Originally Posted by
pw405
Not to get too far off topic here, perhaps we should discuss in Oil Prices thread, BUT... I agree, even if Warren or Bernie win, "banning fracking day 1" is just a campaign fantasy. Even though I earn my paycheck from fossil fuels, I'm a firm believer in global warming and I realize our industry won't last forever. That said... if they "ban fracking day 1", US oil production will fall by millions of bbls a day within 9 months.
A massive supply disruption such as this would cause a massive price spike at the pumps. Furthermore, our dependency on foreign oil will SKYROCKET. We would need to un-sanction Iran to help get their bbls back in the market.
Then, what do you do with the employees of the industry? How to address the stock and bond holders? Will it be illegal to sell frac equipment in bk liquidations? Will un-drilled leases be of any value?
Alternatives are certainly going to be the norm at some point, but not yet. A rapid change to outright ban fracking will have dire consequences and the "national security" argument will outweigh the desire to reduce co2 IMHO.
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