gjl
06-16-2023, 09:43 AM
Picked up an additional 1" in both rain gauges on my property from last nights storms. Thankfully no hail at my location.
View Full Version : June 2023 - General Weather Discussion gjl 06-16-2023, 09:43 AM Picked up an additional 1" in both rain gauges on my property from last nights storms. Thankfully no hail at my location. SEMIweather 06-16-2023, 10:14 AM Hoping for a good statewide rainfall tomorrow, as this appears to be the last chance for meaningful precipitation for the next week or so. BG918 06-16-2023, 11:53 AM Hoping for a good statewide rainfall tomorrow, as this appears to be the last chance for meaningful precipitation for the next week or so. Agree. Though overall the state is in the best shape it has been in for perhaps over a year if not longer https://data.prod.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/daily/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png?cache_bust=168693 4344147 Anonymous. 06-16-2023, 01:01 PM SPC has upgraded the entire state to Enhanced Risk for tomorrow. Again, this is primarily for damaging wind threat associated with MCS. kukblue1 06-16-2023, 01:04 PM SPC has upgraded the entire state to Enhanced Risk for tomorrow. Again, this is primarily for damaging wind threat associated with MCS. Yeo almost same set up as yesterday just a further bit more North Northwest. I really think that early 3pm storm affected a lot of things yesterday. kukblue1 06-16-2023, 09:21 PM Looking like a pretty late night event for the Metro Saturday night. Probably just wind around midnight. Hope for some good rains . No rain chances for a week after this event. C_M_25 06-17-2023, 08:54 AM There is a nice boundary sitting over Northwestern Ok and OKC. Is that supposed to pull back later today? kukblue1 06-17-2023, 08:55 AM I could see a tornado or two in Nw Oklahoma today and some QCLS tornado warnings after the storms line out. Just depends on what mother nature wants to too. C_M_25 06-17-2023, 11:21 AM Flooding is going to be a big issue when these storms come through. Models hinting at a massive east-west line that spans the state moving east-southeast. Depending on speed, we could see some localized flooding. C_M_25 06-17-2023, 11:23 AM The NAM and HRRR are differing quite a bit again for this round. I’m going to say that I’m leaning toward the HRRR because of what happened the other night with the NAM. Anonymous. 06-17-2023, 03:58 PM MD is out for panhandle area where storms will fire first. Tornado watch coming in the next hour. chssooner 06-17-2023, 04:04 PM I'll never criticize the heat in OKC again, after being in Dallas today. It is miserable! Absolutely miserable! okatty 06-17-2023, 06:01 PM I really wish Channel 4 would move the weather map to the left side of the screen to free up the US Open golf info:) okatty 06-17-2023, 06:02 PM I'll never criticize the heat in OKC again, after being in Dallas today. It is miserable! Absolutely miserable! My daughter is here from Austin and has raved about our nice weather as compared to what she says has been oppressive in Austin the last few days. C_M_25 06-17-2023, 06:04 PM What’s the deal with the high res NAM vs the HRRR this week? I can’t remember a time when they differed on a solution as much as they do now. I’m hoping for some good rains, but the NAM is suggesting otherwise for okc. We have had some great weather this spring and early summer, and we have received some nice rains; however, these systems have not set up in our favor this year. They’re either too far west and we get the tail end or they’re too far east and we miss out completely. C_M_25 06-17-2023, 06:05 PM My daughter is here from Austin and has raved about our nice weather as compared to what she says has been oppressive in Austin the last few days. Have you seen a weather map from down there? It’s about as hot as I’ve ever seen for this early in the season down there. Might just go ahead and buy some acreage up north if global warming continues like this lol. brunnesa 06-17-2023, 07:05 PM What’s the deal with the high res NAM vs the HRRR this week? I can’t remember a time when they differed on a solution as much as they do now. I’m hoping for some good rains, but the NAM is suggesting otherwise for okc. We have had some great weather this spring and early summer, and we have received some nice rains; however, these systems have not set up in our favor this year. They’re either too far west and we get the tail end or they’re too far east and we miss out completely. It sure didn’t miss me Thursday night. I need a new roof and above ground swimming pool. The pool rails have holes in them from the hail. Also, it too me 6 hours to clean my yard up after. Im ready for some quiet weather! okatty 06-17-2023, 07:32 PM Have you seen a weather map from down there? It’s about as hot as I’ve ever seen for this early in the season down there. Might just go ahead and buy some acreage up north if global warming continues like this lol. I was down there last year on June 11th for a concert and it was SO HOT. Second year in a row they have really heated up early in the season in Austin. C_M_25 06-17-2023, 08:20 PM Models hinting that the outflow boundaries from those southern storms may interact with the line of storms on their way in. SEMIweather 06-17-2023, 11:16 PM Well, this line is absolutely crazy right now. chssooner 06-17-2023, 11:36 PM Decided to completely miss southeast OKC. Of course...as per usual. SEMIweather 06-18-2023, 12:17 AM Tulsa Metro is getting absolutely smoked right now. Bunty 06-18-2023, 12:50 AM Finally, a plenty decent but not too overly crazy storm came here for this dry storm season. The storm arrived in Stillwater at my location with a wind gust of up to 37 mph. Storm chaser west of town had it up to 60 mph. A tornado warning was issued for west of town but fortunately it did not continue to advance. So, the chilling sound of tornado sirens didn't have to be triggered. The noisy blowing heavy rain from the storm was incredible. In 45 minutes, it rained 1.25" before letting up. That may not sound impressive, but it was the heaviest storm, so far, for this dryer than usual storm season. Fortunately, the storm didn't come with constant lightning or any hail. AT least 2228 out of 21803 customers lost power in town but not here. BG918 06-18-2023, 01:18 AM Most of Tulsa is without power with significant tree/roof damage gjl 06-18-2023, 09:34 AM 1 3/4" in the rain gauges and a few stockade fence pickets laying on the ground. Lots of leaves and a few small branches from my neighbors pecan tree all over my yard. And I'm hearing chain saws running around me already this morning. C_M_25 06-18-2023, 01:12 PM Rain chances not really showing up but longer range models are showing a nice active pattern by the end of next week. Hope that holds true! Edit: looks like the death ridge is moving in 2 weeks from now. Going to be good times! C_M_25 06-18-2023, 01:13 PM Tulsa got absolutely obliterated last night. Specifically, the keystone lake area. The major marinas on the lake have serious damage, camper trailers are overturned, buildings destroyed, etc. Looks like a tornado hit the place. Libbymin 06-18-2023, 05:09 PM I was in Rogers AR last night and it stormed pretty hard on us. Driving back to OKC today saw a lot of damage in Tulsa. Downed tree limbs, torn up signs, a couple of trampolines that had been tossed right near I-44 from somewhere nearby. Bunty 06-18-2023, 06:53 PM In Stillwater, 1108 power customers are still out as of 6pm, 6/18, down from 2288. The remaining big trouble area is at the northeast edge of town along a short stretch of Jardot St. where the wind broke power poles. It does take time to get new poles installed and equipment transferred over or replaced. Stillwater was fortunate not to be affected by the windiest part of the storm. Just to the west and south winds gusted well into the 70's. Weather stations in town appeared to have maxed out at 44 mph. The whole thing was a remarkable squall line as it managed to maintain its strength as it traveled across the state and beyond. Bunty 06-19-2023, 01:02 AM Power outages in Stillwater clear down to 12 as of midnight. Things were worse in Tulsa. Tulsa officials said Sunday that residents should prepare to wait “days, not hours,” for power and other services to be fully restored in the wake of the most damaging citywide weather event since a 2007 ice storm that brought the city to a near-standstill for a week. “We are seeing damage that, when it’s all said and done, may not be quite as bad as the 2007 … ice storm, but it’s going to be close,” Tulsa Mayor G.T. Bynum said during a Sunday morning news briefing on the “wall of wind,” as he put it, that hit the Tulsa metro at about midnight. shavethewhales 06-19-2023, 09:37 AM That storm in Sapulpa was insane and seemed like it came out of nowhere. Very little warning until I got an emergency text about a half hour before the storm hit. I ended up losing an old bradford pear tree in my front yard, but luckily it didn't hit anything. I hate bradfords, so no big loss. Spent most of Sunday helping a lady who had a tree go through her roof in seven places though. Town west, near the I44/I244 split also looks like a tornado hit it. Several hotels lost their roofs or had major damage. The fireworks superstore lost their massive sign. Lots of scattered damage throughout the metro. Some areas were spared while others got bombed. Downtown Tulsa is still without power, and it sounds like the total outages are still in the hundreds of thousands across the metro. One of my coworkers got an alert that said power won't be back on for everyone until approx. 6/24. This is pretty bad. We need to bury more lines! BG918 06-19-2023, 12:24 PM This has been a devastating storm for Tulsa. The amount of tree damage is staggering and most of the city is still without power and internet. How many more of these do we need to endure before we decide to bury the overhead lines?? BoulderSooner 06-19-2023, 12:51 PM most of the city is still without power and internet. this is simply not true .. 160k in the metro are without .. that is not "most" Bunty 06-19-2023, 12:52 PM This has been a devastating storm for Tulsa. The amount of tree damage is staggering and most of the city is still without power and internet. How many more of these do we need to endure before we decide to bury the overhead lines?? Or replace the wooden poles with metal ones, but probably the excuse for not doing it is that it would be too costly. It wouldn't be 100% effective until they are all replaced. Anyway, I think that is the policy in some states. When wooden poles snap, replace them with metal. Plutonic Panda 06-19-2023, 01:19 PM How many more of these do we need to endure before we decide to bury the overhead lines?? Completely agree. Street widenings and reconstruction projects should come with buried utility lines. BG918 06-19-2023, 02:02 PM this is simply not true .. 160k in the metro are without .. that is not "most" Should’ve said and/or internet. Many areas have power but no internet. And “most of” midtown and downtown are still without power and not expected to get restored until the end of the week. SEMIweather 06-19-2023, 02:25 PM Still 46% of Tulsa County without power per this website: https://poweroutage.us/area/state/oklahoma Would not be surprised if it takes 7-10 days for all electricity to be restored up there. That's about how long it took for OKC after the October 2020 ice storm which the damage from this seems to be on par with. Anonymous. 06-20-2023, 09:21 AM Chance of another round of storms on Wednesday. Forecasting the placement is difficult, but western OK looks like a solid bet for seeing some storms. SPC has outlined Slight Risk for that region. Latest NAM suggesting MCS developing out of KS at the same time and tracking S/SE. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2023062012/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_22.png BG918 06-20-2023, 10:59 AM It would be interesting to know what key ingredients came together to produce the intense squall line that moved through NE OK. The widespread damage is like nothing I’ve ever seen. SEMIweather 06-20-2023, 03:09 PM The humidity is just brutal today. Some of the worst I can remember. gjl 06-20-2023, 04:18 PM My phone weather app is showing 57% humidity currently, temp 94, heat index 107. PoliSciGuy 06-20-2023, 04:20 PM Yeah my backyard weather station just hit 93 with a 105 heat index. This is insane. Pete 06-20-2023, 04:49 PM Looks like 100+ within a week. I'm already looking forward to the fall. baralheia 06-20-2023, 05:25 PM Yeah my backyard weather station just hit 93 with a 105 heat index. This is insane. Mine's showing 94°F with a heat index of 108°F. I think I'll just stay inside, sheesh Bunty 06-20-2023, 09:48 PM Yeah my backyard weather station just hit 93 with a 105 heat index. This is insane. It's even more hellishly worse in much of Texas. But the governor there is confident that the state's electrical grid can take it. gjl 06-20-2023, 09:58 PM I'm ready for it to dry out and get hot. Not that I like the heat. I hate it but I'm ready to quit mowing every 5 days. I live on an acre property and it's a lot to mow. okatty 06-20-2023, 10:03 PM In Dallas ……and heat index at DFW TONIGHT AT 10 PM is 106. BG918 06-21-2023, 08:47 AM Let's hope this high shifts further east! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023062106/gfs_apcpn_scus_64.png Anonymous. 06-21-2023, 09:03 AM As I mentioned yesterday, currently there is a MCS working its way out of KS into N OK. Right now the complex is not severe warned. However, it is currently entering juicy airspace near Enid, will keep watch on that. And then the W parts of the state will likely see another MCS form from early-on isolated development this afternoon. Where this cluster travels and how far is a difficult forecast at this time. SPC has upgraded all of C and N OK to Slight Risk category to reflect current MCS path and mentions the potential for outflow boundary interaction for additional storm interaction from this afternoon's storms. Pete 06-21-2023, 10:45 AM I stepped outside this morning around 9 AM and was hit with a wall of moisture. Would prefer the high-90s because at least it's a dry heat. Anonymous. 06-21-2023, 01:43 PM Expect SPC to trim the Slight Risk back out of C OK on this upcoming outlook. The MCS that blew through late this morning has left a stabilized wake. The main action this afternoon will be firing up mostly along the TX/OK border. Stray shot at some development trying to come into C OK, but it is very unlikely. gjl 06-21-2023, 02:55 PM Got very light rain for 10-15 minutes on NW around 11:30. Barely enough to even show in the rain gauge Anonymous. 06-22-2023, 04:29 PM Severe cluster of storms has entered W OK and is attempting to make a run to the ESE. Current trajectory keeps the heaviest stuff SW of OKC, but we could still see some showers swing through the area this evening. Watch issuance for this MCS is unlikely. (20%) EDIT: Okay just as I post this, the watch is now issued due to additional development entering SW OK. The SVR Watch includes basically everything in W and SW OK and goes directly up to SW OKC. Anonymous. 06-22-2023, 06:51 PM The watch has been expanded to include OKC now. It’s going to be a close call! C_M_25 06-22-2023, 07:33 PM Disappointing that we’ll miss out on this rain tonight. Going to be a very hot and dry week, but the GFS is hinting of a wet pattern for the first week of July. baralheia 06-22-2023, 07:41 PM Disappointing that we’ll miss out on this rain tonight. Going to be a very hot and dry week, but the GFS is hinting of a wet pattern for the first week of July. Looking at the radar right now and I feel fairly confident that most of the OKC metro will see some rain within the next 2 hours chssooner 06-22-2023, 08:01 PM Looking at the radar right now and I feel fairly confident that most of the OKC metro will see some rain within the next 2 hours Going to go just south. Unless more forms north behind it and to the north. baralheia 06-22-2023, 08:21 PM Going to go just south. Unless more forms north behind it and to the north. It's raining at my house in south OKC as we speak. Radar shows the line extends from roughly The Village, south through the metro to Cole, heading ENE at 35mph. floyd the barber 06-22-2023, 08:28 PM It's raining at my house in south OKC as we speak. Radar shows the line extends from roughly The Village, south through the metro to Cole, heading ENE at 35mph. The weather has been wild. It's almost as if Mother Nature fell asleep and realized Spring was supposed to happen months ago. chssooner 06-22-2023, 08:45 PM It's raining at my house in south OKC as we speak. Radar shows the line extends from roughly The Village, south through the metro to Cole, heading ENE at 35mph. It ended up moving more east than I thought. I live near Tinker, and it poured, and was loud! Scared my poor doggo! Just wish it was a little slower moving. |