Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)

[kukblue1]

I drove home from work 11 p.m. tonight on July 4th and let me tell you the traffic was so bad. I don't even want to guess how many people were out tonight not social distancing. Close to a thousand cases is going to be a possibility. We went from about 200 250 a day 2 almost 600 if it doubles again we're at the Thousand mark

[pw405]

I'm not sure what it is like around here but I'm seeing a lot of packed beaches all around the country and I mean packed. Do you think Oklahoma can hit 1,000 cases in a day?

Food for thought... with data through July 3rd, Texas' % positive test rate, averaged over 7 days, currently sits at 14.5%.

Currently, OK's rolling 7 day average % positive test rate is 5.1%. This is where Texas' % positive rate was at the beginning of June.

HOPEFULLY, we don't get anywhere close to a 14% positive rate, so let's be a bit conservative and assume a 12% positive rate. Applied to OK's total test count, that would give us these daily case counts:

June 30th - 1,845
July 1st - 563
July 2nd - 808
July 3rd -1,296

Truly horrifying is Arizona. Current rolling 7 day % average - 25.7%

If we assume a 25% positive rate for OK's tests, it gives us these daily case counts:

June 30th - 3,851
July 1st - 1,179
July 2nd - 1,684
July 3rd - 2,701

(Figures calculated with data from: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/...ual-states/usa) If you visit the website, you can mouse-over to see the hard numbers.



Thankfully, OK's rolling 7-day % positive rate has come down over the last 9 days. 5.1%. Our peak so far was 7.9% on June 24th (blue line).

As a reminder though.. things can change quickly. Looking at the entire US, you can clearly see the trouble with our reopening. The % positive rate (blue) was trending downwards throughout May and the start of June. The US reached a low of 4.4% positive rate on June 15th. Since then, we've never seen the % positive rate decrease.



If the US % positive rate gets to 10%, then we can expect to see daily case counts in the 70,000+ range.

[pw405]

I drove home from work 11 p.m. tonight on July 4th and let me tell you the traffic was so bad. I don't even want to guess how many people were out tonight not social distancing. Close to a thousand cases is going to be a possibility. We went from about 200 250 a day 2 almost 600 if it doubles again we're at the Thousand mark

This is where I have great concern... literally every person I work with was still making plans for the July 4th as if Covid wasn't even around. With July 4th being on a Saturday, combined with record unemployment, combined with alcohol, and the desire to have a great time at least ONCE this year. I've got a bad feeling about what the data will reveal in the coming weeks.

[C_M_25]

Two problems I see with our society and this virus:

1. Education levels and bad information. This has led to the belief by people that somehow, any regulation from the government will result in a permanent loss of their precious freedoms. People!! No regulation will be permanent!! We will not turn into a communist country!! Do what’s right so we can squash this thing!!

2. God awful leadership...at all levels. I’ve never seen so many levels of leadership “pass the buck” to the levels below them. It’s now down to store owners and people to decide if they want masks on their face or in their stores. Screw That!!! This is a pandemic. A public health emergency! Why won’t any of our leaders do what is right and mandate masks in public and limit group gatherings to 10 or less again?? Why does 45 insist there is no problem and that we’re handling it very well?? Maybe, we would have more compliance in all the states if we had national leaders who embraced science and bipartisanship. It’s unreal...we really are living in a time like idiocracy. All we need is an executive order to water our crops with Gatorade.

[Pete]

The next few weeks are likely to be horrific after all these mass gatherings over the weekend and the general direction we've been headed for the last 2 months.

I am legitimately worried about our country.

[kukblue1]

The next few weeks are likely to be horrific after all these mass gatherings over the weekend and the general direction we've been headed for the last 2 months.

I am legitimately worried about our country.

Tough action is going to be needed. Like a complete shut down. It happen in most of Europe at the beginning when it was manageable. I'm afraid after this weekend we might be to the point where it's going to require a mass shutdown. It's going to be hard for our leaders to do but if the hospitals are packed they won't have no choice. That is also another worry. They are going to start waiting until hospitals are over flowing and that will be bad.

[Pete]

Just yesterday, our nation's top politician stated that 99% of the cases are 'harmless'.

Fully 4.5% of all people diagnosed with the disease have died and hundreds of thousands more have been hospitalized.


So, we are nowhere close to even recognizing the problem let alone dealing with it.

If this is allowed to rage on through the end of the year, and that certainly seems to be the case, we are going to be in deep poop all the way around.

[Pete]

283 new cases per Sunday's report.

[Ed Shadid]

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.105...cle_references

New England Journal of Medicine study indicates that people with Type A blood had a 45% higher risk of infection than those with other blood types and identified a “protective effect” in people with Type O blood; they were only two-thirds as likely to become infected. Blood type also seems to have a potential impact on severity of illness.

Incredibly, I don't know my blood type smh

[Pete]

^

I don't know mine either and I've had blood drawn twice this year already.

You think they would include that on the basic panel info. sheet.

[Norman Newbie]

283 new cases per Sunday's report.

I’ve been pleasantly surprised that the death rate in Oklahoma has held somewhat steady during this past month of increased cases. (Any loss of life is devastating, so I’m not glossing over the deadly nature of this pandemic.) I’m a bit surprised, too, that the majority of deaths continue to occur in the 65-plus group while the younger group responsible for the spikes are surviving this thing in large numbers...so far. We’ll see what the next few weeks hold. I’m hopeful that the death toll continues to hover where it is and that we won’t show exponential growth. Time will tell.

[kukblue1]

283 new cases per Sunday's report.

Where there any stations not reporting though cause of the holiday. I would imagine tomorrow numbers will be low . The rest of the week will be thru the roof if they have a back log?

[TheTravellers]

The next few weeks are likely to be horrific after all these mass gatherings over the weekend and the general direction we've been headed for the last 2 months.

I am legitimately worried about our country.

I can't understand why Holt's mask order was only for 2 weeks, it'll expire pretty much as the numbers are going to go through the roof because of 7/4 activities. Why not just make it for a month, does he also expect it to just go away magically?

[Bill Robertson]

I can't understand why Holt's mask order was only for 2 weeks, it'll expire pretty much as the numbers are going to go through the roof because of 7/4 activities. Why not just make it for a month, does he also expect it to just go away magically?

Not even a month. Until ordered otherwise.

[jonny d]

It would not surprise me if 2/3rds of the board has already had it. But I doubt that many have had serious, or even minor symptoms. If the virus is weaker, or if America has gotten better at treating it, then why not have more people get it when it is 100 outside than during flu season in October thru February? Again, every life lost is tragic, but we can't stay at home forever. A vaccine is not coming anytime soon, and when it does, it will be similar to the flu vaccine (I know how ineffective the flu vaccine can be - I have only gotten the flu once, which was the 1 year I got the vaccine). I would like to see a mask mandate, but the constant fear-mongering is not helping anyone.

Bash away! But I will do my part, and wear my mask and wash my hands often. But the constant bashing of those who don't get us nowhere.

[kukblue1]

It would not surprise me if 2/3rds of the board has already had it. But I doubt that many have had serious, or even minor symptoms. If the virus is weaker, or if America has gotten better at treating it, then why not have more people get it when it is 100 outside than during flu season in October thru February? Again, every life lost is tragic, but we can't stay at home forever. A vaccine is not coming anytime soon, and when it does, it will be similar to the flu vaccine (I know how ineffective the flu vaccine can be - I have only gotten the flu once, which was the 1 year I got the vaccine). I would like to see a mask mandate, but the constant fear-mongering is not helping anyone.

Bash away! But I will do my part, and wear my mask and wash my hands often. But the constant bashing of those who don't get us nowhere.

We just don't know the long term effects of the virus or how long immunity last for. If it keeps mutating maybe it will become much weaker. So if we can slow the spread now and give more time to study it we will be much better off in the long run. Deaths are going down I think we were below 400 again yesterday nation wide. We could get that even lower or more people kept from getting sick and finding treatments for it. There are some drugs like Eidd-2801 that look very promising.

[jonny d]

We just don't know the long term effects of the virus or how long immunity last for. If it keeps mutating maybe it will become much weaker. So if we can slow the spread now and give more time to study it we will be much better off in the long run. Deaths are going down I think we were below 400 again yesterday nation wide. We could get that even lower or more people kept from getting sick and finding treatments for it. There are some drugs like Eidd-2801 that look very promising.

I think it is getting weaker. It may spread easier, but it seems to be weaker. However, the virus could get worse, so if we can determine this is a weaker strain, then waiting til it mutates may not be a good thing. Again, I am not advocating for pox parties, just that the beating people over the head with piety for not wearing masks is not helpful, either.

[catcherinthewry]

It would not surprise me if 2/3rds of the board has already had it. But I doubt that many have had serious, or even minor symptoms.

Cool. Jonny d says we have almost reached herd immunity levels (70% recovered). Guess we can all stop worrying in another week or two.

[kukblue1]

I would like to add the biggest issue with this virus vs the flu is how long it takes before you show symptoms. They average is 5 plus days where the flu is 2 days. So when you get the flu you know it right away and think wow i'm sick i better stay home. You get this virus you could be spreading it for a week without even knowing it.

[Pete]

beating people over the head with piety for not wearing masks is not helpful, either.

Actually, since all scientific evidence indicates that wearing a mask helps slow the spread (and conversely not wearing one facilitates the infection rate), then, yes, social pressure to wear face covering is by definition a very good thing.

[catch22]

Actually, since all scientific evidence indicates that wearing a mask helps slow the spread (and conversely not wearing one facilitates the infection rate), then, yes, social pressure to wear face covering is by definition a very good thing.

I saw Social Capitol is offering $1 off every drink if you are wearing a mask when ordering, and to encourage that one step further they will give you a mask to wear. That might be the only way forward on this issue since Americans generally won't do anything unless they are given a discount or a free hat or toaster oven.

[jdizzle]

Actually, since all scientific evidence indicates that wearing a mask helps slow the spread (and conversely not wearing one facilitates the infection rate), then, yes, social pressure to wear face covering is by definition a very good thing.

You will catch more flies with honey than vinegar...but what do I know.

[Pete]

You will catch more flies with honey than vinegar...but what do I know.

The honey was appealing to common decency and concern for their fellow man.

[OKC Talker]

The honey was appealing to common decency and concern for their fellow man.

^ I personally am sick and tired of pandering to those who are choosing to be willfully ignorant that they are the problem. If social pressure won't fix this, maybe we need to just start throwing them in jail.

[Pete]

^ I personally am sick and tired of pandering to those who are choosing to be willfully ignorant that they are the problem. If social pressure won't fix this, maybe we need to just start throwing them in jail.

But that is not going to happen in this state or many states.

So public pressure still remains about the only recourse when you see fully half the population willing to make the smallest of altruistic acts.