Cold, mixed precip event continues to start the month, then a warmup.

Thursday is going to be very interesting day. Could be a major ice storm for Southern Oklahoma. MAJOR ICE STORM Could also be warm enough that it's a cold rain

Storm is further south, drier, and warmer. Metro might not get much at all tonight.

I posted this in January board but I’m reposting here. I see the weather set up for tonight and tomorrow and I’m sure the school discussion will come up again..

I don’t know about anyone else’s neighborhood but I live at Wilshire and County Line and our neighborhood streets are still garbage. I can see justification for school closure. My son is also up at UCO which is a big commuter college and the side roads around there are bad too. Getting to main roads where it is essentially dry is the issue. Any melting during day is frozen as I about bit it on my driveway this am.

Don’t understand the passionate distaste toward schools being closed.

Don’t understand the passionate distaste toward schools being closed.

It's because everyone walked up hill both ways in 85' of snow when they were kids...

At this point, I would be fairly surprised if there are any notable impacts in the Metro this evening. Thinking all of the precip should stay well to the south. Irrelevant to our area, but this is looking to be a major ice storm for the DFW Metroplex.

OKC/Tulsa dodged a bullet with this storm. How bad it gets in southern OK into north TX will depend on temps, it could stay warm enough and will definitely be warmer by Friday.

Hoping the trends stay intact for a warmer and wetter storm system affecting the state around 2/8.

"2:25pm - Widespread rain/sleet is falling across north Texas and Oklahoma, however with a strong layer of dry air aloft, not much is reaching the ground! As it continues to precip, eventually it'll reach the surface and cause travel issues.

Stay weather aware!

#okwx #texomawx"

https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/1620881406346858504?s=20&t=S1plnrBH3SYECkn4P9fAWw

What is a weather update for COK? hospital is offering weather rooms for nurses that want to stay overnight… I was just wondering if they were over reacting.

What is a weather update for COK? hospital is offering weather rooms for nurses that want to stay overnight… I was just wondering if they were over reacting.

Our local media overacting too a storm. Never :) Anything we do get should be pretty light and just take your time driving home should be fine

I guess schools is going to open tomorrow since there is no rain yet

There is light freezing rain approaching from the W currenty, but it is looking very pitiful. Maybe a quick drizzle across OKC at midnight. This storm was crazy. Texas into Tennessee is completey wrecked. Models once again underestimated cold air penetration and duration.

Seeing reports on social media of freezing rain in W OKC. So it is reaching the ground now. Obviously ground temps are very cold, so anything falling will quickly glaze surfaces.

Well, that drive to work was garbage. 1785017850

I worked from home, but a few went in saying it was bad, campus was not prepped so the walkways and parking lots were also very slick. One coworker actually slipped and fell. I'm not sure why they didn't call for a delayed opening this morning. Even 2 hours would have helped some..

Yes this morning was easily the worst condition-wise for OKC. A quick round of freezing rain on surfaces that have been below 32F for 4 days is a recipe for problems. Kudos to everything that delayed opening by a couple hours to allow air temps above freezing + solar radiation.

Next storm looks like it will be here Tuesday into Wednesday. At this time looks like a cold rain.

It's beautiful out now.

Sunny, very light wind and much warmer than the last several days.

^ Amen!!

I am ready for Spring to come next month so we do not have to worry about winter storms anymore

I worked from home, but a few went in saying it was bad, campus was not prepped so the walkways and parking lots were also very slick. One coworker actually slipped and fell. I'm not sure why they didn't call for a delayed opening this morning. Even 2 hours would have helped some..

I would not be surprised if your coworker filed a lawsuit

Looks like the first half of February is going to be in a very active pattern. Bring it on!!

Hopefully this is a good sign for an active spring.

Ugh, it looks like the main focus of rain is shifting east. Seems like okc has just been on the outside of solid rain for over a year now.

EURO still with decent rain totals across the state by Wednesday
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023020412/ecmwf_apcpn24_scus_25.png

12Z EURO trending east...
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023020512/ecmwf_apcpn24_scus_13.png

Looking like better rain chances tonight here in OKC. Once again the metro is on the edge of the development.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2023020612/hrrr_apcpn_scus_48.png

What is typical rainfall in Feb? Pretty low I would assume?

What is typical rainfall in Feb? Pretty low I would assume?

1.42"

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=oun

Let's hope the 18Z EURO verifies

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023020618/ecmwf_apcpn_scus_18.png

Good rain shield developing across SW OK, this will continue to push north into the I-44 corridor heading into lunchtime. Will be nice to rinse the sand & salt off everything.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2023020715/hrrr_apcpn_scus_12.png

Wrap-around rain with this storm will be swinging through today. May have a few snowflakes mixed in tonight with any stray showers.

Rest of week we warm back up ahead of a nearly identical storm that looks to come through around Valentines day.

Really a nice, gentle soaking over the last two days.

Very much needed and a good lead-in to what will hopefully be a wetter and milder spring and summer.

NAM forecast this evening showing some pockets of snow mixing into the last of the wrap-around moisture with this storm. Basically none of this would be sticking around on the ground for more than few minutes.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2023020818/nam3km_asnow_scus_10.png

Starting to get some light sleet at my house (6 PM).

Looks like OKC is going to get some heavy wet snow in the next hour or so.

It will likely stick on the grass but not the roads due to the temps which are still slightly above freezing, even where snow is already falling.

Winter Weather Advisory until 10pm

https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/1623488197354291202?s=20&t=1cHaWG_id-ZvbKoZ0OifIQ

This morning's forecast. Oops Sky's cleared and temperature dropped to 29 and I think officially it was supposed to say above freezing all night.

Quick clipper storm comes through late tonight bringing another chance at a quick snowburst. Once again, no long lasting accumulations or impacts expected.

Friday will be colder, but the weekend rebounds nicely.

Next storm looks like rain on Valentines still.

Thursday night:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2023020912/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_23.png

EURO rainfall totals through Wednesday. Loving all this February rain

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023021106/ecmwf_apcpn_scus_30.png

Limited severe weather risk on Wednesday, better chances SE. Wednesday will feel like spring with highs near 70 and dew points in the 50’s

EURO rainfall totals through Wednesday. Loving all this February rain

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023021106/ecmwf_apcpn_scus_30.png

Limited severe weather risk on Wednesday, better chances SE. Wednesday will feel like spring with highs near 70 and dew points in the 50’s

OK keeps being in the western edge of all these storms. There has to be something causing this. It cant keep being a coincidence.

Those turbine farms in wester ok lol.

OK keeps being in the western edge of all these storms. There has to be something causing this. It cant keep being a coincidence.

This has been the rain pattern for at least 200 years.

It's the reason why Northwestern Oklahoma is very dry and the Southeastern part of the state is lush.

OKC is right on that dividing line. In fact, the difference between far west OKC and far east is dramatic.

OK keeps being in the western edge of all these storms. There has to be something causing this. It cant keep being a coincidence.

Short term most likely due to the current drought. Long term part of the overall desertification of the Plains. It’s well-documented that the dry Plains are shifting east from the traditional 100th Meridian toward the 98th Meridian (right through OKC and DFW)
https://www.americangeosciences.org/static/earth/dividing-line-past-present-and-future-100th-meridian/Cantner_100thMeridianMap.jpg

This has been the rain pattern for at least 200 years.

It's the reason why Northwestern Oklahoma is very dry and the Southeastern part of the state is lush.

OKC is right on that dividing line. In fact, the difference between far west OKC and far east is dramatic.

Absolutely right. All the trees and stuff here in central Oklahoma were planted by settlers. Our plains right here used to be as rolling and empty as western Kansas. It was the Cross Timbers here that led way to the rolling plains and this is documented in diaries of the explorers in the 1500s. Really, check out early pictures of Edmond or Oklahoma City -- there are ZERO large trees in any pictures. It truly is amazing.

^ Same for Denver. No natural trees except for some cottonwoods along the creeks.

Latest EURO model shows a possible dry slot through central OK as the low is trending further south
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023021206/ecmwf_apcpn_scus_30.png

Absolutely right. All the trees and stuff here in central Oklahoma were planted by settlers. Our plains right here used to be as rolling and empty as western Kansas. It was the Cross Timbers here that led way to the rolling plains and this is documented in diaries of the explorers in the 1500s. Really, check out early pictures of Edmond or Oklahoma City -- there are ZERO large trees in any pictures. It truly is amazing.

Also, few people realize Oklahoma has exactly zero natural lakes other than some oxbows which are just rivers that were cut off.

Every single body of water we think of as a lake is manmade; more than 200 of them. It's amazing to think about.

Rain comes in late tonight into early Tuesday morning. Then it clears out and we will be extremely windy. It will feel like Spring out there next couple days.

LOL, thunder in Stillwater but no measurable rain. Surely, it's evaporating before it reaches the ground as it moves along pretty fast.

LOL, thunder in Stillwater but no measurable rain. Surely, it's evaporating before it reaches the ground as it moves along pretty fast.

Mesonet showing Stillwater with around a 1/3 inch
https://data.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.24hr.png

I just have this feeling we're going to transition into an early severe weather season.

Uhg, it is so horrible up here on the 29th floor today. I feel like I'm turning green :dizzy:

I just have this feeling we're going to transition into an early severe weather season.

No wonder. The barometer has been sinking to low levels seldom seen in this part of the country. 29.28 in OKC. In Wichita 29.15. A minor hurricane gets down to around 29.00. Hopefully, that will only be the only unusually extreme part of the weather coming. At least I'm glad it's not April with TV meteorologists getting concerned about tornadoes.

40-50mph gusts blasting into the OKC metro this afternoon. There has already been several 60s and some 70+ gusts out in western Oklahoma where the dust is originating.

Major dust storm ongoing in the Eastern TX Panhandle and Western OK. Could see some of this make it into OKC by sunset.

Yea the dust is already here, brown-orange sunset coming this evening for OKC with community sneeze-attacks.

drove from chickasa to north okc yesterday it was pretty wild.
Major dust storm in chickasa all the way to will rogers airport. From the airport to I-40 it started clearing up and one could see the sun again. North of I-40, clear day.

HRRR model showing storms firing in central OK around 6-7 pm and moving rapidly northeast. Severe threat appears to be greatest east of Hwy 75
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2023021514/hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_11.png

MD is out and storms are going up across N TX. It looks like storm initiation will occur SE of OKC metro.

Say goodbye to this mild weather, N winds will continue to increase tonight and we will be in the 20s by sunrise Thursday. Rebound heading into the weekend where we will go back to 50s and near 70F on Sunday.

The storms moving up I-35 look like they may actually impact OKC. Especially SE sides.

After a couple chilly days there will be a big warm up across OK. Temps in the 70's on Sunday and Monday before next storm system arrives on Tues. night/Wednesday. No signs of a big cool down at least within the next couple weeks.

High fire danger Tues-Wed.

We had a nice break from the wind today (Monday). We will have a chance at some storms developing along and E of I-35 late Tuesday into Wednesday. With that, strong S winds will return. Backside of the storm we will cool down into the 40s for Friday, but will rebound into a beautiful weekend in the 60s.

I noticed some trees have started to bud already, Spring is coming.