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Thread: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

  1. Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Dillon Richards
    @KOCODillon
    Only on 5: Oklahoma has not been including positive results from COVID antigen tests, or "rapid tests," in its number of "confirmed cases" -- unless the person also goes to get a positive PCR test.
    https://mobile.twitter.com/KOCODillo...85923590520832

  2. #5752

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Did the OSDH not say that they were including them? I thought I saw a link a few days ago that said that they are. Too much conflicting information out there. What a cluster...

  3. #5753

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by C_M_25 View Post
    Did the OSDH not say that they were including them? I thought I saw a link a few days ago that said that they are. Too much conflicting information out there. What a cluster...
    Oklahoma Source posted that they had started including rapid test results. Now Dillon Richards says they’re not. Both sources have been very reliable. Add this to the list of who the hell knows. And if you read all his posts in the link it gets really confusing. For this reason I’ve almost quit giving much thought to new case and percent positive rate. Hospitalizations and deaths mean something to me and there bad end to cause me all the worrying I need.

  4. #5754

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    They have had the “only lab confirmed positives” since this mess started, that’s the answer I got when I talked to the health department back in April/May.

  5. #5755

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    *************

    I'm done with the constant political posts and targeting of other posters.

    The next person that posts outside the political forum "stittiot" or any other political party reference is getting a 30-day ban.


    I've been deleted tons of posts and I'm completely out of patience.

    *************

  6. #5756

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    *************

    I'm done with the constant political posts and targeting of other posters.

    The next person that posts outside the political forum "stittiot" or any other political party reference is getting a 30-day ban.


    I've been deleted tons of posts and I'm completely out of patience.

    *************
    THANK YOU. This went from an informative forum about COVID in OKC to the equivalent of an "olds" Facebook rant.

  7. #5757

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    747 new cases today.

    Rolling 7-day average is 1,053.


    5 more people have died.

  8. #5758

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    BTW, 747 new cases is a record for a Friday.

  9. #5759

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    BTW, 747 new cases is a record for a Friday.
    What about hospitalizations? I'm starting to wonder if that's the better metric right now. I know it lags cases, but the case numbers are so jacked up because of the backlog data. Could you report the total new hospitalizations and maybe the net change?

  10. #5760

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)


  11. #5761

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Great graphs.

    Pete, just to be clear on the last graph: that is the cumulative positive test rate since the start of the event, not a running mean of daily positive test rates which are up around 10-11%, correct?

  12. #5762

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    And to think non of these numbers count rapid test. If you test positive on a rapid test what are the odds your going to get a swab test to double check?

  13. #5763

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    The good news on the charts above is that there appears to be a slope change for hospitalizations. Hopefully it's a sign that those are plateauing.

  14. #5764

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by kukblue1 View Post
    And to think non of these numbers count rapid test. If you test positive on a rapid test what are the odds your going to get a swab test to double check?
    The positives are reliable enough that I don’t really think anybody is confirming them.

  15. #5765

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by C_M_25 View Post
    The good news on the charts above is that there appears to be a slope change for hospitalizations. Hopefully it's a sign that those are plateauing.
    Eh, unless our new cases plateau, I don't see our hospitalizations doing so.

  16. #5766

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by jerrywall View Post
    Eh, unless our new cases plateau, I don't see our hospitalizations doing so.
    Agreed. However, we have no clue what daily rates are. All we're seeing in the data is the capacity of the labs to run tests as they have such a big back log.

  17. #5767

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by C_M_25 View Post
    Agreed. However, we have no clue what daily rates are. All we're seeing in the data is the capacity of the labs to run tests as they have such a big back log.
    So your thinking is that our case counts have been significantly higher than what the numbers show, so those real numbers could have levelled off or plateaued, and our testing just hasn't reached that plateau yet? I could see that, and then yeah, if that's the case I think the only think we could look at is hospitalizations or deaths. But that's scary because case counts are the main thing hospitals and such have to predict/plan where this is going. We'd be limited to reacting after the fact.

  18. #5768

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)


  19. #5769

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by jerrywall View Post
    So your thinking is that our case counts have been significantly higher than what the numbers show, so those real numbers could have levelled off or plateaued, and our testing just hasn't reached that plateau yet? I could see that, and then yeah, if that's the case I think the only think we could look at is hospitalizations or deaths. But that's scary because case counts are the main thing hospitals and such have to predict/plan where this is going. We'd be limited to reacting after the fact.
    Let's just say that I *hope* that's the case. I think it's just too hard to draw much, if anything from the daily case counts right now. Maybe if the labs can catch up things will be more reliable.

  20. #5770

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Wow! Nearly a 75% rate on positive tests. That is insane! Looks like kids can transmit....and very efficiently too I might add. Bad news...

  21. #5771

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Epidemiology Report is out
    71.6% increase in new cases from week before
    51.3% increase in deaths from week before
    I hope decreases due to mask wearing start showing up soon.

  22. #5772

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Bill Robertson View Post
    Epidemiology Report is out
    71.6% increase in new cases from week before
    51.3% increase in deaths from week before
    I hope decreases due to mask wearing start showing up soon.
    I would imagine this week on the mask thing. There about a 2 week lag. Hospitalizations even though very high have stayed at the same level now for about 2 weeks. I guess that is good considering the record number of cases we have had. I know there is a lag but cases really started to take off end of June so even though they still might go up I'm not going to sure if we see a huge jump. Like from going from 620 or so like we are now to 800 or 900 in a few days.

  23. #5773
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    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Bill Robertson View Post
    Epidemiology Report is out
    71.6% increase in new cases from week before
    51.3% increase in deaths from week before
    I hope decreases due to mask wearing start showing up soon.
    The increase put us in the the top 5 states with increases in the last 7 days, percentage wise.

    US coronavirus map: Tracking the outbreak

    With the delay in symptom onset and the delay in testing results, I don't think we'll see any data that shows the effects of a mask ordinance for at least two more weeks. And, really, I'm afraid that as long as people can sit in a bar or restaurant for 3-4 hours without a mask, it's not going to drop. The only thing that really shut down in OK in March were bars, restaurants, gyms, and schools. And bars and restaurants are mostly exempt from the mask mandate, since you're eating and drinking.

  24. #5774

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by BDP View Post
    The only thing that really shut down in OK in March were bars, restaurants, gyms, and schools. And bars and restaurants are mostly exempt from the mask mandate, since you're eating and drinking.
    Churches are exempt too and that's where large groups gather on a regular basis.

    And keep in mind, it's only OKC, Tulsa and a few other cities that even have mask mandates. Edmond still does not, etc.

    And finally, people are generally not wearing masks at work or around friends and family.


    I'd say that at least 75% of all human interactions in the state of Oklahoma involve people not wearing masks; and I'd bet it's over 90%.

  25. #5775

    Default Re: Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    Churches are exempt too and that's where large groups gather on a regular basis.

    And keep in mind, it's only OKC, Tulsa and a few other cities that even have mask mandates. Edmond still does not, etc.

    And finally, people are generally not wearing masks at work or around friends and family.


    I'd say that at least 75% of all human interactions in the state of Oklahoma involve people not wearing masks; and I'd bet it's over 90%.
    We haven’t been to church since March. They stream online and that’s good with us. I’m even a little ticked at our church, which is large, for continually expanding services, etc. the last two months. Just because you are told you can it doesn’t make it the smart thing to do.
    You have a good point about friends and family. NYC’s numbers stayed high for some time in a COMPLETE lock down. It was attributed to families spreading it within their homes. The few that truly had essential jobs caught it and brought it home to those that truly never left home.

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