Mesoscale analysis will be important today, could be a couple of subtle features that lead to early convective initiation. Certainly the trend over the past 12 hours seems to be that the Metro is more likely to get in on the action. Rush hour timing of 4-7 p.m. seems correct, so definitely worth keeping a close eye on. Still looks like the highest tornado threat will be to the east of the Metro as the storms should mostly be done here by the time the low level jet starts to intensify around sunset. But the hail threat may well be maximized over the Metro as shear profiles are very favorable and the storms will likely impact us before any upscale growth into a QLCS occurs.