Sunday update
77 new positives
0 new deaths
The other day we hit a new high number so how is this decelerating? Week end numbers have been lower all along.
Data says it is: https://rt.live/
That's encouraging. Let's hope so! What is the potential error rate in all the mush in data, and does it still hold us below 1 when taken into account? It's still a model. But possibly at least the indicator is we aren't off the races again yet. At the same time, nothing has changed in the last 6 weeks for us on what is shown on that site.
From the site:
Known Issues
There is an incubation period in which people are likely infectious but not symptomatic. This model assumes infectiousness begins with symptoms. While future versions may correct for this, a simple heuristic is to shift all values of Rt 5 days into the past.
While we make a best effort to accurately describe Rt, nothing can do that perfectly. Please calibrate with other sources, like epiforecasts.io, as well.
Our count still doesn’t include non-lab confirmed positives, as far as I know. Which includes the majority of people with a positive rapid test.
Stay in your house if you don't feel safe to go out.
Some of us older people have to go out shopping for food and other needed items since we live in areas where there is no grocery delivery and have no one to shop for us. Please be considerate and mask for us (masks are for other to prevent the spread. Also so many people refuse to social distance. i thought I could get an item or two at Braums in order to forgo a trip to a larger store. 2 people in there, and they refused to social distance after I asked them to. They just said "I'm shopping and will not" but they stood in the line at the 6; marks. Is this too hard for people to consider. Can they not just step back a step and let an older person through or at least no box them into a corner between freezers? So many people out there are not thinking of others, espically older people, only them selves. I tried getting out shopping but I spend 80% of my time dodging other people. I had to give up since my knee is hurting and had to go home. Its still hurting me. Why can't some people be kind to other folks?
Just a matter of time my friends. Sad to say, but it's the only way people will feel safe in this world.https://lccn.loc.gov/gm69002717
Before everyone gets all excited and see the new numbers for today just keep in mind it's a holiday. They will go back up middle of the week this is far from being over just sayin
Nm
For Mon report
53 new positives
2 new deaths
You totally disregarded the person on this thread, oklip, who has no choice but to go out for various essential reasons. Why would you be so callous to oklip, who is making a sincere request?
The “experts” are not posters here. It is just that people on this forum are heeding and sharing the advice of experts. This Twitter thread was interesting.
https://mobile.twitter.com/bschapiro...96233346838531
Yea, you are free to wear a mask if it makes you feel more comfortable. I’ve been wearing my Ventilated N95s around to various Shoppes.
But I’m not going to go out of my way to patronize a business that requires masks (i.e.., Costco). I canceled my Double Platinum Diamond Membership immediately upon learning of the Company’s mask policy. I’ll take my $75k in annual spend to Sam’s.
And I will likely wear a mask to Sam’s, but it will be MY choice.
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