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Originally Posted by
BDP
The reality is that Whole Foods is very much a destination grocer and I would think it would be even more so in Oklahoma City than their best markets. It's very rare that Whole Foods is the only place their customers shop for groceries. This is why density of income is so important to them and why our diluted demographics kind of hurt us.
So, really, their location scouters have an interesting question to answer: Do you locate as close to potential regular and/or exclusive shoppers even if that will probably be a minority of your customer base and would make it less convenient for the rest of the market, or do you locate in a location that offers the greatest convenience for the greatest number of people even if most of them individually are not going to shop there every week?
The interesting thing about downtown is that they would have a virtual monopoly on downtown, midtown, heritage hills, and mesta park, while being the best option for all of the core and historic neighborhoods in terms of quality. They would be able to easily sell to the downtown working community, which comes from all over the metro and would be a very good "day of" market to sell their popular (and margin building) prepared foods. They would be under a 25 minute drive from much of Norman, Edmond, Yukon, and Midwest City.
If they locate in CC, they are close to probably the biggest concentration of money in the city, but they lose a lot of the convenience factor for suburbs and lose some of their competitive advantage of the core neighborhoods and historic areas. They give up the convenience being in the city center would be for the downtown working sector and exchange it for basically Chesapeake's employee base.
So, while it seems at face value that CC is the best place because of the proximity to NH, downtown offers a lot of upside for them that could make the two locations fairly equal. I think it depends a lot on exactly where they would put one downtown. If they could find a spot that has good accessibility, it might not be such a bad deal for them.
I still think it would be CC if they do locate here. But if they are intent on creating a destination store in the city, downtown may make a lot of sense.
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