Saturday system looks a tad faster so nothing for the Metro.

Nothing like 90+ to head into fall!

Looks like it's going to stay that way into October.

I would really love some fall temps before we plunge into the deep freeze.

Next week should be pretty decent, I think. October should be pretty decent as well, although possibly rainier than usual. But not seeing any indication of an early cold snap a la 2019 or 2020.

Keeping an eye on the severe threat tomorrow, but I think it's going to be more of an issue for the Tulsa Metro than OKC.

And now the HRRR shows a big storm over the OKC Metro around 9pm. Probably going to know anything until tomorrow morning and where the Low/triple point sets up. Does it set up in Nw Oklahoma Sw Kansas or does it set up more North Central Oklahoma Southern Kansas. Could make a huge difference.

Jeez. What a bust this storm system was for okc. There’s not a cloud in the sky so far west of mcalester.

This system definitely favored eastern OK. Impressive totals in some areas with more on the way Saturday
https://data.prod.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.72hr.png?cache_bust=1695428515000

Very close call for the Metro tonight for some big hail storms right now it looks like it's going to stay slightly East but it's going to be close. Meanwhile computer models have shifted more North for Sunday and now it looks like South Central Oklahoma is the zone for Sunday

Very close call for the Metro tonight for some big hail storms right now it looks like it's going to stay slightly East but it's going to be close. Meanwhile computer models have shifted more North for Sunday and now it looks like South Central Oklahoma is the zone for Sunday

Anything to dry out OKC to here a sneeze on a blade of grass will start a fire. Or Hefner will continue to drain.

Very close call for the Metro tonight for some big hail storms right now it looks like it's going to stay slightly East but it's going to be close. Meanwhile computer models have shifted more North for Sunday and now it looks like South Central Oklahoma is the zone for Sunday

I've just been getting some sprinkles and distant thunder after all previous hype and won't be surprised if this next hyped-up event works out the same way. So, I better water my plants tomorrow. But surely sooner or later some future hyped up weather event will yield at least an inch of rain with no severe effects.

With that map, I think it persisted and rained all night in eastern Oklahoma, good sleeping weather if it didn't thunder a lot.

Need some input from the experts! Was planning to spread grass seed today, but I don't want to if we'll experience heavy rainfall rates tonight. Some rain is fine, but I don't want a downpour to wash away the seed. The forecasts at Mesonet have been a bit all over the place, unsure what to make of it.

If you have family, friends in Tulsa make sure they stat weather aware today. Big hail possible Tornado.

Need some input from the experts! Was planning to spread grass seed today, but I don't want to if we'll experience heavy rainfall rates tonight. Some rain is fine, but I don't want a downpour to wash away the seed. The forecasts at Mesonet have been a bit all over the place, unsure what to make of it.

Depends on where you live. Are you in the Metro?

Need some input from the experts! Was planning to spread grass seed today, but I don't want to if we'll experience heavy rainfall rates tonight. Some rain is fine, but I don't want a downpour to wash away the seed. The forecasts at Mesonet have been a bit all over the place, unsure what to make of it.

You can almost be assured that OKC will miss out on heavy rains. Have most of the year.

You can almost be assured that OKC will miss out on heavy rains. Have most of the year.

Yep even though the 11am run of the HRRR shows a big storm right over OKC again. Someone will get luck and it probably won't be my yard again. Never is my yard.

1pm Tornado Parameters Increasing for Tulsa Metro. Sometime after 7 if IF storms can stay isolated.

Edit: https://twitter.com/ben_williams_wx/status/1705643961505730665

2:45 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2184.html

East Oklahoma will flood, central and western Oklahoma will canyon up under lack of moisture.

East Oklahoma will flood, central and western Oklahoma will canyon up under lack of moisture.
Between you and kuk, I’m not sure who in this thread deserves the Oscar more.

Between you and kuk, I’m not sure who in this thread deserves the Oscar more.

My backyard has canyons all over it. It is bad. The recovery Hefner had over July is now almost gone.

Depends on where you live. Are you in the Metro?

Lol, my bad!!... I meant to include that. Yes, NW OKC on the south side of Lake Hefner.

Finally getting my distant thunder again. With some luck it might sprinkle. I bet it's pouring down rain 10 or so miles to the south where there is a severe thunderstorm warning. I suppose there could be further development soon.

My backyard has canyons all over it. It is bad. The recovery Hefner had over July is now almost gone.

Sounds like your lawn mower is leaving ruts.

Sounds like your lawn mower is leaving ruts.

Nope. These are in areas with minimal grass, due to no sunlight going on the side of my house.

It looks like a large part of the eastern half of Oklahoma is having another night of heavy rain.

As usual, OKC gets screwed. Just sucks. We are dying here for rain, and keep being 30 or 40 miles from getting game-changing rain. Alas, our reservoirs will keep draining.

Quiet week ahead with highs in the 80’s and lower humidity. No real good rain chances showing up until the first weekend of October when another active pattern looks to set up.

As usual, OKC gets screwed. Just sucks. We are dying here for rain, and keep being 30 or 40 miles from getting game-changing rain. Alas, our reservoirs will keep draining.

I am thankful that we didn’t get that severe weather. I want nothing to do with 3 inch hail.

September 2023 seems to have the potential to be one of the ten hottest Septembers in OKC history. The current ten hottest are as follows:

1) 1931 - 93.5/70.9
2) 1998 - 92.9/69.5
3) 1939 - 93.6/66.9
4) 1911 - 90.8/69.2
5) 1978 - 90.7/68.7
6) 1954 - 93.1/64.9
7) 2019 - 88.8/68.8
8) 1933 - 88.6/68.5
9) 1947 - 89.9/66.4
10) 1921 - 88.5/67.6

Checking back in on my first post, we are almost certainly going to fall short of the top ten, but if the current forecast holds, we should finish with an average high of around 88.5 and an average low of around 65.0, which would be good for 19th place.

Oklahoma's reservoirs are doing just fine... https://www.swt-wc.usace.army.mil/map/

As always, rain would be nice, but it's not anything out of the ordinary...

Oklahoma Sky Looks Like Nuclear Bomb Cloud as Bizarre Storm Hits State
https://www.newsweek.com/oklahoma-sky-cloud-nuclear-bomb-hail-storm-1829489#:~:text=The%20skies%20over%20Norman%2C%20O klahoma%2C%20on%20Sunday%20looked,giving%20the%20i llusion%20of%20a%20mushroom%2C%20at%20sunset.

That is an awesome timelapse. But I wouldn't call it bizarre like the article suggests, in fact the opposite - a classic overshooting top on a supercell.

That is an awesome timelapse. But I wouldn't call it bizarre like the article suggests, in fact the opposite - a classic overshooting top on a supercell.

You knew what you were going to see but you clicked anyway. You have been had. :lol2:

90+ highs forecast all the way through October 3rd.

Give me my fall!!!

Starting around Oct 4th let the fun begin. Storms possible severe. Rollercoaster of Temps. Some cool days some hot days. October is going to be very up and down as it looks now.

Looks like the next 8 to 14 days is above average temps. Fall, please!

Looks like the next 8 to 14 days is above average temps. Fall, please!

I'm enjoying the extended pool season :cool:

Not really cooler but wetter weather is coming at the end of next week into the following week. Forecasted totals through 10/13:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092706/gfs_apcpn_scus_64.png

Still have my eye out for the potential of a higher-end severe weather event whenever the ridge breaks down at some point in the first half of October. Not a guarantee by any means, but this is the type of pattern that tends to give us our occasional fall severe weather events.

Still have my eye out for the potential of a higher-end severe weather event whenever the ridge breaks down at some point in the first half of October. Not a guarantee by any means, but this is the type of pattern that tends to give us our occasional fall severe weather events.

Yep looks like October is going to be a crazy month. It usually is anyway but could be very active with storms and temperature swings

Looks like the next 8 to 14 days is above average temps. Fall, please!

Not just above average, but way above average.

+10-15 degrees every day for the next week. This is ridiculous.

Not just above average, but way above average.

+10-15 degrees every day for the next week. This is ridiculous.

According to Morgan a storm is a brewing https://x.com/MikeMorganKFOR/status/1707109824750592033?s=20

Could see SPC outlining some risks in the back part of the 4-8 day outlooks in the next couple days. Obviously things are still very far out, but I would peg E OK for any severe hotspot.

Could see SPC outlining some risks in the back part of the 4-8 day outlooks in the next couple days. Obviously things are still very far out, but I would peg E OK for any severe hotspot.

As usual. They need no rain, and get all of it. El Nino may help everyone except central Oklahoma.

Occasional reminder of the average precipitation patterns across the state, for no reason in particular.

18331

Could see SPC outlining some risks in the back part of the 4-8 day outlooks in the next couple days. Obviously things are still very far out, but I would peg E OK for any severe hotspot.

https://x.com/ConvChronicles/status/1707452726139847000?s=20 YEP time to get the OCTOBER board up and running.