As usual in May around here, lots of different items to discuss.

1) A cold front will move through the area tomorrow afternoon. Elevated storms will likely form behind the front tomorrow evening; large hail looks to be the main threat, with any tornado threat focusing well east of the Metro where surface-based storm development is possible.

2) A northwest flow system will move into the area from the Rockies on Wednesday Evening, possibly triggering another round of storms. There are still some model inconsistencies, but this potentially looks to be focused more to the the north of the city. In any case, would not expect any notable tornado threat with this system either as our storm events from NW flow systems tend to be more linear in nature.

3) Things become increasingly murky into the weekend, but there's a general signal for another round or two of storms in the Friday - Sunday timeframe. IMO, still doesn't really look like a pattern that would give us any major severe weather.

4) Looking into the long range, things do appear to potentially shift towards a more "classic" spring severe weather pattern for Oklahoma, with a trough in the Southwest US and a ridge in the Southeast. This setup usually gives us the southeasterly surface winds and southwesterly flow aloft that we find in a lot of our major spring events. This would likely be in the May 13th-17th timeframe, so still a lot of time for things to change.

Looking forward to revisiting this post in the weeks to come and seeing how accurate or inaccurate my predictions are, lol.