203071482

[Uncle Slayton]

I predict OKC metro/Norman get bubkes for snow. Rain, big whoop, yeah we need it, but it's as exciting as watching meringue solidify. Retirement in 14 months, then I'm going to look at moving somewhere the weather threatens your life on a fairly regular basis. Oklahoma used to be that, and now we're just ...meh.

[ou48A]

Just checking the radar. Man, this thing is going to be a complete bust for OKC. Nothing but rain. We'd be lucky to get a dusting of snow.

Given our serious drought conditions I don’t consider a good rain to be a "complete bust".

[PennyQuilts]

Retirement in 14 months, then I'm going to look at moving somewhere the weather threatens your life on a fairly regular basis. Oklahoma used to be that, and now we're just ...meh.

????? Is this the result of CLIMATE CHANGE?? OMG!!

[Anonymous.]

As of right now. The track of the low may be favoring a slight shift south putting OKC back in. Hard to tell if the storm has anchored and started a NNE shift or NE or due E.

This is the healthiest low I have seen this winter. Very little dry air is being pulled in and it is trying its hardest to wrap up completely. This probably wont be accomplished but if it can continue to limit dry air erosion the deformation zone is going to drop buckets wherever it is dragged.

The next hour will show if the storm has shifted to its northern track or if it is still jogging east.

[kevinpate]

I'm good with it raining all day long and staying above 36 degrees. Not likely to get both, but it would sure be nice.

[PennyQuilts]

Trying to make sound travel decisions on limited intel. Like all of us.

[Plutonic Panda]

I'm good with it raining all day long and staying above 36 degrees. Not likely to get both, but it would sure be nice.

Come on Kevin, don't make me think Amanda was right about you. jk lol

[bandnerd]

There is a lot of water in my backyard. I can dig it. I've decided to stop speculating and/or worrying about it. It's going to do whatever it's going to do. Contingency plans in place, really only for my band kids because we have contest in a week! I have plenty of food at home and gas in the car, I'm more concerned about my flutes!

[SoonerBoy18]

Oh I hate this weather so much. Rain/Snow/30 Degrees/on a monday = Bad attitude =(

[Bill Robertson]

I'm good with it raining all day long and staying above 36 degrees. Not likely to get both, but it would sure be nice.

That would work for me.

[ThomPaine]

There is a lot of water in my backyard. I can dig it. I've decided to stop speculating and/or worrying about it. It's going to do whatever it's going to do. Contingency plans in place, really only for my band kids because we have contest in a week! I have plenty of food at home and gas in the car, I'm more concerned about my flutes!

"There is no such thing as bad weather, only inappropriate clothing." - Sir Rannulph Fiennes

[kelroy55]

As much as I want snow I'm happy to see the rain.

[SoonerDave]

I'm hearing/seeing reports of sleet in the S. OKC/Moore area. Is that colder air region moving in earlier than we expected??

[ou48A]

As of right now. The track of the low may be favoring a slight shift south putting OKC back in. Hard to tell if the storm has anchored and started a NNE shift or NE or due E.

This is the healthiest low I have seen this winter. Very little dry air is being pulled in and it is trying its hardest to wrap up completely. This probably wont be accomplished but if it can continue to limit dry air erosion the deformation zone is going to drop buckets wherever it is dragged.

The next hour will show if the storm has shifted to its northern track or if it is still jogging east.

I am looking at a Southern Plains radar loop.
In my unprofessional opinion the LOW seems to be taking a track that’s on the Southern end of the forecasted path.
It does not appear to have made any turn to the north yet. In fact, it still looks like its tracking just south of a due east direction.

[sacolton]

I am looking at a Southern Plains radar loop.
In my unprofessional opinion the LOW seems to be taking a track that’s on the Southern end of the forecasted path.
It does not appear to have made any turn to the north yet. In fact, it still looks like its tracking just south of a due east direction.

So ... what are you trying to say?

[FritterGirl]

Channel 4 is not predicting 4"-6" inches this afternoon for OKC. I think at this point, the stations are all just throwing darts at a board and hoping theirs is the one to stick.

[jn1780]

I am looking at a Southern Plains radar loop.
In my unprofessional opinion the LOW seems to be taking a track that’s on the Southern end of the forecasted path.
It does not appear to have made any turn to the north yet. In fact, it still looks like its tracking just south of a due east direction.

It will be close. A little nudge north will put the dry slot over us. If we stay north of the dry slot we could still see decent snow here this afternoon.

[Anonymous.]

New NAM is progging the heaviest snow SE of the earlier forecasted 'bullseye'. This moves the heaviest amounts from Clinton to Enid and even NW sides of the metro. The drop off is still very sharp, but as the low is adjusting its track, it is going to drag the north and west and south west deformation zones almost due E as opposed to the forecasted NNE.


The low is located directly SE of Childress, TX and is VERY slowly sliding ESE.

The dry air is eroding the wrap around's southern edge a little bit, so it is still a very close call on OKC, this is going to be a matter of a trace of snow in one spot and then up to 8 inches 10 miles away. Let's just say, I personally like OKC's chances if you are a snow lover.

The longer the Low keeps moving E/SE the better window of precip.

[SomeGuy]

Isn't it supposed to do something in the afternoon? I heard winds would pick up and the rain would change over to snow