Here you go Anon



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0052
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 AM CST SUN FEB 02 2014


AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...OK


CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION


VALID 020948Z - 021345Z


SUMMARY...HEAVY BANDS OF SNOWFALL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS NW TX
AND DEVELOP ENEWD ACROSS SW AND CNTRL OK OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS.
A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP ENEWD ACROSS THE LOW
ROLLING PLAINS NEWD INTO SCNTRL OK. PRECIPITATION SHOULD RANGE FROM
0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES PER HOUR ACROSS THE MCD AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.


DISCUSSION...THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A PLUME OF
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE EXTENDING FROM WEST TX NEWD ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SRN PLAINS. THE PRECIPITATION BANDS IN NORTHWEST TX ARE CURRENTLY
LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF A BOUNDARY AT 850 MB...AHEAD OF A
LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND JUST SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL JET
LOCATED ACROSS NRN OK AND THE NRN TX PANHANDLE. AS THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH OVER WEST TX CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS...THE
HEAVIER BANDS OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE ENEWD ACROSS NORTH TX AND
SCNTRL OK EARLY THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST BANDS OF SNOWFALL WITH
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...SHOULD BE LOCATED IN A 50 STATUTE
MILE WIDE ZONE CENTERED FROM CHILDRESS TX ENEWD TO THE SRN PART OF
THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO.


SOUTH OF THAT CORRIDOR FROM EAST OF LUBBOCK TX NEWD TO AROUND
ARDMORE OK...SFC TEMPS ARE CURRENTLY JUST BELOW FREEZING. IN SPITE
OF THE SUB-FREEZING AIR AT THE SFC...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A
WARM LAYER EXISTS BETWEEN 850 AND 700 MB. THE WARM LAYER SHOULD KEEP
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. PRECIPITATION
RATES COULD BE IN THE 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES PER HOUR
RANGE...ESPECIALLY WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION.


..BROYLES.. 02/02/2014




ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...M AF...