I think you do because you're demonstrating a really poor understanding of how long this thing lives on surfaces and its main mode of contagion. Your "common sense" is about 4 months out of date, and reading up on research might serve to educate you to the point where you're no longer seen as a troll. Until then....
Colorado just instituted a statewide mask ordinace and a trip to Lowe's yesterday was probably about 99% compliance. I met a friend for a drink and she suggested a bar that was more of an American flag T-shirt type establishment and compliance was about 2% (us) despite the bar pleading with the patrons to put masks on. Sad that these freedom fighters are going to get these businesses shut down and lose their license for non compliance.
How has the ordinance gone in Oklahoma City so far?
[QUOTE=jonny d;1130332]29/4 = 7.25 * 1000 = 7,250. No, we are not doing worse than Texas, at least off this metric.[/QUOT
We are still close given the size of Texas
Only 209 new positive cases today and no additional deaths.
Given the other dramatic increases of daily cases over the last week, seeing such a "low number" all of a sudden is certainly suspect.
I wouldn't be surprised, given the comments about long testing delays and backlogs, if we see additional "lumpiness" with the daily reports. When we set a record on Tuesday 7/14, It was expected IMHO. However, to then go on and set a new record on Wednesday, 7/15, was not. To then go on and log the top 3 all time high on Saturday, 7-18 was certainly not expected either.
Makes me think that a large chunk of backlog was cleared out with the Wednesday & Saturday reports.
What is interesting, is how quickly our expectations have changed. If 209 cases were reported anytime before June 12th, it would have been a new one day record.
From April 1 - Now, the new daily case count record has been broken on these days:
Hell, just 3 weeks ago a single day with over 500 cases would unprecedented.
Summarizing at the month level, we find the following if the current averages remain unchanged:
If July continues to average 604 cases/day, we will have 18,719 new cases by August 1st. (March - June had a combined total of 13,435 cases.)
If July continues to average 3.4 deaths/day, 104 Oklahomans will die by August 1st.
7 day rolling average started to decline. We usually get the big data dump on Tuesday’s so yesterday’s might not be too accurate.
I think we’ve peaked and a slow step down will start to occur. We only used 10% of hospital capacity. We’re fine.
https://twitter.com/mecoy/status/128...155243520?s=21
I highly doubt we've peaked. Effects of measures like masks, shutdowns of restaurants, etc. take a solid 2 weeks to show up in the stats. Using a Sunday to claim we're done is out of touch with the reality of testing timeframes. Tuesday's numbers will tell a lot.
See what wearing mask do. People started wearing them seriously over a week ago and numbers are back down. Ok now that I have that out of the way I still am taking the over set at 1275 cases for Tuesday. Are you over or under?
Went to homeland and Trader Joe’s and it was a 100% mask rate at both which was nice to see. You hear about the occasional jerk refusing to wear one and making a stink about it, but by and large, most people are compliant and just want to do the right thing.
Is the media sensationalizing the record days? I only see one small headline daily. I’ve thought for some time that part of the spread is due to the fact that in March and April every local newscast was COVID, COVID, COVID. While was annoying in a way but probably a good thing. Now heat, social unrest and such have an equal or greater share of your average news cast. I think this adds to so many people thinking it’s no big deal anymore. Check the three local news apps. I just did. 5 has a few COVID spots, 9 has a couple with basic today’s data, 4 had nothing.
Fear and death Always has peoples attention.
You can’t stop death. Studies show it happens to 100% of people.
Mortality for corona is low, especially when filtering out NY’s nursing home disaster.
You can only slow a disease down, can’t stop it either. And that comes with trade offs. Those in leadership can’t be narrow minded in their path. They must consider many factors. Too many want to stop the virus at all costs.
Oh, i don’t know... measles were stopped until the ignorant started resisting getting inoculated. TB and polio come to mind. The plague. And many others that have been arrested because of good public policies and actions of adult acting leaders. The anti vaccine crowd loves disease and suffering by the masses I guess.
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