General Weather Discussion - July 2014

[Bunty]

Happy Birthday.

The situation for the low has it moving somewhat to the north and east, so that Stillwater, Ponca City and Tulsa are now included in the revised Flash Flood Watch until 7am Thursday:



...flash flood watch in effect...
.widespread rain and embedded thunderstorms will move across northern and central oklahoma today. By this evening...the heaviest rainfall is expected in central and eastern oklahoma. The heavy rainfall may result in flash flooding.
...flash flood watch in effect from 7 am cdt this morning through thursday morning...
The national weather service in norman has expanded the
* flash flood watch to include portions of central oklahoma...
East central oklahoma and northern oklahoma...including the following areas...in central oklahoma...lincoln...payne and pottawatomie. In east central oklahoma...hughes...pontotoc and seminole. In northern oklahoma...kay and noble.
* from 7 am cdt this morning through thursday morning
* rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts
* several inches of rain may cause areal flooding...elevated creeks and river

[Bobby821]

Happy Birthday.

The situation for the low has it moving somewhat to the north and east, so that Stillwater, Ponca City and Tulsa are now included in the revised Flash Flood Watch until 7am Thursday:



...flash flood watch in effect...
.widespread rain and embedded thunderstorms will move across northern and central oklahoma today. By this evening...the heaviest rainfall is expected in central and eastern oklahoma. The heavy rainfall may result in flash flooding.
...flash flood watch in effect from 7 am cdt this morning through thursday morning...
The national weather service in norman has expanded the
* flash flood watch to include portions of central oklahoma...
East central oklahoma and northern oklahoma...including the following areas...in central oklahoma...lincoln...payne and pottawatomie. In east central oklahoma...hughes...pontotoc and seminole. In northern oklahoma...kay and noble.
* from 7 am cdt this morning through thursday morning
* rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts
* several inches of rain may cause areal flooding...elevated creeks and river

Please state your source for this info you have of the Low moving more easterly than south? Anon said the low was moving south word...

[OKCisOK4me]

Rain looks to be breaking up west and southwest of OKC. Dry slots happen in the summer months too, I guess.

[Anonymous.]

If you want to see how the low is moving, check the Dodge City, KS radar.

You can clearly see a jog to the east over the last hour or so. However, this does not mean W and C OK are done.

[OKCisOK4me]

If you want to see how the low is moving, check the Dodge City, KS radar.

You can clearly see a jog to the east over the last hour or so. However, this does not mean W and C OK are done.

Yeah, I'm looking at the WunderMap radar and it looks to me like it's clearing out..precip wise. It may stay cloudy but the only way it's gonna be a solid wall of water is if new storms bubble up and another shield of rain drops down. Doubt that's gonna happen. I've experienced this rodeo before.

[Bunty]

Please state your source for this info you have of the Low moving more easterly than south? Anon said the low was moving south word...

I have no source other than my memory of the flash flood watch when first issued yesterday did not include the counties to the north and east as it does today.

[bradh]

so much for 5" in OKC, right?

[OKCisOK4me]

Exactly.

[LocoAko]

FWIW, the NWS is expecting some clearing to take from OKC southwestward and then for storms to redevelop due to increasing instability. We shall see!

[LakeEffect]

Yep, I was just about to say that this dry-period wasn't unexpected.

From the 6:30 am Forecast Discussion (Aviation):
"WIDESPREAD RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITH OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS WITHIN HEAVIER SHOWERS
AND STORMS. A FEW SHORT RANGE MODELS BRING SOME DRYING INTO
WESTERN OKLAHOMA LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH REDEVELOP
LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. LATER THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT...MAINLY
OKC/OUN SHOULD BE IMPACTED WITH RAIN AND A FEW STORMS."

[Anonymous.]

NW OK, Buffalo to Woodward are first in the state to go over 2 inches so far.

NW TX into SW OK has some clearing taking palce, temps are mid to upper 70s there.

[gjl]

Here in NW OKC we got a nice steady rain all day so far but it was no where near the rainmageddon I was expecting. I guess we'll see what happens later tonight.

[bradh]

good info as usual, these threads never disappoint

[Anonymous.]

Rain and embedded thunderstorm really filling in now. Looks like this will happen directly over C OK heading into tonight.

[Bunty]

Stillwater is in one of the driest holes in the state getting .45", so far. But, on the other hand, it looks like Oklahoma City better get ready to NOT get bypassed by some downpours for the next hour, or so, including a possible flash flood warning, according to Mike Morgan.

[Urbanized]

Canton Lake has picked up an inch so far today...only 12 feet more and it will be full!

[ljbab728]

Canton Lake has picked up an inch so far today...only 12 feet more and it will be full!

Actually the lake level went from 1603.00 yesterday to 1603.41 now. That's a pretty good jump for one day, especially during the time of the year when the level normally drops.

[Anonymous.]

Almost 5 inches NE sides of metro and 2-4 inches across the rest.

Solid rain for July.

[ljbab728]

Almost 5 inches NE sides of metro and 2-4 inches across the rest.

Solid rain for July.

Absolutely, and it was mentioned on the news tonight that Arcadia lake has been going up about 2 inches per hour and could go up by a foot total.

[ljbab728]

so much for 5" in OKC, right?

Some parts of the metro did receive that much.

[Anonymous.]

GFS nailed this system like it was building a house. Never count out wrap-around convection. If this was winter, that spurt in C OK would have dumped 6+ inches of snow.

[Mel]

Always my go to place for meaningful local weather events.

[Anonymous.]

Looking ahead, now.

Looks like an amazing weekend, mid 80s.

Next week the heat builds back, but only to lower 90s across most of OK.

Next shot at rain/cooler temps comines in late next week heading into next weekend. The following week appears unsettled on long-term GFS.

[LocoAko]

Per the Oklahoma Mesonet ticker...

Wow, how did I miss this? Apparently Burneyville down near the Red River recorded a 106MPH gust last night and recorded 3" of rain in an hour (with 2" of that occurring in 30 minutes).

[OKCisOK4me]

Downburst?