Simply look at the timing. Schools started back at the start of the september. That's the faint gray line that has the label. The purple line is about mid-september. The red line is the start of october, and the black line is the end of october. You can see that the increase in cases was generally up but no exponential. The cases we're seeing now are definitely exponential and occurs about 2 weeks after halloween...which is kinda interesting. If this was strictly schools, as you proclaim (btw, nice job on differentiating between k-12 and universities; you didn't do that originally), then I would have expected this exponential increase to have occurred much earlier this fall.
What we're seeing now is very different growth than anything before. I suspect that it's occurring for many different reasons. It didn't really register with me till writing this that we are really about 2 weeks post-halloween. This growth could be related to halloween parties, it could be related to covid taking hold in rural counties (remember, it takes time for this thing to move rural given the sparse population densities), it could be related to the ice storm, it could be related to increase pandemic-fatigue and premature return-to-normal by many people, it could....etc etc. You assume this is strictly school-related, but the reality is that it is far more complex of an issue than what you assume.
Sorry about the attachment ^
This website could use an upgrade for file uploads.
I think ice storm and Halloween ended up being a potent combo.
This also tracks with the “upgrade” in the reporting system, so is any of this just more people reporting?
i saw the CDC now has excess death numbers up through October 3rd. and it's just over 299,000.
Stillwater Medical Center is now full again of covid patients as of Monday morning, 11/16/20. This graph now includes Emergency Room Hold beds. These numbers represent patients requiring COVID19 inpatient care; however, no inpatient beds are available in house and other hospitals are not accepting transfers at this time. This should serve as a reminder to continue to take precautions against covid, in case your local hospital is under similar pressing conditions.
Fortunately, Stillwater City Council passes first reading of ordinance to extend mask mandate to Feb. 28. Stillwater Medical Center President and CEO were among those speaking in support of it:
https://www.stwnewspress.com/news/co...9449389ee.html
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It's insane that we know how to lower numbers, have the resources at the federal level to help people who have to stay home for a few weeks, yet our overall plan is to just trust individuals to "do the right thing." I really hope this peaks within the next week or so, but I'm doubtful.
The herd immunity crowd lost the Sweedish cite.
Sweden U-turns on herd immunity with tighter lockdown restrictions – CityAM
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cit...trictions/amp/
1,551 new cases today. 7-day rolling average is now 2,607, down slightly from yesterday's record.
6 additional deaths.
Hospitalizations are 1,381 (+134), an all-time high by a big margin.
ICU is 390 (+28) another all-time high.
Damn. One out of every 1,000 North Dakotans has died of Covid.That's a jaw dropping statistic.
So as I am understanding this now these numbers are from Monday technically? They changed the way they report numbers so our low count days might be Monday and Tuesdays instead of Sunday and Mondays
Well i just had an interesting experience...
Have worked downtown the majority of my adult life and have been asked for just about everything imaginable by the transients.... Today I had one ask me if I had a spare mask.... Guess I'll start carrying an extra with me until things settle down.
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