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Thread: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

  1. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    I'll take a weekend cooldown. My body is ready.

  2. #27

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    o0o…that circle is almost right over Canton. 7 inches up there would be quite nice.

    I'd be fine with 2 inches in the Metro.

  3. #28
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    It's toasty today! WOW. Smokin'!!

  4. #29

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    OK, I didn't realize just how !@$#ing hot it was when my car is out in the sun! I'm so spoiled to it being in the garage most of the time.

  5. #30
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Altus...101 today.

  6. #31

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Quote Originally Posted by crimsoncrazy View Post
    Anyone see Aaron Tuttle's latest prediction? He said he doubts any where in the state hits 100 this summer.
    Quote Originally Posted by okatty View Post
    Altus...101 today.
    Couldn't resist

  7. #32
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Good one! You had more energy than I did and actually quoted it!

  8. #33

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    GFS painting heaviest rain in NW OK over weekend, then spreading E heading into next week.

    NAM painting heaviest over SW and C OK over weekend.


    Either way, sounds like the remaining parts of the state that are technically in "drought" categories, will have that wiped out after next week.

  9. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    SLGT RISK today from west/south of a Walters - Lawton - Eakly - Elk City - Sweetwater line.
    MRGL RISK today west/south of a line from Shattuck - Enid - Cushing - Prague - Ada - Ardmore.

    All modes possible, but coverage pretty thin when it comes to the severe stuff. Should get more coverage in storms in general into the afternoon before it appears everything should line up and move east. Few boundaries around with this morning's activity should also help spark a few isolated storms ahead of any main area.

  10. #35

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Quote Originally Posted by Anonymous. View Post
    GFS painting heaviest rain in NW OK over weekend, then spreading E heading into next week.

    NAM painting heaviest over SW and C OK over weekend.


    Either way, sounds like the remaining parts of the state that are technically in "drought" categories, will have that wiped out after next week.
    Up to 7.5 inches of rain forecast in Oklahoma during next 7 days - Tulsa World: Weather

  11. #36

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    In a related note…. By now probably 2/3 of my neighbors have a new roof. Since mind wasn’t leaking I’m glad my new roof will be installed after what is hopefully the last bout of severe weather for this season?

    But somebody needs to come up with a better roofing system that stands up to grapefruit size hail… This is my 3 new 30 year roof in 13 years. For others, it’s their 4th.

    The Texas Tech wind research center does a decent job in this area but since severe weather is very costly to our states resident and to our state’s economy researching how buildings could better survive severe weather is one area of research where I would like to see OU get into….
    Now that we normally have pretty good several weather warnings that save lives IMHO structure integrity is the next great area for improvement that can come though research. It would further protect lives and property.

  12. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Slight Risk area expanded. Now running south/west of a line from Shattuck - Seiling - Hinton - Elgin - Walters.

  13. #38

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Quote Originally Posted by ou48A View Post
    In a related note…. By now probably 2/3 of my neighbors have a new roof. Since mind wasn’t leaking I’m glad my new roof will be installed after what is hopefully the last bout of severe weather for this season?

    But somebody needs to come up with a better roofing system that stands up to grapefruit size hail… This is my 3 new 30 year roof in 13 years. For others, it’s their 4th.

    The Texas Tech wind research center does a decent job in this area but since severe weather is very costly to our states resident and to our state’s economy researching how buildings could better survive severe weather is one area of research where I would like to see OU get into….
    Now that we normally have pretty good several weather warnings that save lives IMHO structure integrity is the next great area for improvement that can come though research. It would further protect lives and property.


    Spend the money and get a metal roof. Go even further and get a white one for extra energy cost savings. More durable, more energy efficient, and saves you money.

    Most insurance companies have discounts on premiums if you have a metal roof.

  14. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0990
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0330 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015

    AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN OK AND NWRN TX/TX PANHANDLE

    CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 293...

    VALID 122030Z - 122230Z

    PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

    SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS OUTSIDE
    OF WW 293. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...WITH WW ISSUANCE
    POSSIBLE.

    DISCUSSION...SFC CONVERGENCE ALONG A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/TROUGH
    HAS LED TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION NORTH OF CDS /IN THE NE CORNER OF
    WW 293/. THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY SFC TEMPS
    IN THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S AND SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /MEAN
    MIXING RATIOS AROUND 14-15 G PER KG/...YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES
    UPWARDS OF 1500 J/KG. MOREOVER...ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE
    ERN PERIPHERY OF AN APPROACHING IMPULSE IS YIELDING APPROX 30-35 KTS
    OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR...ADEQUATE FOR UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION. AS
    SUCH...MORE VIGOROUS/ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF LARGE
    HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS
    REGARDING THE ABILITY OF THIS AREA OF CONVECTION TO SUSTAIN ITSELF
    INTO SWRN OK/NWRN TX OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. MORE
    LIKELY...WITH FORCING FOR ASCENT IMPINGING UPON THE AREA AND UPSCALE
    GROWTH OF UPSTREAM CONVECTION ACROSS THE WRN TX PANHANDLE...A
    GREATER THREAT MAY MATERIALIZE LATER THIS EVENING AS ONE OR TWO
    CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES PROGRESS INTO THE MCD AREA.
    NONETHELESS...TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL WW ISSUANCE.

    ..PICCA/CORFIDI.. 06/12/2015

  15. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015



    Urgent - immediate broadcast requested
    severe thunderstorm watch number 295
    nws storm prediction center norman ok
    355 pm cdt fri jun 12 2015

    the nws storm prediction center has issued a

    * severe thunderstorm watch for portions of
    western and central oklahoma
    western north texas

    * effective this friday afternoon and evening from 355 pm until
    1100 pm cdt.

    * primary threats include...
    Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
    scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

    summary...scattered thunderstorms and possible supercells now
    forming in western ok and over the tx south plains expected to
    move/develop generally northeastward through mid-evening...with an
    accompanying risk for severe hail and wind.

    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
    statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles south
    southwest of altus oklahoma to 40 miles east northeast of alva
    oklahoma. For a complete depiction of the watch see the
    associated watch outline update (wous64 kwns wou5).

    Precautionary/preparedness actions...

    Remember...a severe thunderstorm watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally
    do produce tornadoes.

  16. #41

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Perfect timing for Frederick Radar to be getting its clothes pins reattached.

  17. #42

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    A look at how the rain has been going for the last 7 days in Oklahoma. 60% chance of thunderstorms tonight. Fortunately, no tornadoes during this rainy period, so far.


  18. #43

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    This week's rains have been good for Canton; the lake has picked up another four feet of elevation this week, now 5 feet below normal.

  19. #44

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    More rain tonight possible after midnight coming from the Texas panhandle.

  20. #45

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Quote Originally Posted by Bunty View Post
    More rain tonight possible after midnight coming from the Texas panhandle.
    That stuff musta hit a wall because it looked impressive at one point and then later on it just poofed out.

  21. #46

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    This tiny little popcorn storm just dumped a ton of water on Harrah for about 10 minutes. Gone as quickly as it appeared though.

  22. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Today just a bunch of isolated little storms with a lot of water. Filling in really quick along/east of I-44 now.

    Big weather story this week for us will be what happens with Invest 91. This could mean another 5 to 10 inches of rain over the state...


  23. #48
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    I wish I was smarter...can't understand nothin'...*

  24. #49

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    From what I understand basically a developing tropical storm that could impact us quite a bit.

  25. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - June 2015

    Yeah sorry, got distracted and didn't finish my thoughts very well. Developing tropical system could move up over OK the next few days. When this happens, a large amount of tropical moisture will come with it and the remaining system will have enough lift to cause showers/storms to keep forming. Severe weather usually doesn't come with this, outside of a tornado threat due to enhanced low level spin around the low - but flooding is really going to be our concern with this one.

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