October 2024 - General Weather Discussion

[Brett]

at 0700 today it was 48 degrees

Good to know but i don't live at Will Rogers airport where the official temperature is calculated.

[kukblue1]

Air is so dry it cools off quickly and heats up quickly during the day.

[Jeepnokc]

Good to know but i don't live at Will Rogers airport where the official temperature is calculated.

So I live immediately SW of airport. i drive a jeep and I can feel the temperature drop 10 degrees as I drive the two miles west from I44 across the southern part of airport

[SEMIweather]

Our gently rolling terrain combined with rapid transition between the outer suburbs and very sparsley populated areas can result in wide temperature variances on calm, clear nights. There was a night back in October 2021 when my car thermometer showed 72 degrees at NW 10th & Garth Brooks, and dropped to 51 degrees at NW 10th & Cimarron, just three miles to the west. The OKC East Mesonet site will sometimes be 10 degrees cooler than areas just a mile or two to the west if conditions are right, due to its location in the river valley and lack of urban heat island influence relative to Downtown/Midtown OKC.

[Anonymous.]

Drought intensifies through at least the back half of October.

[BG918]

No moisture available as long as there is a closed-off tropical low in the Gulf. For us or the rest of the country outside of Florida and the Pacific NW. This could actually be an historically dry October for many areas. I don’t think I’ve ever seen models trending this dry 2-3 weeks out and I’ve been following weather models daily for the past 15 years.

[OKCRealtor]

Hopefully we have just one more week of 90's, looks like a scorcher for OU/TX especially being a 2:30 this year. Have we had 90's in November before? Seems plausible that we could experience those before too long given climate change.

I will say though that it's still much cooler in the mornings & evenings but even during the afternoon it still feels 20 degrees cooler than it did not long ago with the humidity being way down. I run quite a bit and even during peak heat last couple weeks it's still been a major relief from July/August.

Glass half full I guess, we basically have 6 months now where it can be really hot at any given time- May-October.

[C_M_25]

I can’t remember a time of so many consecutive days with a single cloud in the sky. I hate it. Bring on the rain!!!!

[Urbanized]

…Have we had 90's in November before? Seems plausible that we could experience those before too long given climate change...

The answer is no, we have historically never experienced the 90s during November, although record highs during most of the month are pretty close, with many in the upper eighties. However, all but six days in OCTOBER have a record in the 90s, with many of those in the UPPER 90s.

The records are also pretty well distributed among the years and the decades since the 1890s, with seven of those records coming after 2000 and only a single one in the 2020s. In 2021 the record high was 94 on October 8.

The records for the first seven days of October were set in 1938, 1938, 1951, 1931, 1947, 1939 and 1979. Today’s record (Oct 5) was 95 degrees, set in 1947.

https://www.weather.gov/oun/climate-records

Oddball records can and do happen; I remember well a day in February 1996 (Feb 22) when the temp was 92 degrees. If it can happen in February it can happen just about any time of the year.

[Bunty]

The answer is no, we have historically never experienced the 90s during November, although record highs during most of the month are pretty close, with many in the upper eighties. However, all but six days in OCTOBER have a record in the 90s, with many of those in the UPPER 90s.

The records are also pretty well distributed among the years and the decades since the 1890s, with seven of those records coming after 2000 and only a single one in the 2020s. In 2021 the record high was 94 on October 8.

The records for the first seven days of October were set in 1938, 1938, 1951, 1931, 1947, 1939 and 1979. Today’s record (Oct 5) was 95 degrees, set in 1947.

https://www.weather.gov/oun/climate-records

Oddball records can and do happen; I remember well a day in February 1996 (Feb 22) when the temp was 92 degrees. If it can happen in February it can happen just about any time of the year.

The highest the temp got during November of last year at my place was 88.4 on the 7th. So, I don't think it is too far-fetched it could get to 90 this November, if unusually warm weather trends just keep going on. If so, maybe the first freeze will happen well into November this year.

[BG918]

Looking ahead to this week - a front moves through today knocking temps and humidity down for the next few days with highs in the 80’s. We might actually get some clouds around Thursday as some moisture returns as the high pushes Hurricane Milton into Florida.

Models are in agreement that a strong system will be moving through the week of the 14th. Unless tropical lows continue to rob us of any moisture there should be at least a chance of rain across the state. Hopefully the start of a more typical fall weather pattern..

[OKCRealtor]

The answer is no, we have historically never experienced the 90s during November, although record highs during most of the month are pretty close, with many in the upper eighties. However, all but six days in OCTOBER have a record in the 90s, with many of those in the UPPER 90s.

The records are also pretty well distributed among the years and the decades since the 1890s, with seven of those records coming after 2000 and only a single one in the 2020s. In 2021 the record high was 94 on October 8.

The records for the first seven days of October were set in 1938, 1938, 1951, 1931, 1947, 1939 and 1979. Today’s record (Oct 5) was 95 degrees, set in 1947.

https://www.weather.gov/oun/climate-records

Oddball records can and do happen; I remember well a day in February 1996 (Feb 22) when the temp was 92 degrees. If it can happen in February it can happen just about any time of the year.

Great info, thanks!

[BG918]

The 12Z GFS has been hinting at some showers possible mainly across eastern OK this Thursday and Friday. Amounts look light but encouraging to see green instead of white

[Teo9969]

I can’t remember a time of so many consecutive days with a single cloud in the sky. I hate it. Bring on the rain!!!!

When Pete called this out about California weather a few years back it really made me think about how great year round weather comes at a cost: variety

[SEMIweather]

Holy cow, Milton has intensified from 90 mph sustained winds to 175 mph sustained winds over the past 12 hours.

[jn1780]

Holy cow, Milton has intensified from 90 mph sustained winds to 175 mph sustained winds over the past 12 hours.

Hoping the forecasted weakening before landfall verifies.

[PoliSciGuy]

Hoping the forecasted weakening before landfall verifies.

It'll weaken to probably cat 3, but even then the surge is going to be insane. Depending on where this hits Tampa, this could be cataclysmic. Katrina was a cat 3 at landfall, after all.

[gjl]

But I hear with weakening the wind field is going to spread out significantly. And as much as I dislike our fall weather it is nothing compared to what the SE area of the country goes through with the hurricanes.

[C_M_25]

Nice storms and rain to the southwest. How are we missing out on this again?

[BG918]

One more chance of a few showers tomorrow into Friday morning and then dry and hot this weekend. Another front moves through and drops temps significantly for next week - highs in the 60's and lows in the 40's. No rain due to the strong high pressure and Milton robbing all of the Gulf moisture. The next storm system to affect the central U.S. will move through closer to the 19th-20th.

[jn1780]

Florida really dodged a bullet for the most part. That shear really ripped Milton apart in the final hours before landfall.

[C_M_25]

We’re not going to see a drop of rain this month, are we?

[kukblue1]

We’re not going to see a drop of rain this month, are we?

Unless we can get some moisture return the weekend of the 19th and get a chance of severe weather than NO.

[Pete]

If not for that huge one-day rainfall in August, we'd really be in a huge hole the last 3 months.

[kukblue1]

If not for that huge one-day rainfall in August, we'd really be in a huge hole the last 3 months.

Yukon, El Reno, my house between outlet mall and yukon missed out on all that rain for the most part. I only had .60 Yukon has .64 I think so 3 really since first of Aug that is all the rain I have gotten. 2 months.