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Thread: January '10 Weather Discussion

  1. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by sacolton View Post
    I'm waiting until 8:00 am to decide if I'm going in to work or not.
    I wish I had that choice. We're probably going to try and squeeze half a day in so we don't have to make it up later.

    ETA: Looks like every school in the metro except mine is closed. Even McGuinness is closed. Now I know how my students fee!
    Still corrupting young minds

  2. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    http://www.dps.state.ok.us/cgi-bin/weathermap.cgi

    Road Conditions...should start to see West Central OK go down hill fast.

  3. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Many flights are canceled after 8am.

  4. #204

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    I was telling my husband that I sure am glad I am not on pins and needles with kids en route the way I was during the Christmas Eve storm event. I'm staying home with my dogs. Hope the power holds...

    Bandnerd, I can't believe they are planning to have school and send the kiddos home in the midst of it.

    Ya'll be safe, out there.

  5. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    I got the call right after I posted that!
    Still corrupting young minds

  6. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    All areas North and west of I-44 now below freezing.

  7. #207

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Diagnostics suggest the 32F temperature line will set up from Lawton to Purcell to south of Shawnee, with temperatures near 29-31F in most of OKC as the heavy precip gets going this morning. So roads will start to see ice build up on exposed surfaces 8-9am most parts of OKC area, then bridges getting bad around 10am, then the main roads slowly going downhill after that. With the wind, power lines could become a problem by afternoon.

    Some indications the freezing line at the surface will come back north - maybe into Norman/Moore this evening, but the damage may be done by then.

  8. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion


  9. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion



    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0071
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0701 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010

    AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS E-CENTRAL/NERN NM...TX PANHANDLE AND
    SOUTH-PLAINS REGIONS...WRN-CENTRAL OK.

    CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

    VALID 281301Z - 281800Z

    EXTENSIVE AND GROWING PRECIP AREA ACROSS ERN NM...W TX AND SRN OK
    FCST TO MOVE/EXPAND NWD AND NEWD THROUGH 18Z...RESULTING IN SNOW
    RATES 1-2 INCH/HOUR FROM NEAR LVS-SRR LINE NEWD AND EWD ACROSS NRN
    PANHANDLE THROUGH 18Z. MEANWHILE FREEZING RAIN ALREADY OBSERVED
    INVOF AMA/CVS SHOULD TRANSITION TO AREA OF SLEET THAT EXPANDS IN
    PROGRESSIVELY NARROWER ZONE EWD ACROSS PORTIONS WRN/CENTRAL OK NEAR
    AND JUST NW OKC. MIXED ZONE OF BOTH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
    EXIST FOR MUCH OF REMAINDER MORNING ALONG CORRIDOR FROM E OF CVS
    TOWARD CSM/OKC AREAS...WITH FREEZING RAIN BECOMING PREDOMINANT
    PRECIP TYPE WITH SWD TO SWD-SHIFTING SFC FREEZING LINE.

    PRECIP PLUME WILL BE ENHANCED BY STG LOW LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE
    TRANSPORT REGIME ACCOMPANYING BOTH BROAD/35-45 KT SRN/WARM BRANCH OF
    LLJ OVER SW TX...AND SIMILARLY STRONG BUT SOMEWHAT NARROWER NRN
    BRANCH LLJ ACROSS SWRN OK...SRN PANHANDLE/NRN SOUTH-PLAINS REGION
    AND E-CENTRAL NM. MID-UPPER WINDS WILL BE STRONGLY MERIDIONAL WITH
    SOME ELY COMPONENT...NE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT IS EVIDENT IN
    MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY EJECTING NEWD OVER SWRN NM. 12Z AMA RAOB
    SHOWS ROUGHLY 2500 FT DEEP WARM NOSE ABOVE STABLE/POSTFRONTAL
    BOUNDARY LAYER...SUPPORTING FREEZING RAIN AS OBSERVED...BUT SHOULD
    COOL THROUGHOUT REMAINDER MORNING AS TRANSITION OCCURS THROUGH SLEET
    TO SNOW. 12Z OUN SOUNDING...WITHOUT ANY ADVECTION OR DYNAMIC
    COOLING -- WOULD EXPERIENCE WET-BULB CHANGE TO JUST ABOVE FREEZING.
    HOWEVER...CONTINUED CAA AND DRY ADVECTION BENEATH OVERSPREADING
    PRECIP PLUME WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL EFFECTS...
    1. SFC FREEZING LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE S ACROSS CENTRAL/SWRN
    OK AND TX SOUTH-PLAINS REGION THROUGH 18Z...REACHING TO NEAR
    ROW-FSI-OKM LINE.
    2. EVAPORATIVE EFFECTS...TO SOME EXTENT AND IN A TOP-DOWN
    FASHION...WILL BE OFFSET BY DOWNWARD-DIRECTED SENSIBLE HEAT FLUXES
    FROM RELATIVELY WARM PRECIP FALLING INTO COLDER AIR. THIS WILL ACT
    TO COMPACT ISOTHERMS AND COMPRESS LAYER OF STRONGEST STATIC
    STABILITY VERTICALLY. MAIN UNCERTAINTY ATTM IS TO WHAT EXTENT THIS
    WILL OCCUR...WHICH WILL AFFECT TRANSITION FROM FREEZING RAIN TO
    SLEET IN AND NEAR AFOREMENTIONED TRANSITION ZONE.

    ..EDWARDS/JEWELL.. 01/28/2010

  10. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion


  11. #211

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    We are beginning to get some nasty wet crap out west of the airport. It was still dry at 6:10 (about an hour ago).

  12. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by PennyQuilts View Post
    We are beginning to get some nasty wet crap out west of the airport.
    I didn't know you moved back to Oklahoma.

  13. #213

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Thunder View Post
    I didn't know you moved back to Oklahoma.
    We were back about ten days before the LAST big winter event! Good times, baby! Thrilled to be home, let me tell ya. I love Oklahoma weather and am glad I won't miss another Oklahoma spring.

    Ask me, again, when the power goes out. I meant to pick up a generator but didn't get around to it. Serve me right for not thinking ahead.

  14. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    LOL! I need to meet my adopted mother!

  15. #215

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    It is icing up out here. The van windshield is covered with ice and the fences are getting sheets. The plastic gutter extension is lightly encrusted.

  16. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Same down here in Norman. Just peaked out side a bit and all the tree branches, table on the deck, etc...all have a nice coating of ice already.

  17. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Icing everywhere on exposed surfaces here in Del City.

  18. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Suggestion from a user on Live Blog.

    When driving with the heat defroster for the windshield, drive with your visors down, it will force the heat back down and effectively maintain the heat on the windshield.

  19. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    12Z NAM is pretty much status quo. No indication of any change over before midnight tonight. Hopefully some colder air can work in and get this over to sleet at least.

  20. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by venture79 View Post
    12Z NAM is pretty much status quo. No indication of any change over before midnight tonight. Hopefully some colder air can work in and get this over to sleet at least.
    what do you think the chances of that are?

  21. Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Not very likely as of right now it seems.

  22. #222

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    It is COLD out there. I think the bottom just fell out here west of the airport. Wind has picked up and it is bitter.

  23. #223

    Angry Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    Raining pretty good now in Bethany...building up a glaze on trees and powerlines....I'm pretty sure we'll lose power today so if I don't get to chat with ya'll later everybody take care out there.

  24. #224

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    We are running the heater a little hotter to try to capture some, just in case. Off to take a hot shower while I am sure I can...

  25. #225

    Default Re: January '10 Weather Discussion

    The 12Z NAM model output for OKC area is absolutely classic for significant freezing rain this afternoon and evening. Expect 3/4 to 1" ice and major impacts on the power grid and roads.

    An interesting curveball in the 12Z NAM - it now develops a band of heavy snow right over the OKC-Tulsa corridor on the back side of the system midday to late afternoon tomorrow, with potentially 3-5" of snow. We'll see if this trend continues.

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