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Thread: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

  1. #3876

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    AMC just announced they will push back opening any of their theaters until July 30th.

  2. #3877

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    AMC just announced they will push back opening any of their theaters until July 30th.
    Regal also announced earlier today, pushing back to the 31st I believe.

  3. #3878

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    I watched the first 10 minutes and gave up. When he starting saying how great we are doing after having an all time record of 585 cases I was out. Doing good was 200 or less cases. R factor of under 1 all of which we are not even close to right now. Hospitals have almost doubled in 2 weeks how is that good?

  4. #3879

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by kukblue1 View Post
    Not shocked one bit I knew we were going to hit over 500 this this week but our politicians will get on the air and be like our 7-Day average is lower than what it was 7 days ago everything is fine. thats because we had low numbers on Monday and that's the only reason 7 day avg will look good
    The 7-day rolling average is a mathematical and statistical necessity because many if not most of the testing labs do not operate on the weekend, thus creating artificially lower results numbers for the weekend. The only way to normalize that drop is to look at week-to-week data, in which time all the testing for a given week is as complete as we can get it. It's exactly why we can't look at just Sunday or just Monday numbers.

  5. #3880

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    "Cases are up but hospitals still have plenty of capacity. 40% fewer hospital cases than the peak."

    Recommending masks but clearly not going to require them.
    Hospital capacity is what gets me. Most hospital CEOs like their ICUs at 85% capacity and don't want idle beds there (similar to a plane taking off with empty seats). Add to this the second highest uninsured population in the US, and I am worried who is hanging out at home in the farmhouse, quietly having a stroke or pulmonary embolism. I will be curious to see the data when it comes in on morbidity and mortality of non Covid-19 cases in the coming years.

  6. #3881

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by C_M_25 View Post
    That’s not how I interpret that graph. I think it’s showing that your chance of death by covid, for any given age group, isn’t any different than your normal chance of dying outside of covid. The asterisk even suggests that the covid points plot even lower than your normal chance of death. How do you draw your conclusion? Curious as to whether I’m missing something
    Right, so in a pre-Covid environment your chance of dying at say age 50 is 0.2%, which is now your chance of dying of Covid. While those other factors in dying may be mitigated, for example people are driving less, workplace accidents may be reduced, etc, people are still dying from those things. Put it this way, according to this chart, Covid alone will kill as many people as would normally die in a time frame, distributed at like fatality rates across the age spectrum, as would normally die without Covid. There are still people dying of all other factors, cancer, heart disease, etc, in addition to Covid, concurrent with Covid.

  7. #3882

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    For those of you who have been tested for Covid, is there anywhere that is doing rapid results testing or is the only kind of testing the ones that need to be shipped to a lab and take days to get back?

  8. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by LocoAko View Post
    For those of you who have been tested for Covid, is there anywhere that is doing rapid results testing or is the only kind of testing the ones that need to be shipped to a lab and take days to get back?
    Search “covid rapid testing, oklahoma city”
    I came up with quite a few.

  9. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by kukblue1 View Post
    I watched the first 10 minutes and gave up. When he starting saying how great we are doing after having an all time record of 585 cases I was out. Doing good was 200 or less cases. R factor of under 1 all of which we are not even close to right now. Hospitals have almost doubled in 2 weeks how is that good?
    Stitt and the medical experts that advise him have never said what new case numbers they expected to see upon Phase 3. But I would bet they expected rather large numbers. As long as hospitalizations didn’t overwhelm the system. Which they aren’t......yet. And hopefully they don’t.
    Now, as to the new cases. In March we started with 1case, then a few, then a few hundred, then at a thousand or so we “shut down”. Upon reopening people are going places without a care as if nothing’s at all wrong. But the virus spread didn’t start from zero this time it had a several thousand current case head start. As discussed before we don’t even really know how many are out there with it currently. Of course the new case numbers are going to be crazy under these circumstances. Looking at it this way it’s a miracle that the new case numbers aren’t WAY higher. Since Stitt isn’t going to do anything I pray that the larger cities Mayors grow some and take hold of the situation.

  10. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    On a better note I stopped at Homeland on the way home from work. Mask wearing there had been 20 to 30% and dropping the last couple weeks. Today I would guess there were 50 to 60% and pretty much all of them wearing them properly.

  11. #3886

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Bill Robertson View Post
    On a better note I stopped at Homeland on the way home from work. Mask wearing there had been 20 to 30% and dropping the last couple weeks. Today I would guess there were 50 to 60% and pretty much all of them wearing them properly.
    I went by Whole Foods and I’d say it was about 80% there which was good to see.

  12. #3887

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    152 new cases for OKC. I'm sure that is a new record also. This is so widespread. Only thing we can hope for is that it's a weaker strain cause our leaders are waiting too long to do anything and at this rate I'm afraid it's too late.

  13. #3888

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    https://twitter.com/KOCODillon/statu...772353/photo/1 This is not good. Like I said I turned off the news conference when he said in the first 10 minutes we were doing good. Explain too me how this is good.

  14. #3889

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Some of the data in the daily mailout and the EOR is confusing/conflicting.

    Today, the OSDH mailout summary for 6/30 said we had 13,757 confirmed total positives in OK across 343,643 returned tests.

    Today, also, the OSDH Executive Order Report - also for 6/30 - states that we have 15,387 confirmed total positives in OK across 348,350 total tests. (There are also some 5,600 pending tests, but that's a bit outside this post).

    Both of those numbers can't be for the same day. Are we going to see a delta of 1,630 new cases tomorrow across only 4,727 tests??! Something doesn't make sense. Is there some additional vetting that occurs between the daily release and the same-day's EOR?

  15. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerDave View Post
    Some of the data in the daily mailout and the EOR is confusing/conflicting.

    Today, the OSDH mailout summary for 6/30 said we had 13,757 confirmed total positives in OK across 343,643 returned tests.

    Today, also, the OSDH Executive Order Report - also for 6/30 - states that we have 15,387 confirmed total positives in OK across 348,350 total tests. (There are also some 5,600 pending tests, but that's a bit outside this post).

    Both of those numbers can't be for the same day. Are we going to see a delta of 1,630 new cases tomorrow across only 4,727 tests??! Something doesn't make sense. Is there some additional vetting that occurs between the daily release and the same-day's EOR?
    The different reports haven’t coincided for weeks. In the beginning they mostly did but starting in May sometime they started downhill as far as coinciding and get worse all the time.

  16. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerDave View Post
    The 7-day rolling average is a mathematical and statistical necessity because many if not most of the testing labs do not operate on the weekend, thus creating artificially lower results numbers for the weekend. The only way to normalize that drop is to look at week-to-week data, in which time all the testing for a given week is as complete as we can get it. It's exactly why we can't look at just Sunday or just Monday numbers.
    Holt has regularly used 14-day, 7-day, and 3-day rolling averages randomly. He also randomly uses city, county, and metro data. There’s really no rhyme or reason except to paint the picture he wants.

  17. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by LocoAko View Post
    For those of you who have been tested for Covid, is there anywhere that is doing rapid results testing or is the only kind of testing the ones that need to be shipped to a lab and take days to get back?
    I did my rapid test at First Med on 39th. It took about 30 minutes and was walk-in.

  18. #3893

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by AP View Post
    Holt has regularly used 14-day, 7-day, and 3-day rolling averages randomly. He also randomly uses city, county, and metro data. There’s really no rhyme or reason except to paint the picture he wants.
    My comment has nothing to do with any public statements by any elected officials. I was addressing specifically what appeared to be a lack of understanding of the necessity of a 7-day rolling average in light of inherently inconsistent data derived from limited weekend reports. Nothing more.

  19. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerDave View Post
    My comment has nothing to do with any public statements by any elected officials. I was addressing specifically what appeared to be a lack of understanding of the necessity of a 7-day rolling average in light of inherently inconsistent data derived from limited weekend reports. Nothing more.
    I know. Sorry if it seemed like I was debating you. I have been meaning to bring that up about Holt and your convo opened the door.

  20. #3895

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Two of my neighbors in north Edmond have tested positive.

  21. #3896

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    If we combined this thread with Hamilton it would look like this:


  22. #3897

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    News 9 is at the Terry Neese party and i only see one person wearing a mask. SMH People just not getting it are they?

  23. #3898

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by kukblue1 View Post
    News 9 is at the Terry Neese party and i only see one person wearing a mask. SMH People just not getting it are they?
    Turn off the TV!!!!! Your heart can't take all this bad news. For the Love of god.

  24. #3899

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by AP View Post
    I know. Sorry if it seemed like I was debating you. I have been meaning to bring that up about Holt and your convo opened the door.
    No problem!

  25. #3900

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerDave View Post
    Some of the data in the daily mailout and the EOR is confusing/conflicting.

    Today, the OSDH mailout summary for 6/30 said we had 13,757 confirmed total positives in OK across 343,643 returned tests.

    Today, also, the OSDH Executive Order Report - also for 6/30 - states that we have 15,387 confirmed total positives in OK across 348,350 total tests. (There are also some 5,600 pending tests, but that's a bit outside this post).

    Both of those numbers can't be for the same day. Are we going to see a delta of 1,630 new cases tomorrow across only 4,727 tests??! Something doesn't make sense. Is there some additional vetting that occurs between the daily release and the same-day's EOR?
    After studying the data a bit further, I believe I have sorted out my confusion.

    The EOR lists "total positive specimens," and immediately qualifies that number with a note it does not indicate unique individuals. In the lower summary section, it lists daily cases as "newly reported." That tells me the daily number is unique individuals, not repeated testers. Just clarifying what I think the report is conveying.cTook a few rereads and comparisons for th light bulb to go on.

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