Not many complaints as we get ready to roll into June...

https://www.tornadotitans.com/lets-talk-about-june/?fbclid=IwAR3qNNLOHkuu2N4CmfpnKuttVdGW_5KkayNnGENO tRPBQILTDjbQUSB5Kig June might be a very active month. Many chasers as gearing up for big chase days in June if the pattern verifies.

This has been some of the nicest spring weather in Oklahoma City in years. Thinking back, I can't even remember the last spring that was this nice for such a sustained period of time.

Still haven't officially hit 90 degrees. Doesn't look like we will for at least the next 10 days either. Lows in the 60s. Saturday forecast high is 75. My tomato plants are loving this weather for a change. Last years hot and dry temps was killer on them.

Storm complexes will continue to flare up across NM/TX and push east for the next few days. Most storms should die out around the TX/OK border. The best shot for storms making it to OKC looks like late Friday night. Could still be some random daytime storms bubbling up, like we saw today.

Meanwhile, keep enjoying this amazing Spring!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2023053118/rgem_apcpn_scus_84.png

It's funny people think it is so mild but we are actually above normal temps and it's been very humid.

It seems we all lost perspective due to last year's scorcher.

It's funny people think it is so mild but we are actually above normal temps and it's been very humid.

It seems we all lost perspective due to last year's scorcher.

true but on average OKC hits 90 degrees in the first week of may so that has been a nice change ..

The official 1991-2020 OKC normals are also about a degree cooler than what was actually recorded during that timeframe. I will never understand the reasoning behind that and it's going to annoy me for the next 7 years until the 2001-2030 normals are released lol.

Anyways, it looks like we could make it until the middle third of June before hitting 90 degrees, which I'll take anytime. We usually average about three 90 degree days in May but we didn't get any this year. We usually average about 14 in June and it will take consistent heat in the latter half of the month to get there this year (always possible given that this is OKC, but it would represent a major pattern change from what we've been seeing over the last few weeks).

I always say just get me to August... Football practice starts as does NFL pre-season, English soccer starts up again, and the fall is in sight.

I absolutely detest July.

I always say just get me to August... Football practice starts as does NFL pre-season, English soccer starts up again, and the fall is in sight.

I absolutely detest July.

Another nice thing about August is that the days start to get noticeably shorter. I've lived here long enough now that I can deal with the summer heat at night. But doing anything outside when it's 95-100 degrees out with the sun beating down still tends to be a no-go for me.

Decently strong storm coming up S of the OKC metro right now. ~5:00pm. Not severe at this time.

EDIT: Severe Warning is out just after posting. Strong gusty winds and flash flooding is primary threat.

Holy cow!

Really strong downpour at my house out of nowhere.

Raining and blowing pretty hard here in central OKC.

Holy cow!

Really strong downpour at my house out of nowhere.

Same here, I was mowing the front yard when the first raindrops started coming down. Quickly became a deluge. The peak rainfall rate reached over 2" per hour here - picked up just under 1/2" in 15 minutes - with winds gusting up to 25mph. That was intense!

1 1/2 inch in my rain gauge in about 15-20 minutes. Even had some pea/dime size hail. 1/4 mile west of 39th and Meridian

Same here, we needed that since it hasnt rained much here for the last couple of weeks

Those of us here at the WCWS would sure like the storm to move away so we could get one more game in. They've evacuated twice for what amounted to two lightning bolts.

Storm chances on and off all weekend. Still looks like an uptick in severe weather still possible 2nd or 3rd week of June. Just depends on where High and Low pressure fall. Could be just won't know until day of type thing like today.

Same here, we needed that since it hasnt rained much here for the last couple of weeks

Definitely getting dry in eastern OK. Meanwhile Western OK and the Panhandle had gone years without seeing this type of moisture and previously dry rivers are now overflowing. Widespread storms and heavy rainfall expected across the state on Saturday then back to isolated storms next week followed by potentially better rainfall chances next week.

Next two weeks GFS rainfall forecast
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023060200/gfs_apcpn_scus_61.png

Definitely getting dry in eastern OK.

as of this week 0% of eastern ok is in drought ..

Projected rainfall through tomorrow. Models seem to want to kill off the storms as they get closer to C OK early Saturday AM. The last month has been nothing short of a miracle for W OK and into the TX Panhandle.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2023060212/hrrr_apcpn_scus_42.png

Projected rainfall through tomorrow. Models seem to want to kill off the storms as they get closer to C OK early Saturday AM. The last month has been nothing short of a miracle for W OK and into the TX Panhandle.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2023060212/hrrr_apcpn_scus_42.png

Hence us still being in a near-drought. Been that way for almost a year.

Reading June outlooks on NWS are below average temps in June and well as above average chance of rain?

I like El Nino

It feels really stormy out there right now.

as of this week 0% of eastern ok is in drought ..

Not yet but a flash drought is quickly developing unless this system brings widespread decent rainfall
https://data.prod.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/daily/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png?cache_bust=168574 5674224

Not yet but a flash drought is quickly developing unless this system brings widespread decent rainfall
https://data.prod.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/daily/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png?cache_bust=168574 5674224

Isn't this an ironic change from normal with the western part of the state getting soaked and the east getting dry!

I know Mesonet is official, but here at my house in Logan County I've picked up 1.11" this week. These have also been pop-up thunderstorms where they go up and then die off, of course with the exception of the big MCS that came through last night. But even that garnered me 0.43" overnight.

Mesonet seems to only have two rain stations in Oklahoma County (and two in Logan County), which does not begin to allow for the big variations in rainfall across OK County's 718 square miles or Logan's 749.

Mesonet seems to only have two rain stations in Oklahoma County (and two in Logan County), which does not begin to allow for the big variations in rainfall across OK County's 718 square miles or Logan's 749.

I've noticed this... of all the places they need an extra station or two, OKC would be ideal. I live near south side of Lake Hefner and I always choose Yukon or OKC East, but they are both ~10 miles from where I live.

Nevertheless, Mesonet remains my primary source for weather info & historical data. Love it!

IIRC... didn't they use to have a North OKC Station that was removed when the Chicken N' Pickle area construction boom started?

There used to be a third meson station in Oklahoma County.

There used to be a third meson station in Oklahoma County.

The third OK county station was at the Fairgrounds, IIRC. They put up the Yukon site after decommissioning the one at the Fairgrounds.

The third OK county station was at the Fairgrounds, IIRC. They put up the Yukon site after decommissioning the one at the Fairgrounds.

Yes. I thought it was a different location but couldn't remember the details. Thank you.

There was a Mesonet station in north Oklahoma City near Broadway Extension and Wilshire. It was decommissioned in 2018.
https://www.mesonet.org/about/mesonet-site-data?stid=okcn

I have two rain gauge tubes. One in the front yard and one in the back yard by my garden Both are far enough away from the house that they wont get any water splashed off the roof. Just last nights storm the front had 1 1/4 inch and the one in the back had 1 1/2 inch. The one in the back yard id a slightly bigger diameter tube.

Mesonet seems to only have two rain stations in Oklahoma County (and two in Logan County), which does not begin to allow for the big variations in rainfall across OK County's 718 square miles or Logan's 749.

Not sure why they got rid of the one in West OKC -- or really why they do a lot of things they do.

For some reason, I've noticed major variance between Mesonet totals and summaries from the National Weather Service. There have been instances in the last couple of weeks in which flood warnings or advisories were issued by NWS that would state in the summary things like, "Two to three inches of rain have fallen and another one inch is expected" in a given area. Then, when I look at rainfall totals on Mesonet the next day for the area in question it only shows like .66 of rain. It's really bizarre.

As you note, it's hard to nail OKC totals because of the odd locations of their stations. Our rain gauge got broken but the Mesonet totals always seem miserly for some reason.

Isn't this an ironic change from normal with the western part of the state getting soaked and the east getting dry!

20 days without at least 0.25” in SE OK in late May/early June is very unusual. The pattern appears to be shifting though and eastern OK should pick up additional rainfall toward the middle of June.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023060400/gfs_apcpn_scus_53.png

Severe weather season coming back? https://twitter.com/ConvChronicles/status/1665398917205295105?s=20 SPC hinting at this weekend storm chaser going crash for early next week. Still way too soon but has there been big severe weather outbreaks mid June in Oklahoma before? I know they consider around June 15th the end of tornado season.

Still no 90 degree days on the long range forecast either. A welcome break from last year's scorcher.

As of today KFOR forecasting 90 for 6/13, 6/14.

Its so odd to see rain showers coming at us from SE to NW. The light showers coming into OKC now, if they make it, are almost due east to west.

https://www.tornadotitans.com/quieter-but-not-entirely-quiet-week-ahead/?fbclid=IwAR0Sya8ep82PfIp3Zi9V7nrDgeADd65hbf9pKIxT-08EvFo-Vt_pXEMyhPw Biggest severe weather events in June in Oklahoma I have lived here since 2012 and honestly I can't remember much happening in June. Maybe first part of the month?

While it worth noting, I think it’s incredibly shortsighted to put all your eggs in the GFS basket. And also to start forecasting “significant” and “critical” tornado risks this far out. This pattern change/energy isn’t even off the coast yet. Make note yes, but start declaring that this rivals other past sever weather events is dumb. Imo

While it worth noting, I think it’s incredibly shortsighted to put all your eggs in the GFS basket. And also to start forecasting “significant” and “critical” tornado risks this far out. This pattern change/energy isn’t even off the coast yet. Make note yes, but start declaring that this rivals other past sever weather events is dumb. Imo

I agree but what I'm wanting to know is has there every been big severe weather events in June in Oklahoma. I don't think there has been one since I have lived here since 2012. Does anyone that has lived here a while remember a June date that was a big day. Like even not living here I know about May 3 1999, May 20 2013 May 31 2013 Woodward April 2013 I think there was a big day back in 2011.

Oh and edit to say the Euro is on board too with the pattern change.

OK found it https://www.weather.gov/oun/tornadodata-ok-junetornadoes Look like 2019 had a few active days. Only 2 EF2 tornadoes in June since 1999.

OK found it https://www.weather.gov/oun/tornadodata-ok-junetornadoes Look like 2019 had a few active days. Only 2 EF2 tornadoes in June since 1999.

June 1998 was pretty active, most notably June 13th when the northside of OKC was hit.

On June 15, 1990, Stillwater had a F3 tornado. There was one death. Don't think it was associated with a big outbreak.

The story here: https://stillwaterweather.com/1990tornado

On June 8, 1974, Drumright had a much worse tornado, F4, with 12 deaths. It was part of a large outbreak.

Bad June tornadoes are fairly rare, but not so rare that you can take your guard down.

June is typically known for MCS type storms that move through Oklahoma from the northwest. Usually in the late/overnight hours. These can be severe with high winds the biggest threat. Models are hinting at seeing some of that next week as high pressure slides to the east which would be great to see since many areas missed out on rain over the weekend.

In a typical year the end of June then shifts toward a summer-like pattern of pop up storms depending on where high pressure sets up and/or any tropical influence from the Gulf. Any tornadoes that form in June are usually imbedded in a line of storms and on the weak end but like Bunty mentioned there are a few exceptions.

https://ocs.mesonet.org/products/county/torn_avgmonth.gif

For those comments upthread about the lack of Mesonet coverage for rainfall totals. You might consider checking in to this.

https://www.cocorahs.org/

June 1998 was pretty active, most notably June 13th when the northside of OKC was hit.

Yeah and 1999 looked active too. Looking at that chart 1998 was the last time Oklahoma county had a June tornado that was 25 years ago and NO I'M NOT SAYING OKLHAOMA COUNTY IS GOING TO GET A TORNADO. Just pointing out it's been a while and next week looks very active somewhere in the southern plains which is a big area. NOT SAYING OKLAHOMA IS GOING TO GET A TORNADO.

For those comments upthread about the lack of Mesonet coverage for rainfall totals. You might consider checking in to this.

https://www.cocorahs.org/

However, the interactive wunderground map does most everything bigger and better.

https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?lat=35.490&lon=-97.506&zoom=12&tl.play=0&tl.spd=2&groupSevere=1&groupHurricane=1&groupFire=1&groupCamsPhotos=1&groupRealEstate=1&eyedropper=0&extremes=0&fault=0&favs=0&femaflood=0&fire=0&firewfas=0&fissures=0&fronts=0&hurrevac=0&hur=0&labels=0&lightning=0&livesurge=0&mm=0&ndfd=0&rad=1&rad.num=1&rad.spd=25&rad.opa=81&rad.type=00Q&rad.type2=&rad.smo=1&rad.noc=1&rad.stm=0&dir=1&dir.mode=driving&sst=0&sat=0&seismicrisk=0&svr=0&ski=0&snowfall=0&stateLines=0&stormreports=0&tor=0&tfk=0&tsunami=0&riv=0&wxsn=0&cams=0&pix=0

https://twitter.com/stormchaserQ/status/1666192875531427857 Quincy is one of the best non hype storm chaser breaks things down very well. Yes it's very early still a week away yes things will change but all signs are there for next week.

https://twitter.com/stormchaserQ/status/1666192875531427857 Quincy is one of the best non hype storm chaser breaks things down very well. Yes it's very early still a week away yes things will change but all signs are there for next week.

Was just going to say, things are really setting up for a late-season significant severe event either next Tuesday or Wednesday. And then of course because this is ultimately OKC in mid-June, seems like we'll be hitting the mid 90's by the end of next weekend.

Why do people act like it is so much worse here than say, the SE or Texas? Not just in this thread, but other threads about sports stadiums and such.

Why do people act like it is so much worse here than say, the SE or Texas? Not just in this thread, but other threads about sports stadiums and such.

I think most people know the weather generally sucks across the southern half of the country from June-September. The SE tends to have more pop up showers and thunderstorms which can help cool it off briefly while TX/OK bakes under high pressure. I’ve traveled extensively across the South in the summer, the combination of heat and humidity is much worse than OK

SPC has outlined a 15% probability for severe storms across OK->TX for this coming Saturday.

I think most people know the weather generally sucks across the southern half of the country from June-September. The SE tends to have more pop up showers and thunderstorms which can help cool it off briefly while TX/OK bakes under high pressure. I’ve traveled extensively across the South in the summer, the combination of heat and humidity is much worse than OK

It's a choice of air frying vs. baking. :)

Why do people act like it is so much worse here than say, the SE or Texas? Not just in this thread, but other threads about sports stadiums and such.

I wonder why the OKC Dodgers only have 1 home game in all of July and August scheduled during the day?

I wonder why the OKC Dodgers only have 1 home game in all of July and August scheduled during the day?

because they want fans at the games .. and generally the day games are school games ..

I wonder why the OKC Dodgers only have 1 home game in all of July and August scheduled during the day?

Because they know it is hot, yes. But it is hot everywhere in July and August.

Everything still looks on track for a big time severe weather outbreak somewhere in the plains starting Saturday. Even people in mid south needs to be alert. https://twitter.com/ConvChronicles/status/1666441089249693699?s=20