I do wonder if we will see some sort of drop after the holiday spike. No more big holidays for quite some time.
Week 10 to 12 is about when you start seeing Influenza decline. So end of March is the baseline estimate unless vaccinations ramp up pretty fast.
Interestingly, the upper Midwest actually had a decline after Thanksgiving, but that may be because the climate actually got too cold for Covid.
1,497 cases today. Reminder that Tuesday usually show low numbers; last week it was only 1,194.
7-day rolling average 3,498 down slightly from the all-time high of 3,562.
19 additional deaths; 7-day rolling average 23.7.
Hospitalizations are 1,909 (-1); 1,927 is the all-time high.
ICU is 488 (-10); 501 is the all-time high.
I haven't really looked at cities specifically. Just noticed a fairly sizeable decline relatively to other regions a couple of weeks ago. May or may not be related to it being colder. It wouldn't be surprising if there is an ideal range even if its something simple as people being 'less active' in extreme cold regions. Of course, every region is going up now that may both due to the new UK strain taking root and also post Christmas rise.
https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/
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Good thread (and good reporting) from Kassie McClung on getting data on OK COVID deaths *by date of death*:
https://twitter.com/KassieMcClung/st...67691150786568
As she says, keep in mind this data is incomplete, and that recent decline is most likely due to a lag in reporting and not an actual decrease in deaths
I'm not sure about how temperature impacts COVID-19 (if at all), but more extreme temperature impacts human behavior in ways that increases the spread of COVID. Hotter or colder weather forces more people indoors, which is where more COVID is spread at far higher rates. More moderate weather allows for more interactions outdoors and more doors/windows open, which results in far less cases.
We had a co-worker in our office go home this morning sick with Covid symptoms. I was very surprised at the lack of communication concerning this from management. Large federal agency and we received very little information. Cleaning is scheduled for late tomorrow morning. Why not tonight??
There will be workers already in the office by then, and no mention of the type of cleaning will take place. Just surprised me at this far along, there was some definite struggles. Our campus has had cases already surely someone is trained to communicate and handle it better than we did.
I signed up for the vaccine using the new portal this morning.
The U.S. set a record yesterday with 3,700 deaths.
We are now routinely over 200,000 new cases per day.
3,305 new cases today; 7-day rolling average 3,506 just shy of an all-time record.
62 (!!) additional reported deaths, the most ever; 7-day rolling average 25.7.
Hospitalizations are 1,994 (+85!), an all-time high by a fair margin.
ICU is 494 (+6) just off the all-time high of 501.
You can almost be assured that as the rest of this week plays out we will smash every record.
3,781 new cases today; 7-day rolling average 3,488 just off all-time high.
39 more reported deaths; 7-day rolling average 26.1.
Hospitalizations are 1,987 (-7) down slightly from yesterday's all-time high.
ICU is 489 (-5); all-time high is 501.
2.6 Americans died every single minute yesterday from COVID-19.
^
Over 4,000, the first time that threshold has been reached.
I take it that is deaths in this country..
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