Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

[Pete]

861 new cases today.

15 more deaths reported, the highest since April.

[jn1780]

So... hospital #'s came out. Friday, it was reported that 628 patients were in hospital.

Today...504.

Hospital trends, thus far, have never been subject to such dramatic swings. The % of hospitals responding to the survey is way higher than usual (95%) on today's report.

So... possible conclusions, near as I can tell:

1. An unprecedented # of patients experienced a miraculous recovery and were sent home over the last 72 hours.
2. An unprecedented # of patients died over the last 72 hours.
3. The data is bad.

A swing from 628 from to 504 over a two day period doesn't really sound that crazy. Discharges usually happen a lot quicker on a Monday.

[Pete]

I'm very interested to see what the hospital numbers show when they are released later this afternoon.

[kukblue1]

861 new cases today.

15 more deaths reported, the highest since April.

Is this the lowest Tuesday number in over a month? Let's hope the under 1,000 keeps up and then under 500.

[jn1780]

Is this the lowest Tuesday number in over a month? Let's hope the under 1,000 keeps up and then under 500.

Yeah, barely. Too many large swings in reporting to really look at daily numbers. Have to use rolling averages and overall trend. The 7 day average still looking promising in maintaining a downward trend.

[David]

How many weeks has it been since most of the metro put a mask ordinance into place? This could be misplaced optimism, but maybe we're seeing the effect already?

[Pete]

Is this the lowest Tuesday number in over a month?

No.

Just two weeks ago on 7/21 there were fewer at 821.

[brian72]

Lower numbers than I was expecting. But who knows tomorrow.

[jn1780]

How many weeks has it been since most of the metro put a mask ordinance into place? This could be misplaced optimism, but maybe we're seeing the effect already?

Whatever the reason for the decrease, just glad were following the path of other Southern states that are seeing a decline.

[Bill Robertson]

EOR has hospitalizations back up to 645. Yesterday was not the right number. And I was so hopeful.

[pw405]

EOR has hospitalizations back up to 645. Yesterday was not the right number.

...

A swing from 628 from to 504 over a two day period doesn't really sound that crazy. Discharges usually happen a lot quicker on a Monday.

Reminder of why I said this:

So... hospital #'s came out. Friday, it was reported that 628 patients were in hospital.
....
3. The data is bad.

[Pete]

That hospitalization number is an all-time high.

We had 15 additional deaths reported today.

We still have a huge backlog of tests to process.

Nationally, 1,300 deaths were reported today and the total is now over 160,000.


There is absolutely no sign that things are leveling off, let alone getting better.

[Bill Robertson]

I know this is small time compared to the OSDH reporting but. I manage federal government contracts. A LOT of my job is gathering and reporting data to show the government contract officers that we’re performing the contract within the required parameters. The OSDH should have a simple set of data points that each lab/hospital/office must report to them by some time each day. Just like I require of my employees. I just don’t get why the labs/hospitals/offices that the OSDH has to get reports from seems to be like herding cats. And they’ve been doing this for 5 months now. It should have been perfected a long time ago.

[FighttheGoodFight]

I know this is small time compared to the OSDH reporting but. I manage federal government contracts. A LOT of my job is gathering and reporting data to show the government contract officers that we’re performing the contract within the required parameters. The OSDH should have a simple set of data points that each lab/hospital/office must report to them by some time each day. Just like I require of my employees. I just don’t get why the labs/hospitals/offices that the OSDH has to get reports from seems to be like herding cats. And they’ve been doing this for 5 months now. It should have been perfected a long time ago.

I blame it on fax machines and computers running Windows XP.

[soonerguru]

That hospitalization number is an all-time high.

We had 15 additional deaths reported today.

We still have a huge backlog of tests to process.

Nationally, 1,300 deaths were reported today and the total is now over 160,000.


There is absolutely no sign that things are leveling off, let alone getting better.

Imagine what we will be looking at 15-20 days after schools reopen.

[LocoAko]

1101 new cases.

17 new deaths (second highest one-day total ever). 6 of them in Oklahoma County.

[Pete]

On a 7-day rolling average, we are averaging almost 9 reported deaths per day.

That has doubled in just 2 weeks.

[gopokes88]

# of new cases is clearly starting to level off. Deaths lag so it's not a surprise they're rising but % wise they remain lower than this spring.

[FighttheGoodFight]

We had 32 deaths reported in two days. We had 55 for the entire month of June. The high cases are catching up.

[Bunty]

Imagine what we will be looking at 15-20 days after schools reopen.

College students should get tested soon, if they think they have been exposed to covid. Stillwater schools wonder if schools will have to go back online if return of college students raise number of cases in Payne County.
https://www.stwnewspress.com/covid-19/school-board-makes-distance-learning-subject-to-community-spread/article_81e2ce70-d6ad-11ea-a49c-273eb0e5973a.html[/EMAIL]"]https://www.stwnewspress.com/covid-1...eb0e5973a.html

[pw405]

Usual updates - Rolling 7 Day Deaths have reached a new all time high:

From June 1 - Now:



From April 1 - Now:



Looking at the 7/14/21 Day Average of new cases only, there are some signs of new daily growth stopping - although the 21-day average is at a level that would have been unprecedented before July 14th:



I made a new plot to compare hospitalizations to the rolling 14-day average of deaths. As you can see - some of the plateau in hospitalization rates is due to 109 people that have been reported dead in the last 14 days:



***EDIT - Corrected the Rolling 14 Day & Hospital Plot. I made an error in my Rolling 14 day calculation the value labels and axis have been corrected. Plot that was visible between 1:30 PM and 3:10 PM on 8-5 had incorrect value labels for 14 day average deaths.

[OKCretro]

We had 32 deaths reported in two days.

Why stop at 2 days? extend to 4 days.



we had 34 deaths in the last 4 days according to posts on this thread

[midtownokcer]

Why stop at 2 days? extend to 4 days.



we had 34 deaths in the last 4 days according to posts on this thread

And in the last 7 days, we've had 87 deaths. Compare that to the flu with 85 deaths going back to September 2019.

[jerrywall]

Why stop at 2 days? extend to 4 days.



we had 34 deaths in the last 4 days according to posts on this thread

Is that supposed to make it look better?

[jerrywall]

And in the last 7 days, we've had 87 deaths. Compare that to the flu with 85 deaths going back to September 2019.

Or the 55 deaths in the entire month of June. But plateau and winning and something I guess.