Winter Weather Discussion - Jan/Feb 2011

[venture]

Urgent - winter weather message
national weather service norman ok
532 pm cst sun feb 6 2011

okz004>044-046-txz083>085-070745-
/o.new.koun.ws.a.0002.110209t0000z-110210t0000z/
harper-woods-alfalfa-grant-kay-ellis-woodward-major-garfield-
noble-roger mills-dewey-custer-blaine-kingfisher-logan-payne-
beckham-wa****a-caddo-canadian-oklahoma-lincoln-grady-mcclain-
cleveland-pottawatomie-seminole-hughes-harmon-greer-kiowa-jackson-
tillman-comanche-stephens-garvin-murray-pontotoc-coal-cotton-
carter-hardeman-foard-wilbarger-
including the cities of...buffalo...alva...cherokee...medford...
Ponca city...arnett...woodward...fairview...enid...perry ...
Cheyenne...taloga...weatherford...clinton...watong a...
Kingfisher...guthrie...stillwater...elk city...sayre...cordell...
Anadarko...yukon...el reno...mustang...oklahoma city...chandler...
Chickasha...purcell...norman...moore...shawnee...s eminole...
Holdenville...hollis...mangum...hobart...altus...f rederick...
Lawton...duncan...pauls valley...sulphur...ada...coalgate...
Walters...ardmore...quanah...chillicothe...crowell ...vernon
532 pm cst sun feb 6 2011

...winter storm watch in effect from tuesday evening through
wednesday afternoon...

* timing: From tuesday evening until late wednesday afternoon.

* main impact: Snowfall amounts 4 to 8 inches.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Keep up with the latest weather information...especially if you
plan to travel.

[Easy180]

I will take 5 then with highs back up near freezing on Thurs and *balmy* on Friday...Be a cakewalk compared to last week

[venture]

Here is the look of the models this evening and their snowfall forecast. Look at these as max totals. There is going to be some mix early on that could keep snow totals down somewhat. Also, you'll see the models differ on the exact track of the storm...so this isn't in stone just yet.

NAM:


GFS:

[Roadhawg]

TWC says low 60's early next week... weird winter

[OKCMallen]

Sheesh

[OKCisOK4me]

I just want it to be Thursday.

[venture]

Looking at the model runs this morning, they are holding pretty consistent with an 8-12" snowfall across the Metro Area. I'll be more actively monitoring the chat room tomorrow afternoon.

[Roadhawg]

Thanks Venture... again appreciated

[bandnerd]

At least it's going to warm up faster after this event than last week's event. That cold was epic and I'm happy to see it go away!

[OKCMallen]

Thanks Venture! Surely this won't be quite as bad as the last one...

[Andrew4OU]

Yeah, these past two winters have really been extraordinary, especially when you compare it to our normal winters. I thought we were going to dodge the bullet with La Nina and after we got through December and most January.

[Thunder]

Disclaimer: These are the prediction of the NWS! Point all anger toward them.

[ou48A]

Winter storm warning. Updated products out shortly.

[ou48A]

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigw...+Storm+Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1203 PM CST MON FEB 7 2011
WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND BITTER COLD...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND BITTER COLD...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: ACCUMULATING SNOW...FALLING TEMPERATURES...AND GUSTY
WINDS BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING. STORM INTENSITY PEAKING LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VERY
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW- PACKED
ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY.

* ACCUMULATIONS: AVERAGE OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY 10 INCHES.
DRIFTS 2 TO 3 FEET.

* OTHER IMPACTS: DANGEROUS COLD WITH WIND CHILLS FALLING AS LOW AS
10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINISH PREPARATIONS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AVOID TRAVEL BY TUESDAY
EVENING. BE SURE YOU CAN TAKE CARE OF YOURSELF AND YOUR FAMILY IF YOU
LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS AND INFORMATION.

[Roadhawg]

disclaimer: These are the prediction of the nws! Point all anger toward them.

lol

[OKCisOK4me]

I hope this storm system is a bust for OKC like the storm system that was suppose to drop 1-3 inches late Saturday night and early Sunday morning.

[Thunder]

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UT....27124&t=h&z=7

Colors not appearing on the map anymore.

[Bunty]

Well, I hope this time that the streets will be warmed up enough to make at least some of the snow melt when it falls on the streets.

[Thunder]

Well, I hope this time that the streets will be warmed up enough to make at least some of the snow melt when it falls on the streets.

LOL!!!!!!! Before our previous Blizzard, the temps were quite warm. :-)

[ou48A]

Mike Morgan says 7 to 12 inches for OKC area.
Gary England says 10 inches is the worst case for OKC.

For me it’s not so much the total amount, it’s the drifting that makes it so tough to get around

[Easy180]

At least it's going to warm up faster after this event than last week's event. That cold was epic and I'm happy to see it go away!

That will make s huge difference...We should see some decent melting by Thurs afternoon and very little evidence of any snow by sat night

[michael]

isnt it supposed to be like -7 on thursday night?

[Easy180]

Supposed to be sunny with a high of 27....Will put a serious dent to the lovely stuff on the roads...After some ice on fri morning the storm will be a distant memory

[Bunty]

LOL!!!!!!! Before our previous Blizzard, the temps were quite warm. :-)

Very true. It got up to 76. But as I recall it was then real cold for 2 straight days before the snow started. Now with the temperture not expected above freezing tomorrow before the snow, I don't have much confidence in hoping the snow won't stick to the streets.

[venture]

Here is the update for tonight. NAM and GFS still want to go different directions with the heaviest precip.

NAM - OKC Metro: 6 to 13"


GFS - OKC Metro: 8 to 12"