Oklahoma Weather Discussion - November/December 2011

[OKCisOK4me]

I like how 4 is already predicting a 70% chance, while 5 and 9 are 20-30% chances.

[BG918]

I like how 4 is already predicting a 70% chance, while 5 and 9 are 20-30% chances.

The NWS is predicting a 50% chance of rain/snow for central and northern OK Saturday night. Still several days out. There could be a distinct line across Oklahoma where rain changes to snow, and when it happens Saturday evening.

[OKCisOK4me]

I'm rooting for Ice Bowl 2 so I'll feel even more warm & cozy watching it at home on the big screen!

[venture]

So this upcoming weekend's snow potential is still up in the air. NAM and GFS aren't on the same page at all...

GFS is slower and further west and north.


NAM is faster and covers most of Western OK is some accumulation a day earlier.

[Maynard]

---
---
---
NAM is faster and covers most of Western OK is some accumulation a day earlier.
---

[OkieHornet]

to warm you up a little bit, we officially had the hottest summer ever for any state. there was some debate earlier about texas being the hottest, but we beat them.
http://blog.newsok.com/weather/2011/...began-in-1895/

[Bunty]

The NWS has upped the chance for rain in Stillwater on Saturday to 80%, but dropping to 40% that night. Optimistically speaking, maybe most of the rain will be winding down or even finished by game time.

GO COWBOYS, BEAT OU!

[ou48A]

The NWS has upped the chance for rain in Stillwater on Saturday to 80%, but dropping to 40% that night. Optimistically speaking, maybe most of the rain will be winding down or even finished by game time.

GO COWBOYS, BEAT OU!

Given the history of this series it means the forecast will still call for a 90%+ chance of a poke choke, regardless of the weather.

[MDot]

Given the history of this series it means the forecast will still call for a 90%+ chance of a poke choke, regardless of the weather.

LOL you're going to be the most upset and the one venting the most on here if OSU beats OU. =/

[ou48A]

LOL you're going to be the most upset and the one venting the most on here if OSU beats OU. =/

No your wrong.... Sure I wouldn’t like it but I also know that it has happened so infrequently that it would not be an event worthy of getting too upset about. After all it’s one of the more lopsided series in all of college sports. OU has held OSU scoreless more times than OSU has even beaten OU (not 100% sure but I believe this is 28 to 16). OSU has beaten OU 5 times in history in Stillwater.

[MDot]

No your wrong.... Sure I wouldn’t like it but I also know that it has happened so infrequently that it would not be an event worthy of getting too upset about. After all it’s one of the more lopsided series in all of college sports. OU has held OSU scoreless more times than OSU has even beaten OU (not 100% sure but I believe this is 28 to 16). OSU has beaten OU 5 times in history in Stillwater.

I believe you're correct on OU shutting out OSU 28 times and I know you're correct on OSU only winning 16 times. I think that OSU has won 6 times in Stillwater but same difference; but this is the weather thread. LOL

BTW, I was just joking about what I said, don't get to worked up, it's bad for your health. LOL

[OKCisOK4me]

Bedlam is apples and oranges.. back to weather.

[MDot]

Bedlam is apples and oranges.. back to weather.

Literally. =) but anyways, is it still looking like it's going to snow here in the next few weeks because I'm going to be out a lot between now and Christmas and I don't want to get caught up in any of that mess if at all avoidable.

[OKCisOK4me]

Hell, I have to move this weekend!

[Roadhawg]

Anything new on what's going to happen this weekend, weather wise.

[Andrew4OU]

Aaron Tuttle posted this on his Facebook weather page:

WOW! On Wednesday I said: "Latest computer data still saying much to do about nothing for this weekend but boy are they teasing next week starting Monday!" Little did I know when I came into work today and glanced at the models that the NAM paints 14" of snow over OK on Monday! I need to look at more data before sounding the alarms. Would like to see other models agree. This is getting fun!

http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlay...?STATIONID=TLX

[MDot]

14" of snow??! On Monday?? Oh lord...

[Andrew4OU]

Another update from AT:

WX UPDATE: Okay, I've looked over all the models. They all agree on many aspects. The main difference is that 2 of the 6 says heavy precip across central OK, the rest say the bullseye is across SE OK and N/NE TX. That difference means less snow/sleet totals in the metro or massive totals depending on which model is correct. As of now it looks like light wintry mix breaks out late Sunday afternoon, rain/sleet/snow then transitions to all snow Monday morning through afternoon before winding down. Winds may get up to around 50 mph. Could be a significant ice/sleet storm just SE of the I-44 corridor into SE OK if temps chill enough. Across central OK snow totals will depend on how much sleet is mixed in at the beginning. Several inches is definitely likely.

[SoonerDave]

14" of snow??! On Monday?? Oh lord...

No way. I refuse to believe it.

[Roadhawg]

Are you talking about this upcoming Monday? Both Channel 9 and TWC says clear but cold.

[Andrew4OU]

Are you talking about this upcoming Monday? Both Channel 9 and TWC says clear but cold.

Yes, according to AT it's this coming Monday. I'm scratching my head right now looking at the NWS' forecast and all the local stations' forecasts. Hopefully Venture can clear some of this up.

[Roadhawg]

Yes, according to AT it's this coming Monday. I'm scratching my head right now looking at the NWS' forecast and all the local stations' forecasts. Hopefully Venture can clear some of this up.

I'm thinking one of them is wrong lol

[adaniel]

Is this the same Aaron Tuttle that said this May an F5 tornado was going to move through the heart of OKC and we should all pray?

Yeah, color me skeptical.

[Roadhawg]

Well according to the Farmers Almanac the weathers going to be:

DECEMBER 2011: temperature 46° (2° below avg.); precipitation 1" (1.5" below avg.); Dec 1-7: T-storms, then very cold, freeze threat; Dec 8-14: Rain, then sunny, warm; Dec 15-18: Snow north, rain south, then sunny, cold; Dec 19-25: Flurries north, rainy periods south; cool; Dec 26-31: Sunny; cool, then warm.

[SoonerDave]

The KOCO weatherblog has a new post discussing the increasing possibility of precipitation from Saturday through Monday, including possible snowfall in central OK on Monday. (As an aside, Bedlam itself now looks very cold and very windy, with the bulk of the rain having moved out by kickoff).

The mention of snow for Monday isn't quite the snowmaggedon prediction from Captain Tuttle, but at least starting to see some convergence of opinion that holds for winter-type moisture coming through..