General Weather Discussion - July 2015

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[Anonymous.]

Looks like this week is going to be pretty wet. Some estimations of 2-5 inches over much of state.

[Bunty]

Looks like this week is going to be pretty wet. Some estimations of 2-5 inches over much of state.

Considering how vulnerable the OKC metro area is to the heat island effect, such amounts are quite doable.

[OKCisOK4me]

The flash Flood watch for up here in Tulsa states 3" to 5" with 10" possible locally versus up 2" to 3" and up to 5" for OKC. That's a crazy difference!

[Of Sound Mind]

The flash Flood watch for up here in Tulsa states 3" to 5" with 10" possible locally versus up 2" to 3" and up to 5" for OKC. That's a crazy difference!

[Bunty]

Flash Flood Watch
Updated: Mon Jul-06-15 03:36am CDT
Effective: Mon Jul-06-15 03:36am CDT
Expires: Wed Jul-08-15 07:00pm CDT

Severity: Severe
Urgency: Expected
Certainty: Possible

Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met
Areas affected: Alfalfa; Beckham; Blaine; Caddo; Canadian; Carter; Cleveland; Comanche; Cotton; Custer; Dewey; Ellis; Garfield; Garvin; Grady; Grant; Greer; Harmon; Hughes; Jackson; Jefferson; Kay; Kingfisher; Kiowa; Lincoln; Logan; Major; McClain; Murray; Noble; Oklahoma; Payne; Pontotoc; Pottawatomie; Roger Mills; Seminole; Stephens; Tillman; Washi ta; Woods; Woodward

Instructions: Monitor weather forecasts and information. Make plans to get to higher ground if flooding happens.

Message summary: ...heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding can be expected late this afternoon through wednesday evening...
.a slow moving front will move into the area later today then stall tonight through wednesday. This front combined with a mid level disturbance will enhance shower and thunderstorm development in a very moist and unstable environment. Rounds of heavy rain will result which may result in flash flooding.
...flash flood watch in effect from 3 pm cdt this afternoon through wednesday evening...
The national weather service in norman has issued a
* flash flood watch for portions of oklahoma and northern texas...including the following areas...in oklahoma...
Alfalfa...beckham...blaine...caddo...canadian...ca rter...
Cleveland...comanche...cotton...custer...dewey...e llis...
Garfield...garvin...grady...grant...greer...harmon ...hughes...
Jackson...jefferson...kay...kingfisher...kiowa...l incoln...
Logan...major...mcclain...murray...noble...oklahom a...payne...
Pontotoc...pottawatomie...roger mills...seminole...stephens...
Tillman...wa**** a...woods and woodward. In northern texas...
Archer...baylor...clay...foard...hardeman...knox.. .wichita and wilbarger.
* from 3 pm cdt this afternoon through wednesday evening
* rounds of heavy rain will begin late this afternoon and tonight across northwestern oklahoma...then slowly shift south and east on tuesday. The heaviest rainfall will occur tuesday afternoon through wednesday across central and southwestern oklahoma as well as western north texas. The heavy rain is expected to end by wednesday evening.
* generally 2 to 5 inches of rainfall can be expected. A few locations may receive more than 5 inches of rainfall. Rainfall rates may exceed 2 inches per hour at times.

[RedSoxFan]

I am a little shocked at the dewpoints I am seeing in the OKC area. A 75 F dewpoint is higher than you see in parts of Florida sometimes! That spring deluge + slight Pacific moisture feed must be adding a TON of moisture to the air over central Oklahoma.

[Anonymous.]

Yup, and this isn't just a shallow moisture layer. We have had been in the 70F dews for many days now and the layers are thoroughly mixed. This low that will ride out across OK will take a direct path along I-44 resulting in tropical-like rains.

NAM and GFS are pretty much aligned with a broad swath of about 4-6" along I-44 corridor and most of the state receiving at least 1-2" (save extreme SE and PH).

[bradh]

so when is this show starting?

[bchris02]

This summer has definitely felt more like a Southeastern U.S. summer than an Oklahoma summer. It's complete with bugs/mosquitos on levels typical of the Southeast.

[Bunty]

Thunderstorms have gone severe to the north of the OKC metro area.

Details:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN KINGFISHER COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
NORTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
NORTHWESTERN PAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
NOBLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...
GARFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...
* UNTIL 900 PM CDT
* AT 820 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF GARBER TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HENNESSEY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...AWOS REPORTED A 61 MPH WIND GUST AT VANCE AIRFORCE BASE.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ENID...PERRY...HENNESSEY...WAUKOMIS...GARBER...COV INGTON...
BILLINGS...DRUMMOND...RED ROCK...MARSHALL...KREMLIN...
BRECKENRIDGE...MULHALL...ORLANDO...FAIRMONT...DOUG LAS...LAKE CARL
BLACKWELL...LAKE MCMURTRY...BISON AND SOONER LAKE.
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

[RadicalModerate]

Were the flash floods OverHyped by K-4 (again)? I heard the gust front, we had a little rain and a tremendous clap of thunder. The rest of the ALERT . . . ? (Please be advised: It is raining in Oklahoma in July. This is an anomaly. Be prepared. Don't panic.)

[John1744]

I mean that looks like a massive wall of water that's just reforming over and over, over central OK. I think we're a long way from being in the clear.

[Achilleslastand]

Things better get rolling if were going to reach that 3-5 inch mark.

[5alive]

RadicalModerate...you might leave Morgan and K-4 behind and try out Damon Lane on KOCO5

[Easy180]

So far it has been flash sprinkling

[okatty]

Pretty good drenching far NW OKC. Yard back to rice paddy status!

[yukong]

we have received close to 3 inches in Surrey Hills.

[Anonymous.]

Models missed by about 60 miles east for the heaviest banding, but they are getting slammed. Already 8"+ amounts coming in.

[Roger S]

Wow..... Another 5"+ of rain at my cabin means my pond has seen about a 38' water surface elevation change since August of last year.... We went from having a rain barrier over us to being a rain magnet.

[Bunty]

Flood Advisory

Updated: Thu Jul-09-15 12:14pm CDT
Effective: Thu Jul-09-15 12:14pm CDT
Expires: Sun Jul-12-15 08:30am CDT

Severity: Minor
Urgency: Expected
Certainty: Likely

Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met
Areas affected: Payne

Instructions: Most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Never drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the roadway. Flood waters are usually deeper than they appear. Just one foot of flowing water is powerful enough to sweep vehicles off the road. When encountering flooded roads make the smart choice...turn around...dont drown. Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause elevated levels on small creeks and streams...and ponding of water in urban areas... Highways...streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage areas and low lying spots.

Message summary: The national weather service in norman has issued a
* urban and small stream flood advisory for...
Southeastern logan county in central oklahoma...
Northern oklahoma county in central oklahoma...
Payne county in central oklahoma...
Northern lincoln county in central oklahoma...
* until 315 pm cdt
* at 1210 pm cdt...national weather service radar indicated heavy rain that will cause urban and small stream flooding in the advisory area. Nearly an inch of rain has fallen in the past hour.
* some locations that will experience minor flooding include edmond...stillwater...guthrie...the village...cushing...perkins...
Langston...yale...wellston...carney...luther...gle ncoe...tryon...
Ripley...agra...coyle...arcadia...kendrick...merid ian and avery.

[okatty]

BREAKING NEWS - IT"S HOT!

[Anonymous.]

AH woops. Keep posting in wrong thread.

But yes. Models right now, show no real decent chances of precip. for the rest of the month.

Grass burning time is here.

[Of Sound Mind]

But yes. Models right now, show no real decent chances of precip. for the rest of the month.

Grass burning time is here.

Nailed it!

[John1744]

Bah, here's to mowing at 8PM at night again.