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Thread: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

  1. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Other storms in NW OK.

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    TORNADO WARNING
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
    456 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...
    NORTHWESTERN DEWEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
    SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
    SOUTHERN WOODWARD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

    * UNTIL 600 PM CDT

    * AT 456 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
    TORNADOES WAS LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTH OF HARMON...MOVING NORTHEAST
    AT 30 MPH.

    * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE HARMON...MUTUAL...SHARON AND VICI.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE
    TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR
    HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE
    WALLS.

  2. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Bulletin - eas activation requested
    tornado warning
    national weather service norman ok
    542 pm cdt sun apr 26 2009

    the national weather service in norman has issued a

    * tornado warning for...
    Northwestern major county in northwest oklahoma...
    Southeastern woods county in northwest oklahoma...
    Eastern woodward county in northwest oklahoma...

    * until 645 pm cdt

    * at 542 pm cdt...a thunderstorm with a history of producing
    tornadoes was located 15 miles southwest of quinlan...moving
    northeast at 40 mph.

    * locations in the warning include avard...hopeton...quinlan and
    waynoka.

  3. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Radar run down.

    On going tornadic storm in NW Oklahoma. Main area is north of Mutual on US 183 at County Road N2130. This will move into the Quinlan, Waynoka, and Mooreland areas.

    Southwest Oklahoma storms, which have potential to impact the Metro in a couple to few hours. Strong is over Snyder right now moving NE. Its structure has been fluctuating quite a bit lately. It will need to be watched as it moves into a better environment for tornadoes.

    Another storm is near Mangum down to Gould to Eldorado, then a break and another storm over Quanah, TX. Sporadic rotation is shown on radar with these. These will likely develop further as they move north.

  4. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Bulletin - eas activation requested
    tornado warning
    national weather service norman ok
    547 pm cdt sun apr 26 2009

    the national weather service in norman has issued a

    * tornado warning for...
    Northwestern dewey county in northwest oklahoma...
    Southeastern ellis county in northwest oklahoma...
    Southwestern woodward county in northwest oklahoma...
    Northwestern roger mills county in western oklahoma...

    * until 645 pm cdt

    * at 548 pm cdt...national weather service doppler radar indicated a
    severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 3 miles west of
    crawford...moving northeast at 20 mph.

    * locations in the warning include crawford and harmon.

  5. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Short term forecast
    national weather service norman ok
    543 pm cdt sun apr 26 2009

    .now...
    ...regional weather discussion...

    Early this evening...radar and satellite observations...along with forecast models...indicated that severe storms will occur in two primary clusters. One cluster was in progress over northwest oklahoma from reydon to near woodward and alva. Thunderstorms will develop repeatedly where an outflow boundary intersects a dryline in the eastern texas panhandle...just west of roger mills county oklahoma. A second cluster of storms had formed in western north texas and southwest oklahoma. Supercells were scattered along a line from guthrie to quanah texas...to hollis oklahoma. And a separate isolated supercell was located near frederick oklahoma. These storms will move northeast...and eventually may turn to the east later this evening. All of these storms will produce large hail...and the more isolated storms will produce destructive hail of baseball size or larger.

    Although storms were interacting and producing outflow...they were also meeting exceptionally strong inflow. With low pressure intensifying in the texas panhandle...surface winds across north texas and oklahoma had increased from the southeast...at 30 to 40 mph...with some gusts over 50 mph near the inflow to thunderstorms. This will offset the effects of outflow...and maintain a distinct threat of tornadoes into the evening hours.

    In addition...flooding is likely to continue with the storm cluster in northwest oklahoma. These storms will move into northern oklahoma
    later this evening...and areas that experienced heavy rain on saturday night...will very quickly see runoff and renewed flooding this evening.

  6. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Mesoscale discussion 0587
    nws storm prediction center norman ok
    0544 pm cdt sun apr 26 2009

    areas affected...portions central/srn ks...central/wrn ok...nw
    tx...and ern tx panhandle.

    Concerning...tornado watch 190...192...

    Valid 262244z - 262345z

    the severe weather threat for tornado watch 190...192...continues.

    Severe threat -- including potential for significant tornadoes and
    damaging hail -- will continue across much of ww areas past
    scheduled 00z expiration time for ww 190...and probably well past
    03z expiration of ww 192. Therefore...we are planning to replace ww
    190 and at least some of 192 with one consolidated/pds tornado watch
    that will go past midnight local time. Haskell/throckmorton counties
    tx -- in wfo sjt jurisdiction -- are being switched from ww 192 to
    ww 193.

    Damaging tornado already has been observed by media and chasers with
    earlier storm in nw ok now moving into woodward county...and
    environment will remain favorable for more of these with any
    relatively discrete storms whose inflow is not too disrupted by
    other activity. Tornado potential may increase with
    pronounced/discrete supercell in sw ok...that should move from fdr
    area newd toward caddo county during next couple hours. Additional
    activity is expected to develop over ern tx panhandle and nw tx and
    move newd as well...with mix of linear...embedded-supercell and bow
    modes. Modified raobs...vwp/profiler data and ruc soundings all
    indicate boundary layer shear remaining quite favorable and
    reactively maximized over wrn ok...extreme s-central ks and portions
    nw tx sw of cds -- e.g. 0-1 km srh 300-500 j/kg. Vertical
    veer/back/veer profile that has been evident in wind profiles across
    this region appears to be contributing to some linear
    tendencies...but is progged to become more classically veering with
    height through remainder afternoon/evening. Pressure falls analyzed
    across nrn tx panhandle...ern ok panhandle and swrn ks indicate sfc
    flow will remain favorably backed over this region...keeping
    hodographs enlarged. Nearly uncapped air mass with 1500-2000 j/kg
    mlcape will be maintained through evening hours as loss of mixing
    and moist advection each keep effective inflow parcels nearly
    sfc-based.

    ..edwards.. 04/26/2009

  7. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Replacement tornado watch...
    WWUS30 KWNS 262312
    SAW5
    SPC AWW 262312
    WW 195 TORNADO KS OK TX 262315Z - 270800Z
    AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
    45WNW EMP/EMPORIA KS/ - 90SW SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /38SE SLN - 36NNE ABI/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.

    REPLACES WW 190..KS OK TX
    REPLACES WW 192..OK TX



    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 195
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    615 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

    THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
    TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

    SOUTH CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
    WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
    NORTHWEST TEXAS INCLUDING THE EASTERN PANHANDLE

    EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 615 PM UNTIL
    300 AM CDT.

    ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

    DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
    THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
    POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

    THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
    MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
    EMPORIA KANSAS TO 90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. FOR
    A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
    OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

    REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
    TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
    AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
    THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
    AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
    WATCH NUMBER 190...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 192. WATCH NUMBER 190 192
    WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 615 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 193...WW
    194...

    DISCUSSION...COMBINATION OF EXTREME LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR...ALONG
    WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY...WILL MAINTAIN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE
    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT. ACTIVITY
    WILL BE SUSTAINED AS STRONG VERTICAL MOTION OVERSPREADS THE REGION
    AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
    ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHO
    STRUCTURES. TORNADO THREAT REMAINS HIGH WITH ANY SUSTAINED
    SUPERCELLS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL INCREASE AS LLJ
    INTENSIFIES THIS EVENING WHICH SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE TORNADO
    POTENTIAL. VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
    ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

    AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
    SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
    WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
    550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.

    TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0195
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0618 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

    WT 0195 PDS
    PROBABILITY TABLE:
    PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 90%
    PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 70%
    PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 50%
    PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 60%
    PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 70%
    PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 80%
    PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95%

    &&
    ATTRIBUTE TABLE:
    MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 3.0
    MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60
    MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 550
    MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 23035
    PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : YES

  8. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Now I don't want to go to sleep tonight.. there is probably nothing worse than a night tornado.
    " You've Been Thunder Struck ! "

  9. #59

    Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Mike Morgan after it again. Three supercells headed toward metro. Peak time between 7:45 and 11 ish. Guess I need to go get the closet prepped. May just sleep there with motorcycle helmet on. Oh boy.

    MM said the type of tornado watch is PSA or PDA? (did I hear that correctly weather fans?) - something to the effect that this elevates the severity of the storms (any potential tornados) to a minimum F3.

    Yikes!

  10. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    PDS - Particularly Dangerous Situation. If you look at my post a couple back, i have the watch details and probabilities...one is about the tornado intensity.

    PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 70%

    So that just means than at least 70% chance of at least 1 EF2 or higher.

  11. #61

    Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    I think it's time to get the closet put together just in case. So much for watching my PBS show. Looks like I need to keep the weather on.

  12. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Starting to show some broad rotation on the storm in Kiowa and Caddo Counties. Area of concern would be just south of Mountain View. Storm is moving NNE.

  13. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    70 % Here ???? omg
    " You've Been Thunder Struck ! "

  14. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    High Risk has been shifted east to include the entire OKC metro area over night.





    DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0759 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

    VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

    ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PART OF SRN KS...MUCH OF
    WRN/CENTRAL OK AND WRN PART OF N TX...

    ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA
    FROM SW TX TO ERN KS...

    ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE
    UPPER MS VALLEY...

    ONGOING SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
    WELL AFTER DARK FROM CENTRAL PART OF TX THROUGH MUCH OF OK TO KS.
    THREAT FOR LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS...VERY LARGE/DESTRUCTIVE
    HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MODERATE AND HIGH
    RISK AREAS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT.

    ...SRN PLAINS TO CENTRAL/ERN KS AND LOWER MO VALLEY...
    HIGH RISK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY EWD TO HIGHLIGHT THE GREATEST
    LIKELIHOOD FOR LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS THROUGH THIS EVENING
    INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT...WITH THE ERN EXTENT GENERALLY
    RESIDING ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM NRN TX TO SRN KS.

    EARLY EVENING REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A QLCS EXTENDING FROM FAR
    NWRN MO SWWD THROUGH SRN KS TO NWRN OK...WITH MORE DISCRETE
    SUPERCELLS LOCATED FROM SWRN OK TO SW TX. ALTHOUGH 90 KT SWLY MID
    LEVEL JET WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE UPPER MS
    VALLEY OVERNIGHT...A BAND OF 50-60 KT SWLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL
    ACCOMPANY A SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRACKING EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.
    ASCENT AHEAD OF NM TROUGH WILL MAINTAIN LIKELIHOOD FOR ADDITIONAL
    TSTMS DEVELOPING AND SPREADING ENEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH
    EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE STRONG MID LEVEL JET COUPLED WITH FURTHER
    STRENGTHENING OF A SLY LLJ ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN
    EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /35-50 KT/ ACROSS MODERATE/HIGH RISK AREAS.
    SLY LLJ WILL SUPPORT RICH MOISTURE INFLOW INTO ONGOING STORMS
    RESULTING IN LOW LCLS...WHILE STRONG LLJ INCREASES SIZE OF LOW LEVEL
    HODOGRAPH CURVATURE FOR ATTENDANT TORNADO THREAT. IN
    ADDITION...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7-8 C/KM/ SPREADING EWD
    ACROSS SRN PLAINS WITH NM TROUGH WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED THREAT FOR
    VERY LARGE HAIL FROM KS SWD THROUGH OK TO SW TX.

    FARTHER W INTO OK/TX PANHANDLES...LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
    SURFACE ANALYSES INDICATED THE DRY LINE RETREATING WWD...ENHANCED BY
    CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW...THROUGH WEST CENTRAL/SWRN KS AND ALSO TOWARD
    CENTRAL PARTS OF OK/TX PANHANDLES. ALTHOUGH STRONGER/SEVERE
    ACTIVITY IS LOCATED WELL E OF THE DRY LINE AT THIS TIME FROM NEAR
    CDS TO NWRN OK/CENTRAL KS...THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW TSTM
    DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS EVENING/TONIGHT AS A MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES
    EWD FROM CENTRAL NM. MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG AND E OF DRY LINE
    COMBINED WITH 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR SUGGESTS ANY NEW
    DEVELOPMENT VICINITY OF DRY LINE WOULD POSE A THREAT FOR SEVERE
    STORMS.

  15. #65

    Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    What is "shot size hail"? Morgan is inventing hail sizes now.

  16. #66

    Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    I heard that too.

    I was looking at KOCO's interactive radar earlier today, and it said "Hen-egg size hail possible" and "teacup size hail". I'm still scratching my head..

  17. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    NWS Norman's HWO kinda disregards the guidance of the people in the same building. lol

    855 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

    THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
    CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

    .DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

    THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
    THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF
    WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

    LOCATION...
    ALL OF WESTERN...NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
    ADJACENT AREAS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

    TIMING...
    WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
    AT LEAST MIDNIGHT...WITH A SLOW DECREASE IN THE NUMBER OF SEVERE
    STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

    IMPACTS...
    HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS.
    WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH.
    FLOODING
    MAYBE TORNADOES.

    RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
    STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL NEED TO
    CONTINUE SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS EVENING AND INTO THE NIGHT.

    DISCUSSION...
    AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND
    OKLAHOMA TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER NORTHERN
    UTAH. WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH VERY STRONG
    WIND SHEAR TO PRODUCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH WILL BE
    SUPERCELLS. VERY STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE MAY MIX TO THE
    GROUND IN AND AROUND THE STRONGER STORMS TONIGHT. SOME AREAS ACROSS
    NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA RECEIVED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LAST NIGHT AND
    WILL REMAIN VERY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT.

    PROBABILITY TABLE...
    VALID THROUGH 500 AM CDT MONDAY APR 27.
    PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
    NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
    PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR... 70 PERCENT.

    OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
    A FLOOD WATCH IS IN AFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH
    MONDAY AFTERNOON.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

    THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
    STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AS THE
    COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS FORECAST
    OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A
    BREAK IN THE ACTION IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...BUT THUNDERSTORMS WILL
    LIKELY RESUME WEDNESDAY...WITH THE ACTIVE PATTERN REMAINING THROUGH
    FRIDAY.

    OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
    RIVER FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN AREAS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA
    ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS A RESULT OF RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL. THOUGH
    EXACT AREAS CANNOT BE DEFINED AT THIS POINT...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
    HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN OTHER
    AREAS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

    THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
    MONDAY MORNING. UNSCHEDULED UPDATES MAY ALSO BE ISSUED SUNDAY
    EVENING.

  18. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Across the screen about a half hour earlier it said Tornado possibility was Downgraded. Is that true?
    " You've Been Thunder Struck ! "

  19. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    SPC says no, I would say yes.

  20. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Quick thoughts on why so far things seem to not have gone...

    1) Early convection was a major point and little cap/sun.
    2) Supercells that did developed ended up training or going semi-linear really fast.

    This is one of those cases that I've talked about, on high risk days if one little thing is out of whack...the whole event fails. So don't think of this as a blown forecast or that the guys got it wrong...one or two little things threw the whole thing off. Now should they still have a high risk up? No.

    If the storms didn't line up like they did, they wouldn't have been seeding each other reducing their intensity. So pretty much, the potential was there...but a couple things were out of order and it didn't happen.

  21. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Venture, I'm home now, but the chat is saying to be on standby mode.

    I CAN'T TALK! lol

    I didn't see much. Little rain, no hail, no tornado, frequent lightning.

  22. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Power outage a few minutes ago, haven't been able to get it bakc up yet.

  23. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Okay, I'll sit here and wait. lol

  24. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    Venture, this is probably nothing, but maybe you got an answer for this?



    What is that circle? Just a random shape or something else? It made me think of the hurricane eye, but I know that isn't it. lol

  25. Default Re: Severe Weather - April 26th - Potential Tornado Outbreak

    It could be a little meso low in the MCS...but that is just a rough guess without looking at anything.

    Latest MCD from SPC say they are watching for development in Western/Central OK.

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