Flood watch is out for majority of the C and S parts of the state. This will be for storms that develop overnight and into Tuesday morning.

We will likely see development after dark directly overhead across C and S OK. Storms will likely be very slow moving, so flood threat is primary threat.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2023071018/namconus_apcpn_scus_6.png

I was just at Grand Lake and wow it is dry out that way. NE OK is way behind on normal rainfall, which is strange because they are usually one of the wetter parts of the state (SE OK being the wettest, and they are also unusually dry). Though this weekends' storm system looks like it will bring some decent rain to that area.

Emily has OKC, Moore, Norman and southeast to Asher getting 3 to 5" of rain tonight. Most other places, little to none. As close by as Guthrie only 01". She also thought it may be slow moving.

Latest hi-def model data showing the hot spot for heavy rain across SC to SE OK.

Despite all the rain we have received, Hefner is still several feet low. Would have been a rough summer if we didn’t get this rain.

Despite all the rain we have received, Hefner is still several feet low. Would have been a rough summer if we didn’t get this rain.

nope

nope

this is well said, BS.

this is well said, BS.

i mean there is a regular thread that stays updated with the hefner water level .. lol

i mean there is a regular thread that stays updated with the hefner water level .. lol

Totally agree. And I can't remember the last time my Rachio 12-Zone decided my property needed water. It has been some time now.

About to head off to bed, but looks like initiation just occurred to the NW of Kingfisher. Would think this means OKC stands a decent chance of getting one last round of nighttime convection in a couple of hours before the ridge builds in for a few days.

About to head off to bed, but looks like initiation just occurred to the NW of Kingfisher. Would think this means OKC stands a decent chance of getting one last round of nighttime convection in a couple of hours before the ridge builds in for a few days.

That stormy area has expanded so much that Stillwater is barely going to be on the edge of it with at least some sprinkles. OKC is going to benefit more from being in the heavier part of it. There are even more storms just to the west and northwest that may hit OKC. Storms just about to enter Oklahoma from KS don't look as widespread or as strong. It will be interesting to see how they turn out later.

Woke up around 2:00 this morning to hail pounding on the roof, crazy lightning, and heavy downpours. I dozed in and out of sleep until 5:30, but I’m sure there were at least four rounds of hail that I heard.

^Same here - far NW OKC. Several rounds of hail…. along with a flood.

I only heard one round of small hail. We got about 2" of rain. A total of almost 7" from these recent systems.

Last of the rain is sliding out of OKC right now. We will have a break until this weekend where it looks like at least one more round of MCS. After that, the ridge of death will build over the area and we will begin to dry out.

Still waiting on data to be updated from today's rainfall, but all regions of the state are on track to be in the top 20 wettest Summer-to now periods on record. The only exception regions are NE & EC OK. The panhandle and WC OK are both over 200% from normal up to this point. Obviously there is still a lot of summer to go, but this has been an outstanding one so far.

Last of the rain is sliding out of OKC right now. We will have a break until this weekend where it looks like at least one more round of MCS. After that, the ridge of death will build over the area and we will begin to dry out.

Still waiting on data to be updated from today's rainfall, but all regions of the state are on track to be in the top 20 wettest Summer-to now periods on record. The only exception regions are NE & EC OK. The panhandle and WC OK are both over 200% from normal up to this point. Obviously there is still a lot of summer to go, but this has been an outstanding one so far.

Glad to see such a big improvement across the state. Hoping NE OK can get in on some of these summer rains later this week and through the weekend. Since the big storm 3 weeks ago I've only had barely 0.5" of rain at my house in Tulsa. Meanwhile my rent house in Norman has picked up over 8"!
"

Another 2" in the rain gauges here. That's 8" since the Friday night/Saturday morning storms.

Another 2" in the rain gauges here. That's 8" since the Friday night/Saturday morning storms.

Same here - exactly 2" overnight, bringing the monthly total up to 8.68" at my place. Pretty wild - it's been a little more than 20 years since my family moved back to OK and I don't remember any year in that time where we've gotten this rain in the first half of July.

Same here - exactly 2" overnight, bringing the monthly total up to 8.68" at my place. Pretty wild - it's been a little more than 20 years since my family moved back to OK and I don't remember any year in that time where we've gotten this rain in the first half of July.

We will see if we make it up to 2013 levels. 9 inches that year in July.

Per the official recording station at Will Rogers, this is already the 5th wettest July in OKC history.

1 - 1996 - 11.90"
2 - 2013 - 9.84"
3 - 1950 - 9.35"
4 - 1959 - 8.44"
5 - 2023 - 8.41"

^

Wow, and only 1/3rd of the way in!

For early Tuesday morning, Oklahoma became subject to the isolated bullseye in the nation for a heavy rain event. It started out as two separate storms arising in west central Oklahoma. The right one expanded and moved across I-35. As it moved southeast, most of Stillwater got the extreme fringes of it so only sprinkles. OKC got drenched. Meanwhile, the weakened Kansas storms shortly after crossing the Oklahoma border ran into unstable air and reblossomed. Stillwater also got the fringe of this development but not the sprinkles zone. Mesonet has it at 1.21". Just to the south Perkins area got 2 to 3.25". But move east 20 miles to the county border and it got at or nearly 0. All of the Tulsa area got nothing. Unfortunate how most of the northeast quarter of the state has been missing out.

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/radar7-11.png

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/rain7-11.png

Same here - exactly 2" overnight, bringing the monthly total up to 8.68" at my place. Pretty wild - it's been a little more than 20 years since my family moved back to OK and I don't remember any year in that time where we've gotten this rain in the first half of July.

Do you have an amateur weather station or do you just have a rain gauge? I was looking into the various Wifi enabled weather stations but haven't decided how to proceed.

Do you have an amateur weather station or do you just have a rain gauge? I was looking into the various Wifi enabled weather stations but haven't decided how to proceed.

Here are the links discussed last month on people who were interested in weather station/rain gauges.

https://www.acurite.com/shop-all/weather-instruments/weather-stations/pro-weather-station-with-direct-to-wi-fi-display.html?gad=1&gclid=CjwKCAjw4ZWkBhA4EiwAVJXwqcFg9q5sCcCa5CLcusDr JIVrmMBQTMeKWuGUkoW9lHyKVkREU3K5HBoC6iYQAvD_BwE

https://ambientweather.com/ws-2902-smart-weather-station

https://www.davisinstruments.com/

The air is thick out today with dewpoints near 80 driving the heat index above 110 in many areas.

A few more early morning MCS chances across mainly northern OK the next few days.

Okc has now received more rain so far in 2023 than all of 2022.

Do you have an amateur weather station or do you just have a rain gauge? I was looking into the various Wifi enabled weather stations but haven't decided how to proceed.

I have a wifi-enabled personal weather station. It's an AmbientWeather WS-2902C and except for a few minor gripes, I've been thoroughly pleased with it. It can publish to AmbientWeather's own data portal, as well as Weather Underground and Weathercloud. My main issues with it are minor - there's no real data logging in the display that comes with the 2902 except for totals, so if your internet drops for any reason then there's a gap in your uploaded data. Also, for some reason, it keeps track of hourly/daily/monthly rainfall totals. but not yearly - instead it tracks an overall total since the last time the totals were reset. I reset the totals on my display on NYE to get around this. The good news is most of Ambient Weather's stations are modular, and you can swap the display for the nice one that comes with the WS-2000/WS-5000 to correct these minor issues (or you can buy one of those kits to begin with instead). There's also a number of additional sensors that are compatible with these systems, like air quality monitors, lightning detectors, pool temperature sensors, soil moisture sensors for the garden, and the like - and a large community of owners who love to tinker with these stations too. It blows my old La Crosse weather station out of the water, frankly.

This is the public dashboard for my station on the Ambient Weather Network: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/83169cf33cf334e2a018ad32fed108ff/tiles

I have a wifi-enabled personal weather station. It's an AmbientWeather WS-2902C and except for a few minor gripes, I've been thoroughly pleased with it. It can publish to AmbientWeather's own data portal, as well as Weather Underground and Weathercloud. My main issues with it are minor - there's no real data logging in the display that comes with the 2902 except for totals, so if your internet drops for any reason then there's a gap in your uploaded data. Also, for some reason, it keeps track of hourly/daily/monthly rainfall totals. but not yearly - instead it tracks an overall total since the last time the totals were reset. I reset the totals on my display on NYE to get around this. The good news is most of Ambient Weather's stations are modular, and you can swap the display for the nice one that comes with the WS-2000/WS-5000 to correct these minor issues (or you can buy one of those kits to begin with instead). There's also a number of additional sensors that are compatible with these systems, like air quality monitors, lightning detectors, pool temperature sensors, soil moisture sensors for the garden, and the like - and a large community of owners who love to tinker with these stations too. It blows my old La Crosse weather station out of the water, frankly.

This is the public dashboard for my station on the Ambient Weather Network: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/83169cf33cf334e2a018ad32fed108ff/tiles

Thanks! I think that was actually the model I was looking at when I decided to ask :)
I love tinkering with things, so it sounds like I might enjoy that community.



Here are the links discussed last month on people who were interested in weather station/rain gauges.

https://www.acurite.com/shop-all/weather-instruments/weather-stations/pro-weather-station-with-direct-to-wi-fi-display.html?gad=1&gclid=CjwKCAjw4ZWkBhA4EiwAVJXwqcFg9q5sCcCa5CLcusDr JIVrmMBQTMeKWuGUkoW9lHyKVkREU3K5HBoC6iYQAvD_BwE

https://ambientweather.com/ws-2902-smart-weather-station

https://www.davisinstruments.com/


Thank you! I missed that chat last month. I appreciate the links to help with comparisons.

I already miss the rain. This humid-hot combo we have now sucks.

I already miss the rain. This humid-hot combo we have now sucks.

How does tonight sound?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2023071312/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_15.png

How does tonight sound?

If not tonight, tomorrow night is looking even more favorable IMO.

If not tonight, tomorrow night is looking even more favorable IMO.

SPC has expanded the Day 2 Slight Risk to include much of the OKC Metro.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

MD is out for TX PH. This will be the area to watch for storms advancing eastward across the stateline. A lot of weird boundaries scattered around (including NE OK) so random development of storms is possible.

94 over 79 with a heat index of 112 at Will Rogers currently. Not great! I believe this is only two degrees shy of tying the all time dewpoint record for OKC.

I saw that Pauls Valley registered 126 heat index - highest ever on Oklahoma Mesonet (30 years).

Severe storms developing basically directly NW of OKC. These will primarily have flash flood threat. But could be some small hail as well.

Some incredible lightning with these storms, which makes sense given the…erm…6770 J/kg of CAPE on the 00z OUN sounding.

This might be the first storm I can remember where it didn’t feel even the slightest bit cool outside afterwards. Still sweltering!

94 over 79 with a heat index of 112 at Will Rogers currently. Not great! I believe this is only two degrees shy of tying the all time dewpoint record for OKC.

FYI, we did end up tying the dewpoint record several hours later: https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/1679720228400545795

The east side of Stillwater benefitted a bit from sprinkles from a weak thundershower that developed overhead. It will be interesting to see how far the rain now in western panhandle can penetrate into Oklahoma later on.

The east side of Stillwater benefitted a bit from sprinkles from a weak thundershower that developed overhead. It will be interesting to see how far the rain now in western panhandle can penetrate into Oklahoma later on.

At least Stillwater isn't in the donut hole like Tulsa. Crazy how all the rains have been around us, central Tulsa hasn't even had a sprinkle in over a week. No rain last night either when areas just to the east picked up 1"+
https://data.prod.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.720hr.png?cache_bust=1689338624605

Another MCS coming down from NE/KS later this evening. Best shot for severe wind threat is across N and NE OK.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2023071412/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_14.png

Only 3/4" here last night. Judging by the sound I was expecting to find more in the rain gauge this morning. I really don't need any more rain. It would suit me just fine to go 2-3 weeks with zero rain to dry things out a little and slow down the mowing.

^Wishing for dry weather in Oklahoma during July should be a felony.


Storms associated with tonight's MCS are already ongoing across S NE. These will continue to move to the SE. Additional development is forecast to occur back to the west toward the panhandle area later this afternoon.

Traditionally our wettest months are over right? We stay pretty dry for the second half of the year?

Traditionally our wettest months are over right? We stay pretty dry for the second half of the year?

April-June are the wettest months followed by September/October - the fall rainy season. The driest months are typically November-February followed by July-August.
https://www.climatestotravel.com/images/charts/Oklahoma-City-United-States.png

Thanks! I guess this extra rain in July will make that mid year peak really peak.

^Wishing for dry weather in Oklahoma during July should be a felony.




9" in the last 6 days on top of all the rain the previous 2 months at my location I think is enough for a while. You reach a point where it is no longer beneficial and just contributes to problems. All this water in the ground has to be contributing to the record high heat indexes too. Highest heat index ever recorded in the state yesterday and the actual temperature wasn't that high compared to the HI. And probably more coming tonight.

At least Stillwater isn't in the donut hole like Tulsa. Crazy how all the rains have been around us, central Tulsa hasn't even had a sprinkle in over a week. No rain last night either when areas just to the east picked up 1"+
https://data.prod.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.720hr.png?cache_bust=1689338624605

It's nice to see some of the Ozark Counties -- Delaware, Cherokee, Adair -- get some love the last couple of days. It was getting pretty dry.

Two MDs out for all of N OK.

1. To the NE, current MCS originally from Nebraska will be entering the state in about an hour. SVR watch likely coming for I-35 corridor and all areas NE.

2. Next MD is for PH area into NW OK, where cumulus field has been gathering ahead of outflow boundary coming out of the MCS across KS. This boundary will spark additional storms across this area, which will then move SE. This development is more iffy, and may not get going until later this evening when storms come out of NM and the TX PH.

A scenario does exist where storms go E and W of C OK. However, radar trends as of about 4:45pm show healthy back-building development on the W end of the MCS. Which would indicate C OK impacts later this evening.

Giant severe watch is out for literally the northern half of the state. Watch carries 80% probability of severe damaging winds.

I will say, there is some organized supercell structures within the cluster currently, which would lend to pockets of hail.

It looks like a bust for most everybody, except for Tulsa and most of northeast Oklahoma. What is going on in northwest Oklahoma looks to be weakening for the most part but bears watching for further development.

The clusters in NW OK are getting better organized right now ~8:15pm. These will likely make a run at C OK.

Looks like very little of this storm survived once it got to the metro

Yes. Storms completely falling apart. Winds gusting out bringing some amazingly cool air.

as of last Tuesday .. (and we have had more rain since then) only 23.63% of the state is in a drought ... compared to 62.75% a year ago ..

43.04% of the state is not dry in any way ... compared to 0.00% a year ago ..

and both of these numbers should be even better in next weeks report

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?OK

Another hot and humid week across OK. Very low rain chances and lots of sun. Better rain chances and temps closer to 90 next weekend

Severe Watch is out across NW OK for incoming cluster of supercells. Not sure how long these storms will survive, it is possible they form into a small MCS and keep riding outflow boundaries.

I'm suprised at the lower rainfall in Cimarron county because it seems that area has been hit by storms most every day for the last month.

Severe thunderstorm watch out for north central and northeastern Oklahoma Monday until 5pm. So far, it looks like Bartlesville and maybe Tulsa area is most likely to be impacted from a storm coming out of Kansas.

In map dark pink is for the storm watch and orange for heat advisory:

https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/oun.png