I doubt that it will be over 1000 if most schools and universities have shut down by then and if masks work. I think the main problem for now is that older people, like age 65 or over, don't want to do a good job of protecting themselves. It should be well known by now that is the age group where most people are dying.
OU and OSU are seeing at least a dozen new cases every day.
Mutliply that by every other college, high school, middle school and elementary.
Then, factor in all those young people/staff are then going home and/or interacting with tons of people outside their school.
There is no way this doesn't blow up, especially as we head into the flu season.
Found this while browsing through the "In The Know" newsletter from OK Policy, fantastic round-up of OK news - https://okpolicy.org/category/in-the-know/
More Than 160 School Districts In Oklahoma Are Reporting COVID-19 Cases
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Considering having 150K less population, Tulsa County is doing a poor job when compared to Oklahoma County.
But neither is doing well, obviously.
We have had a few cooler days and nights in Colorado lately, (expecting some light overnight snow next week in a town 20 miles from me - yay). I have noticed a significantly higher use of masks where they are not required when it is cooler. I am sure it has everything to do with making the face warmer, but if this coincides with more people being inside hopefully increased mask usage from cooler weather will offset the potential increase in spread.
How many school districts in Oklahoma county are actually in session? I know Edmond goes at least two days a week on an A - B schedule for at least two weeks now and so far Edmond is staying pretty flat.
Oklahoma County is still doing pretty good. Thursday is the highest reporting day and today was still lower than the past two Thursday. Trend is still negative. https://occhd2.maps.arcgis.com/apps/...db9678f4d33cc9
We will see how Norman and Stillwater does next week. After that inital back to school spike that Iowa and Alabama saw last week, cases so far have fallen significantly from those highs that occurred late last week. Iowa is comparable to Oklahoma right now when adjusted for population.
The same factors that favor spreading the flu will be present, possibly increasing the transmission rate for both. But one of the biggest risks will be co-infection with both, or even just flu infections for people with lingering impacts from COVID recoveries. Flu can be deadly, COVID can be deadly, having both is a bad combination.
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Yes, and remember we were out of the flu season before Covid-19 started to spread.
We are heading into unchartered waters with new cases running at a very high level.
Other countries in the Southern Hemisphere have minimal spread of the flu this winter, since precautions for COVID also slow the flu.
If we can do the things we need to do to slow the spread, it will help both and prevent the double hit.
That is correct about cooler months spreading viruses but they also die out in warmer months. So this virus is bucking the norm. Who knows if cooler temps will make the spread worse? I don't think that anyone can really answer that right now. Hopefully this thing will have run it's course and will be dying out but who knows by the time Nov.-Dec. gets here..
Best hope is that all the kids on campuses that do come down with show mild to no effects.
Viruses spread in the cold months because people are indoors more; this virus spreads mainly through respiration which makes it even worse. It also seems to be much more highly contagious than the regular flu.
The fact that it spread like crazy during warm months means the winter is likely to be much worse, not the other way around.
And absolutely no way this will have 'run it's course' by the colder months. We are still averaging over 40,000-50,000 new cases a day in the U.S. and it will be cool/cold in the northern half of the U.S. within a month.
I will definitely be getting a flu shot this season. And to Pete's point, all the more reason to stay socially distanced (six feet isn't enough indoors, especially without masks), avoid gatherings, and wear a mask. IIRC the major concern about the fall and winter months is that hospitalizations normally go up because of the flu; continuing elevated COVID case rates would put a ton of pressure on the hospital system.
Be safe. Stay home. Wear masks when you are anywhere around anyone.
At this point the colleges and universities are basically stuck. The worst thing they can do is send everybody back home around the country after they got exposed now.
Most people on college campuses (not all, of course) will not be majorly affected by the virus (physically). Will some, yes. But 18-22 year olds are not who the virus is killing (only 300 involving Covid amongst college-aged people). College-age people are not suffering at the hands of Covid, for the most part. So leaving them on campus might be best. Sending them home to their 50-60 year-old parents may be the worst thing to happen.
Again, each death sucks, but college kids are safer amongst people their age, since the risk of them spreading it to a person who could very easily die from the disease is greatly limited.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/c...ekly/index.htm
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_5.html
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