What the % of this system tracking a lil more south than predicted right now?
What the % of this system tracking a lil more south than predicted right now?
Looks like 4 is downplaying it some now. 1-3 in OKC. I wouldn't be surprised we get a dusting at most.
That's just sad they don't want to deliver the excitement. I'm hoping for serious nonstop huge and heavy snow for hours. It won't be that bad, especially when all of it will be gone the next day or two.
Goin crazy here! Weather this eventful, I expect constant updates. lol KOCO haven't update their blog all night and it is well thru the morning hours and still no update.
Maybe they're backtracking, kfor hasn't updated their blog either. Expect they should know by 430 the path the storm will take, also, there's the risk of severe storms today, so they have quite a bit going on.
Would be quite funny with all the hype, if it turns out to go way farther north.
Heres the latest snowfall forecasts I could find, they are two different models so they're a little different. Just click on the area (blue dot) you want to see.
http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.htm
http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.htm
I'm assuming thats from the GFS? Think the NWS is leaning toward ECMF, which has more accumulations.
For all the hype of being on alert and having crews in place, blogging etc. they sure are quiet. I think the data must of changed, and they are trying to figure out how to back track. Sure the NW will get quite a bit of snow, but for the metro with all the talk of the snow plows and crews getting ready, it makes them look silly. You would think they would learn from their past mistakes.KOCO haven't update their blog all night and it is well thru the morning hours and still no update.
KFOR got an online blog?!
They finally got a blog!!!
4Warn Storm Team @ KFOR-TV
They are in desperate need to clear up their header logo!
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Models lat night were definitely keeping most of the snow out of OKC. Got a bit too tied up to post anything last night.
Im dreaming of a white christm*&*%& Wait a minute, whats sad is my wife and i boughta bunch of flowers at lowes last weekendthis is going to confuse my little 4 year old, just two weeks ago she said look trees are green and we took her to lowes and she said spring flowers easters almost here, now when she wakes up saturday, she might ask us where is santa and the x-mas tree.. oklahoma weather is just crazy. I LOVE IT
The Winter Storm Warning has been expanded to the south and east to as close as Watonga. Can't seem to embed a video on here, couple big wigs from accuweather.com are predicting heaviest snow outside of the mts, to be between OKC and Wichita, 13-14 inches, one asked the other if he could get on a plane and go to where the heaviest snow would be outside of the mts, he said between okc and wichita.
ECMWF is highly restricted and only certain products are available to the public. WRF definitely keeps precip in the .3 to .6" range during most of the event, with temps warming again in the last 6 hours of it. So wouldn't be shocked if it is a mix to snow for a few hours and then back to rain at the end - essentially eliminating most of the accumulations for the metro. GFS pretty much same story, but may lean more towards a slower turn over and ending as snow instead of rebounding temps.
Either way...moisture to help get us caught up.
I think rain to snow, don't think it will go back to rain due to the fact that it's scheduled to end around noon sat, low close by will bring cold air with it, so think once it goes to snow it will stay snow. Was reading some info, and gfs is apparantely showing more of a southern track, and slowing down, if that's the case, it would put the metro in more of the heavy snow.
update from NWS as of noon.
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either way, we are going to see the white stuff, which is great for me, im off weekends so i cn actually enjoy it while it last, i lean to what venture 79 is saying, ive seen it go back to rain before and everything melt away, so its a waiting game
Farther south track has the risk of cutting off moisture faster and limiting the heavy snow fall fall. So really, the risk for a heavy snow fall in OKC proper is going to be some what limited. Granted, I think 3-6 inches is just a nice quick snow fall and anything less is a dusting. Blame me for growing up where they get "real" snow. LOL
I think if it goes south it increases heavy snow here, the low has cold air with it, and its pulling moisture from the gulf, and if it slows down, it obviously will snow longer as it sits and spins. Severe weather may break out later today to our south too.
I just sent a long email to Jon congratulating him on getting the new weather blog started. Not only that, I sent him a list of suggestions that he can transform this blog into something much like KOCO's. Here is a partial email below.
.....
I need you to encourage Mike, David, and the others to use this blog as well. I know it will be tough to convince Mike to do this, but work your magic! This is a very important tool and it does have an impact, if used wisely.
The blog will need to be actively updated at least 1 to 3 times a day, more during eventful weather.
Be sure that comments are checked promptly and approved to keep conversations alive.
Find someone at the station, maybe someone in the web/internet dept to do LIVEBLOGGING, the same as KOCO does. That way, while the entire team is busy, someone will post constant raw on-the-spot updates every few minutes (we love this cuz we know everything before people watching on tv does lol). This person will listen in on everything from the weather dept, the newsroom, and constantly checking emails for reports from viewers to post. Check out KOCO's blog (in ur own spare time..not at the station..lol), so that you can see how it is done. When a person does LIVEBLOGGING, they make a post and then continue to edit that post with updates (new updates at top with time typed). This is also very useful for people having no access to tv and comp. They can access to the blog from their mobile phone to read it all. It's fun reading on a BlackBerry. lol
I hope I typed it all out clearly for you. :-)
This weather blog is also a helpful tool to educate. During slow days, you or someone else on the team (interns, too) can post anything to educate, a story, anything interesting. It doesn't always have to be bout the weather. :-)
I'm so used to KOCO's blog, so I hope you can make KFOR's exciting as well.
Thanks for reading! :-)
i cant see anywhere on the news intwenwt or weather nets, where it shows takinga southern direction, all i see is newsok says low friday night is 31 degreen then rebounds to mid 40s, kfor says 1-3 inches possible, that possible now.. so whats the deal where is 3-6 coming in at now?
I suggest anyone with any ideas for the new weather blog to email him. :-)
look at prior posts, there's pics.
NWS Norman, Oklahoma - Enhanced Weather Page
looks like maybe 3 inches in okc and south metro,
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