Oklahoma Weather Discussion - January/February 2012

[SoonerDave]

Has anyone looked at the GFS or Euro lately??? All models are showing a MAJOR change starting around the 26th of Feb-March 4th. (give or take a few days) An arctic intrustion seems to be wanting to head due south into the plain states. At the same time, several storm systems (one big one) could bring Oklahoma our first major winter storm of the year. Could be ice, sleet, or snow..or all the above. Just wondering what some of the mets are saying.

Awfully early to get too focused on anything that far out, I'd think.

[venture]

Has anyone looked at the GFS or Euro lately??? All models are showing a MAJOR change starting around the 26th of Feb-March 4th. (give or take a few days) An arctic intrustion seems to be wanting to head due south into the plain states. At the same time, several storm systems (one big one) could bring Oklahoma our first major winter storm of the year. Could be ice, sleet, or snow..or all the above. Just wondering what some of the mets are saying.

GFS has been hinting at it, but we'll see if it is still showing it in a few days. It does have a decent chance of snow around the first of March...3" or less. You go out a few more days on March 4th and it is forecasting a major severe weather outbreak. It'll change 30 more times. Don't get worked up yet.

[Roadhawg]

Hey Venture.... Don't you ever sleep? lol

[ou48A]

LATEST CONVECTION-ALLOWING AND MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT IN SUGGESTING THAT A BELT OF FOCUSED DCVA WILL GIVE
RISE TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS BY 20/21-23Z FROM NEAR THE COLD
FRONT/DRYLINE OCCLUSION OVER CNTRL KS SWD ALONG THE DRYLINE INTO
CNTRL OK. THE AMBIENT KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL FEATURE 40-45 KT
OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 100-250 M2/S2.
GIVEN THAT SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY CAN DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE...THE
SETUP WILL FAVOR LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL...LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF BRIEF
TORNADOES THROUGH THIS EVENING.



http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

[OKCisOK4me]

Is this outlook for north central Oklahoma like all stations were discussing last night?

[bandnerd]

Storms. Neat.

[OKCisOK4me]

That was exciting!

[SoonerQueen]

This picture was taken today as the front came through OKC. Notice the clouds and the rainbow. Amazing colors and great photography.

[Bunty]

Looks like a mess of sheets of rain, regular storm clouds and dust clouds. Luckily the storm didn't come with as much destruction as it looked.

[catch22]

Yesterday was pretty cool. I got off work about 315pm on the southwest side of town, was driving towards Edmond and it was very stormy looking and as I got on I-44 it was raining pretty heavily. Ate late lunch with my girlfriend and by about 530pm I was driving back to the southside and it was warm and sunny! Not a cloud in sight!

[SoonerDave]

This picture was taken today as the front came through OKC. Notice the clouds and the rainbow. Amazing colors and great photography.

That's an awesome picture. Did you take that, SQ? If so, was that tintype coloring just a happy accident or purposeful?

[Ginkasa]

My wife and I looked out the window yesterday and saw it was cloudy and stormy looking. 10 minutes later we heard some thunder. We looked out again to see if it had started raining, and the sky was blue and sunny.

[BG918]

Has anyone looked at the GFS or Euro lately??? All models are showing a MAJOR change starting around the 26th of Feb-March 4th. (give or take a few days) An arctic intrustion seems to be wanting to head due south into the plain states. At the same time, several storm systems (one big one) could bring Oklahoma our first major winter storm of the year. Could be ice, sleet, or snow..or all the above. Just wondering what some of the mets are saying.

Not seeing this on the NAM...didn't look at the latest run of GFS, is it still showing up there?

[bandnerd]

That's an awesome picture. Did you take that, SQ? If so, was that tintype coloring just a happy accident or purposeful?

No, she didn't take it. Someone Midtowner and I know did, though. It's an Instagram picture taken from an office building.

[MDot]

No, she didn't take it. Someone Midtowner and I know did, though. It's an Instagram picture taken from an office building.

I can't really tell but to me it looks like it was taken from the Valliance Bank building, am I wrong?

[bandnerd]

I can't really tell but to me it looks like it was taken from the Valliance Bank building, am I wrong?

I'll have to ask!

[catch22]

Looks like it is, looking east. Plus the rainbow, so it would be looking east after the storms passed. Great picture though, thanks for sharing it with us!

[OKCisOK4me]

I can't really tell but to me it looks like it was taken from the Valliance Bank building, am I wrong?

From that side of NW Expressway, there's nothing else that high... so yes.

[sacolton]

What's the scoop on the big thunderstorm next week? Feb. 28th?

[Easy180]

Well it is looking like the worst commute of the entire winter was due to freezing fog

[Roadhawg]

about time for the March/April thread

[Tydude]

March/April thread is already made but it came up as to forum so Moderates can you put both of them together

[OKCisOK4me]

I like how Channel 4 (once again) is the only station giving this afternoon a significant chance of crazy storms...

[Tydude]

[OKCisOK4me]

Yeah, slight to me means like 20%...