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Thread: Lumberyard

  1. #426

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Plutonic Panda View Post
    Ok, now you're just trying to make this into something else. I understand this is conceptual.

    Seriously? It would take me months to make this.... this is by no means when Praedura used photoshop to put 48 Chase Towers downtown. Somebody put quite a bit into work into this. If you look at their website, they have tons of other large developments. This more than fantasy. They have site plans, floor layouts, multiple renderings as well as having the building to scale with other buildings, the new BLVD. placed along this. There are a couple of possibilities here with the developer spent some money or a lot of time putting this rendering together to either (a) build this himself with or without financing or (b) really trying to get hype going to flip this property for a big profit.
    It would take you months because you're not efficient at it. I believe Andrew said that an intern at any major firm could put this together in relatively short order…like a week if that. There are many more than 2 possibilities...

    Have you been following this? I believe Midrise LLC owns the land I remember correctly and look at the website.... again, there are tons of other developments they have listed that are already built.

    Also, not every development gets financing, some developers do finance themselves. Oh, and how do you know he doesn't already have financing ready?
    I have been following this. Who is Mid-Rise OKC? What have they done in the past, what leads you to believe that this *IS* in development?

    I never said it's not possible…But the level of confidence/expectation you hold for what has been shared here is entirely unwarranted. Entirely. And that, unfortunately, shades you from looking at two 10-story mid-rise towers objectively.

    Had you never seen these renderings which are heretofore meaningless, and had someone presented these same renderings sans the 43-story tower, you'd be singing the praises of the project, because it's as nice as, if not nicer than, anything that's been proposed in OKC in the last 5 years.

  2. Default Re: Lumber Yard

    ^^^^^^^^

    Great post and absolutely true. If the idea here is to construct the two smaller towers and flip the other parcel to someone who could build the hi-rise it would still be huge.

    I would just like to know more about the developer to understand the the likelihood of any of it happening. Looked more yesterday and all I can find is a rural housing addition on a ranch outside of Tucson and some raw land deals in Texas. In fact I can't find much of anything that's not primarily a land deal, some in the tens of thousands of dollars and one or two of a couple million bucks.

    Regarding the comment about the developer maybe already having the cash on hand to build the project as drawn and not needing financing, I would guess the project as drawn to be north of a half billion dollars to build. Nobody who has that kind of money is virtually invisible on the Internet. In fact, anyone who could even get that type of financing would be fairly easy to find info on. Newspaper articles, court filings, charitable giving, SOMETHING.

    To me - unless there us another developer involved that we don't know about - the deal (and the reported buyer) has all of the hallmarks of straight-up land speculation with drawings designed to generate interest from potential (real) developers. Hopefully if this is the case something materializes quickly. Bricktown has plenty of experience with speculators jumping into a hot market and sitting on unimproved property for years, even decades, and I would hate to see a repeat of that pattern here.

    Hopefully there is more here than meets the eye.

  3. #428

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Urbanized View Post
    ^^^^^^^^

    Great post and absolutely true. If the idea here is to construct the two smaller towers and flip the other parcel to someone who could build the hi-rise it would still be huge.

    I would just like to know more about the developer to understand the the likelihood of any of it happening. Looked more yesterday and all I can find is a rural housing addition on a ranch outside of Tucson and some raw land deals in Texas. In fact I can't find much of anything that's not primarily a land deal, some in the tens of thousands of dollars and one or two of a couple million bucks.

    Regarding the comment about the developer maybe already having the cash on hand to build the project as drawn and not needing financing, I would guess the project as drawn to be north of a half billion dollars to build. Nobody who has that kind of money is virtually invisible on the Internet. In fact, anyone who could even get that type of financing would be fairly easy to find info on. Newspaper articles, court filings, charitable giving, SOMETHING.

    To me - unless there us another developer involved that we don't know about - the deal (and the reported buyer) has all of the hallmarks of straight-up land speculation with drawings designed to generate interest from potential (real) developers. Hopefully if this is the case something materializes quickly. Bricktown has plenty of experience with speculators jumping into a hot market and sitting on unimproved property for years, even decades, and I would hate to see a repeat of that pattern here.

    Hopefully there is more here than meets the eye.
    All Real Estate is "speculation"... markets go up & down. But what you are saying is true about the marketing of property. I'm ok with it either way. I'm glad there is activity South of the BLVD., this is a very positive sign.

    If I was to do Dean's Play the %, it would be this :

    1. Limited Funding - Build 2 Mid Rise Towers only - 60%.
    2. Limited Funding - Build 2 Mid Rise Towers ( phs 1)then add 43 story Tower (phs 2) - 25%.
    3. Limited Funding - Build 2 Mid Rise Towers and Sell corner property to the highest bidder.... - 85%.
    4. If fully funded / no restrictions, then Build 43 story & 2 Mid Rise Towers at the same time, ...would be the most economical approach to to construction ( lowest cost per unit )... 70 %.

  4. #429

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Teo9969 View Post
    It would take you months because you're not efficient at it. I believe Andrew said that an intern at any major firm could put this together in relatively short order…like a week if that. There are many more than 2 possibilities...



    I have been following this. Who is Mid-Rise OKC? What have they done in the past, what leads you to believe that this *IS* in development?

    I never said it's not possible…But the level of confidence/expectation you hold for what has been shared here is entirely unwarranted. Entirely. And that, unfortunately, shades you from looking at two 10-story mid-rise towers objectively.

    Had you never seen these renderings which are heretofore meaningless, and had someone presented these same renderings sans the 43-story tower, you'd be singing the praises of the project, because it's as nice as, if not nicer than, anything that's been proposed in OKC in the last 5 years.
    You're right about me not being able to create a rendering that fast... everything else had nothing to do with my initial argument and you took a small line and made it a big deal.

    I'll put together what **I** know and how likely I think it is a little later even though I have no idea how it relates to me wanting the 43 story tower more than than the two smaller ones. I understand what you're saying and I was being more than conservative when I called this a development. I was just speaking in reference to the rendering more or less.

  5. #430

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Steve's latest take on the speculation for this site.

    Bricktown Towers? | News OK

  6. #431

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    I really don't know what to take from that article, but I'll give it to Steve in that even though he doesn't believe it to be real he is still digging for as much information as he can. It sounds like there is some serious work being done behind the scenes but it is not adding up. After they get all of their facts straight I won't be surprised if the land is purchased just to flip to make a little bit of money. Though I do believe they are exploring all of their options, and that includes building these towers.

  7. #432

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    One can pay for marketing.
    One can benefit from free marketing.

    I don't have an opinion which might be the more accurate scenario here. Given a myriad of possibilities, the current one being chattered and mused about ain't so bad.

  8. Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Wow, Lackmeyer's still got it. I haven't seen such richness of detail in FACTS in a long time in journalism. I appreciate that he did this story even if he hated to do it.

  9. #434

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    We're incredibly lucky to have Steve in this city…anybody else and we'd simply super informative, and fantastic to see someone at that paper doing their job so well. I wish there were a way to buy just his articles, because I would do it out of sheer principle to promote good journalism.

    I really don't see how you can make this development without knowing what's going to happen at the Co-op.

  10. #435

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Spartan View Post
    Wow, Lackmeyer's still got it. I haven't seen such richness of detail in FACTS in a long time in journalism. I appreciate that he did this story even if he hated to do it.
    +1

  11. #436

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    ++1

  12. #437

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Teo9969 View Post

    I really don't see how you can make this development without knowing what's going to happen at the Co-op.
    I agree. If the Co-op sells and relocated then the Lumber Yard high-rise project might be in the realm of possibilities. Since it looks like its going to stay, I just don't see it happening. It's simple economics. There are other places in the core I could see the same project happening though.

  13. Default Re: Lumber Yard

    You guys are pontificating over something that is already in motion, with regards to the co-op site. Their relocation to the westside will drive the timeline here - and dropping the asking price. This is standard strategy. They aren't immediately ready to move and so the asking price is ridiculous just on the off chance a developer can't wait a few years.

  14. #439

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Spartan View Post
    You guys are pontificating over something that is already in motion, with regards to the co-op site. Their relocation to the westside will drive the timeline here - and dropping the asking price. This is standard strategy. They aren't immediately ready to move and so the asking price is ridiculous just on the off chance a developer can't wait a few years.
    Actually the Co-op move has been delayed indefinitely hasn't it? IIRC they are actually trying to sell the tire plant property that was supposed to be their new location. The entire situation is very odd and the future even more unclear.

  15. #440

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    I would suggest emailing the owners of COOP to try and put pressure and let them know we'd value them more if they moved. I still want them to be located in or around OKC somewhere as they do add to the economy and produce jobs, but it would be nice to have a nice mixed-use development on that property.

  16. Default Re: Lumber Yard

    I hate to break it to you, but they don't care what you and I think.

  17. #442
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    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by ljbab728 View Post
    Steve's latest take on the speculation for this site.

    Bricktown Towers? | News OK
    Was Christiansen aware that the boulevard actually ramps up immediately east of Oklahoma Avenue, and will be an elevated road passing half of the development?
    That significantly devalues the location, imo. I'm not sure what the city or ODOT has in mind to deal with pedestrian traffic across/under the elevated part of that thing, but the elevation makes it more like being located on a freeway than on a city boulevard. Hopefully the western part of downtown can be spared from suffering the same fate. I don't see how retail is going to work there except for businesses that can focus and survive on the tenants of the development alone. I'm not saying the bouelvard precludes any development at the lumberyard, but I don't think it will be something of this scale and it will probably have to be pretty creative to not seem disconnected to BT and downtown by the new roadway.

  18. #443

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    As I had posted previously, the developers contacted ODOT to request detailed plans for that section, so yes, they are aware.

  19. #444
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    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    As I had posted previously, the developers contacted ODOT to request detailed plans for that section, so yes, they are aware.
    That's good. I didn't mean to question Christiansen's competence or knowledge as Steve seemed to be. I just think the current Boulevard's elevation makes it a less desirable residential / retail location. Offices may work, but I think it will still feel more like a disconnected fringe development than it should if an elevated road passes in front of parts of it.

  20. #445

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    This is why we should tunnel under the tracks. The only elevated portion of theis section of BLVD should be the extreme east end where it connected near Bass Pro. Of course this would easily be done(expense-wise) if choosing Option D in conjuction.

  21. #446

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Anonymous. View Post
    This is why we should tunnel under the tracks. The only elevated portion of theis section of BLVD should be the extreme east end where it connected near Bass Pro. Of course this would easily be done(expense-wise) if choosing Option D in conjuction.
    The east end of the Boulevard will be under the BNSF railroad tracks. The east end is designed pretty much exactly as you describe.

  22. #447

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    You are correct. I was thinking Alt C had it going over the tracks for some reason. Must have been a bad dream about a nightmare.

  23. Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by BDP View Post
    ..I didn't mean to question Christiansen's competence or knowledge as Steve seemed to be...
    Perhaps someone should be? I still have not seen any evidence of experience with developments of this - or really any - scale whatsoever. Why is nobody actively questioning this? It's a fair question.

  24. #449

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Lol just like we should trust Rainey Williams?

  25. #450

    Default Re: Lumber Yard

    Quote Originally Posted by Urbanized View Post
    Perhaps someone should be? I still have not seen any evidence of experience with developments of this - or really any - scale whatsoever. Why is nobody actively questioning this? It's a fair question.
    The majority has questioned this from the beginning.

    But even so, what is the big deal here? Either this developer will close on the land and flip it or develop it themselves... Or not buy it at all.

    What is the great cause for concern?

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