OU reported 61 positive cases for Wednesday (they always lag a couple of days), more than double any previous day.
196 positive cases from 8/10 through Wed.
The vast majority of cases won’t be in a hospital setting to enable the administration of blood plasma treatment. Plenty of people will be sick enough for long term side effects, but unable to receive the treatment.
And people won’t even wear masks, but we will have a huge supply of people in a “stick needles in them and take their fluids and sell it at a profit” situation?
Averages
The 7-day new case average is clearly sustaining an upward trend from the recent narrow band it hand been in. 7-day average deaths remain elevated, but off recent record highs:
Comparing only new 7/14/21 day case averages, we clearly see the shortest average breaking out from the recent consolidation indicating rate of spread has likely increased:
Summary
Hopefully the rest of September slows down a bit, but the current total month projections are really bad - but likely distorted to the upside due to September 1st and 2nd being Tues & Wed, the days of the week where the highest death counts tend to be reported:
Testing
No good way to put it - the % of positive tests in the weekly report posted one the largest one week increases ever - from 10% to 11.8%. I think this is also an all time high for % of positive tests ever. This is very bad and should not be happening at this stage in the pandemic. This high % is not a result of decreased test count either.
Has the state changed the criteria for reporting this? I know they mentioned changes in reporting were coming soon.
(I really need to type this in to a spreadsheet.)
pw405, I really appreciate your graphs and explanations/input. I REALLY hope that Tuesday when the data completely changes that you can make sense of the new numbers.
Stillwater bar owners adapt to new restrictions, opportunities:
https://www.ocolly.com/news/bar-owne...231d80367.html
The article failed to indicate whether this is just at the OSU-Stillwater campus or not, but COVID-19 didn't discourage too many people from going to OSU. Enrollment for the fall semester is up by 360 students. https://kfor.com/news/local/osu-enro...d-19-pandemic/
Older people 65 or older are still driving the death count. By now they should know better than to put themselves in harms way. My guess is part of the problem is younger people who are positive and may not know it and are hanging around them. I don't know of anything to help the problem until rapid tests become the common way to get tested.
I hope it's way too high, but estimates place 224,000 more lives lost in the US over the next four months: https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/04/healt...day/index.html
Yes, I think if older people, especially those in poor health, refuse to take precautions, the death count could double by Jan. 1.
Plasma therapy is happening, but honestly, what makes you think this country could pull off a corn dog stand at this point? Zero planning, shrugging shoulders, complete and total disinformation coming from the highest person in government, ad hoc containment strategies drilled literally down to the community level.
Yes, plasma therapy is one of many potential solutions but we are still arguing about masks and people going to church and bars.
I mean, this is stuff that we should have knocked out by April 1.
The results speak for themselves.
You mean, "put themselves at risk by showing up to work?" Like, work as professors and principals and janitors etc.? Do you understand that young people can infect older people? Do you understand that a significant number of people, regardless of age, experience extensive organ damage as a result of the illness, even if it is not fatal to them.
You exhibit circular thinking, returning to the same trope about over-65 deaths being the only thing to be concerned about. I sometimes wonder if you actually read any other posts or seek new information. You have always struck me as intelligent so I don't understand it.
Didn't realize our positivity rate yesterday was a whopping 14.67%, our second-highest ever. Of course there's some noise built in to any given day's rate, but that is concerning.
Even worse, OU announced that their rate as of yesterday exceeded 30%.
People over 65 work, people over 65 live with people under 65, many younger people are caretakers of people over 65, many 65 year olds are the caretakers of children, many cultural groups have multigenerational homes as a normal.
Great, blame the old folks.....
I am 67 and have a mild case of cancer. I probably average being off my own property for an hour or two weekly, not including walking or biking for exercise. I still fear catching the virus because my 18 year old son has to go to school daily.
I do not appreciate your remarks
DATA DU JOUR: “The share of 18- to 29-year-olds living with their parents has become a majority since U.S. coronavirus cases began spreading early this year, surpassing the previous peak during the Great Depression era.” (via Pew Research)
How old are the parents of most 29 year olds?
1,147 new cases today, the 4th highest number ever.
833 cases/day 7-day rolling average.
4 more reported deaths.
Imagine what this would look like if OKC and Tulsa were not doing distance learning!
Cleveland County has had it's highest single day increase with 226 new cases. The next most was 173 on July 29th. Tulsa County has passed Oklahoma County with 14,123 cumulative cases. The last time Tulsa County had more cases than Oklahoma County was on July 22nd.
Today's top 4 counties for new cases:
Cleveland - 4405 (+226)
Tulsa - 14123 (+200)
Oklahoma - 14107 (+184)
Payne - 1475 (+79)
So are they masking up or social distancing or not to reduce risk?
Or is the problem that word still hasn't gotten out to a lot of young people what can happen from being young and coming down with COVID as in this case?
https://www.ocolly.com/news/my-exper...c393744ed.html
As he said in the article: "After going through hell for weeks, I am finally negative for the virus, but that doesn’t mean the long term effects are done."
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