View Full Version : September 2022 - General Weather Discussion



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LakeEffect
09-01-2022, 06:46 AM
3rd wettest month of the year, on average...

BG918
09-01-2022, 10:09 AM
Light to moderate rain in central OK this morning, spreading northeast this afternoon

HRRR for 2 pm
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2022090114/hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_6.png

Pete
09-01-2022, 02:22 PM
With more rain headed to OKC from the southwest, this is turning into a nice little rainfall.

I'll take anything at this point.

Roger S
09-01-2022, 02:23 PM
With more rain headed to OKC from the southwest, this is turning into a nice little rainfall.

I'll take anything at this point.

Yep... But I have a set of golf clubs in my truck right now that didn't see this coming.

baralheia
09-01-2022, 02:31 PM
With more rain headed to OKC from the southwest, this is turning into a nice little rainfall.

I'll take anything at this point.

For sure. It's a nice gentle soaking rain, coming down at a little under a quarter inch per hour at my place. Sitting at 0.3" of rain so far for the day.

bucktalk
09-01-2022, 06:20 PM
Let's hope this will help in sealing up all the huge crack in the clay soil and minimize cracking house foundation issues.

BG918
09-02-2022, 08:34 AM
I feel like the NWS really miffed on this latest rain event. The GFS models have been erratic recently but they nailed this.

Some scattered storms around Saturday but overall the weekend looks pretty nice with highs around 90. Best chance of rain the following week is Wednesday with highs in the high 80's.

The models have been showing a tropical system moving up from Mexico toward the end of the week. Lately it has been showing movement further west but if that shifts east it could impact our weather into next weekend.

This is the greenest I've seen this map since early June
https://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/daily/mesonet.rainfall.tenthinch.png

baralheia
09-02-2022, 10:53 AM
I feel like the NWS really miffed on this latest rain event. The GFS models have been erratic recently but they nailed this.

Some scattered storms around Saturday but overall the weekend looks pretty nice with highs around 90. Best chance of rain the following week is Wednesday with highs in the high 80's.

The models have been showing a tropical system moving up from Mexico toward the end of the week. Lately it has been showing movement further west but if that shifts east it could impact our weather into next weekend.

This is the greenest I've seen this map since early June
https://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/daily/mesonet.rainfall.tenthinch.png

So glad to see that map so green and what a great start to September! We picked up just over an inch and a half at my place.

BG918
09-04-2022, 01:43 PM
Looking at a dry week as high pressure dominates. Chances for rain increase Sunday mainly in eastern OK. Better chances across the state around the 20th

Pete
09-04-2022, 01:51 PM
I got a nice soaking this morning around 6 AM... Almost an inch.

Don't know if my lawn is going to make it back before things turn cold but already looks a lot better.

FighttheGoodFight
09-04-2022, 03:41 PM
Looks like the week of the 12th going back to the heat dome. False fall is over and 3rd summer returns.

chssooner
09-04-2022, 04:03 PM
Looks like the week of the 12th going back to the heat dome. False fall is over and 3rd summer returns.

Yeah, I don't care about low 90s temps. Those are nothing!

BG918
09-04-2022, 05:49 PM
I feel like this typically happens in September then all of a sudden it turns cold

BG918
09-06-2022, 02:56 PM
As the high pressure dominates the west and blocks any systems from impacting our weather I saw an interesting stat: Salt Lake City just hit 100+ degrees for the 32nd time this year. Their average is 21 times a year. Denver has also hit 100+ several times this year which is unusual.

I lost count of how many 100+ days OKC has had in 2022. It looks like Tulsa has had 27 days which is way more than usual but a far cry from the record of 65 days in 1936..

OkieHornet
09-06-2022, 04:00 PM
As the high pressure dominates the west and blocks any systems from impacting our weather I saw an interesting stat: Salt Lake City just hit 100+ degrees for the 32nd time this year. Their average is 21 times a year. Denver has also hit 100+ several times this year which is unusual.

I lost count of how many 100+ days OKC has had in 2022. It looks like Tulsa has had 27 days which is way more than usual but a far cry from the record of 65 days in 1936..

Looks like OKC has had 21.


https://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/days_with_highs_above_100f/air_temperature

SEMIweather
09-06-2022, 04:36 PM
The airport has had 24.

Bunty
09-07-2022, 04:19 AM
As the high pressure dominates the west and blocks any systems from impacting our weather I saw an interesting stat: Salt Lake City just hit 100+ degrees for the 32nd time this year. Their average is 21 times a year. Denver has also hit 100+ several times this year which is unusual.

I lost count of how many 100+ days OKC has had in 2022. It looks like Tulsa has had 27 days which is way more than usual but a far cry from the record of 65 days in 1936..

My weather station in Stillwater had 27 days. The highest temp was 109.

Pete
09-07-2022, 06:16 AM
It hasn't just been the 100+ days, it's that it started getting very hot early in June and through at least mid-September we're still looking at mid-90s.

And of course, almost no rain.

Just a horrible summer and I can't wait for it to end.

Bits_Of_Real_Panther
09-07-2022, 09:59 AM
Ready for soup weather

Libbymin
09-07-2022, 11:20 AM
Yeah I'm ready for some cooler temps for sure. Still though, it's pretty remarkable how much more tolerable 94 degrees feels vs 104 degrees.

Pete
09-07-2022, 11:32 AM
^

Yes, and part of that is shorter days which help.

bucktalk
09-07-2022, 11:47 AM
I just wish we could enjoy fall like temperatures for 3-4 months. But it seems like fall temps don't last long, maybe 3-4 weeks at most.

Pete
09-07-2022, 11:48 AM
^

Same with spring.

It seems our winters and summers keep getting longer.

soonerguru
09-07-2022, 12:20 PM
I was buoyed psychologically by the big rain we had last Thursday. Now, it seems like we're in hell again. Drove to Eastern Oklahoma last weekend and it was sad the number of trees that are dead or dying. Hope this isn't a harbinger of the future, but I can't help to believe it is. The country this year either has punishing heat and drought or "1000-year" flooding events. Such is our future apparently.

Pete
09-07-2022, 12:48 PM
A lot of trees and shrubs have died and a bunch more had portions die.

I've seen some pretty big limbs come down, including in my own backyard.

All summer, I've been trying to save an evergreen and I'm not sure it's going to make it.

Our crazy extreme temps have been even more so the last couple of years and you can see the damage the weather has done.

Anonymous.
09-07-2022, 01:28 PM
We are definitely stuck in a dry pattern right now with Hurricane Kay sucking the life out of everything and down toward the Baja California.

Should see temperatures get knocked down to below average with a front this coming Sunday.

BG918
09-07-2022, 02:22 PM
The nighttime lows have been in the 60's which has made the mornings feel much nicer.

Slight chances of some storms with the front this weekend, possibly better chances this time next week with the leftover remnants of Kay moving east. Another storm front expected around the 19th/20th

Pete
09-07-2022, 02:41 PM
^

For the first time since early June, when I go out to walk at about 6 AM it's been slightly cool. Feels awesome.

BG918
09-08-2022, 11:39 AM
Some improvement but more widespread rainfall is desperately needed across the state. Things will get worse before they get better as the forecast is mostly dry for the next couple weeks. Hints of a pattern change developing at the end of September.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/20220906/20220906_ok_text.png

okatty
09-09-2022, 10:15 AM
This is an interesting extreme heat map for the US thru this point of summer:

17647

SEMIweather
09-10-2022, 07:53 PM
For anyone who has been waiting for the heat to break, it is absolutely picture-perfect outside at the moment. Tomorrow and Monday should be nice as well, but unfortunately looks like another lengthy streak of 90+ degree days starting on Tuesday.

BG918
09-11-2022, 08:11 AM
Enjoy the cooler weather today and tomorrow. It heats back up this week and rain chances are now looking slim for the next two weeks. Strange pattern for late September with the lack of tropical activity and low pressure systems. Hoping we can finally get into a wet pattern in October.

TheTravellers
09-11-2022, 03:03 PM
Enjoy the cooler weather today and tomorrow. It heats back up this week and rain chances are now looking slim for the next two weeks. Strange pattern for late September with the lack of tropical activity and low pressure systems. Hoping we can finally get into a wet pattern in October.

But the fair goes from 9/15 - 9/25, so that pretty much guarantees rain of some sort during that stretch of days.

BG918
09-11-2022, 07:02 PM
But the fair goes from 9/15 - 9/25, so that pretty much guarantees rain of some sort during that stretch of days.

Let’s hope so but this has been such a strange year

Roger S
09-12-2022, 07:45 AM
Let’s hope so but this has been such a strange year

My Blaze Maple is so confused it's already started blazing.

SEMIweather
09-12-2022, 02:06 PM
Rain chances look absolutely hopeless through the weekend (honestly wouldn’t be surprised if we get 1-2 more 100 degree days if dewpoints mix out enough) but next week may be slightly more fruitful in that regard as the ridge starts to shift to the east.

BG918
09-12-2022, 08:59 PM
The models were very depressing the past couple days but have been showing some hope in the past few runs. La Niña really handing it to us this year. Reminiscent of the late summer and fall of 2011 when the heat just wouldn’t ease up even into October.

Anonymous.
09-14-2022, 08:32 AM
Latest drought conditions get released tomorrow and it won't be good. Looking at drought history, 2022 could be a top 5 worst fire season.

BG918
09-14-2022, 11:48 AM
Latest drought conditions get released tomorrow and it won't be good. Looking at drought history, 2022 could be a top 5 worst fire season.

Worried about fire conditions over the next week. A glimmer of hope in the long-range models show a couple days of rain/storms around the 23rd

FighttheGoodFight
09-15-2022, 09:31 AM
Reading the Ticker today it looks pretty doom and gloom for almost all of October. Below rainfall and above temps.

https://ticker.mesonet.org/

soonerguru
09-15-2022, 12:18 PM
^^^Depressing. The ticker is sometimes known to be off, though, when it comes to long-term prediction models. It's hard to project that far in advance. Hopefully this is one of those times. Plus, there's the possibility of a tropical system changing the game. It's been pretty quiet in that regard this year.

LakeEffect
09-15-2022, 01:32 PM
^^^Depressing. The ticker is sometimes known to be off, though, when it comes to long-term prediction models. It's hard to project that far in advance. Hopefully this is one of those times. Plus, there's the possibility of a tropical system changing the game. It's been pretty quiet in that regard this year.

I wouldn't say the Ticker is known the be off, it's just the long-term NWS forecasts he's referencing...

BG918
09-15-2022, 05:22 PM
Latest drought conditions get released tomorrow and it won't be good. Looking at drought history, 2022 could be a top 5 worst fire season.

Some areas of extreme drought now showing up in east-central OK that haven't seen as much recent rainfall. It's been awhile since we've seen this level of drought throughout the state. Going to get worse before it gets better.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/20220913/20220913_ok_none.png

C_M_25
09-18-2022, 07:46 AM
Sheesh. Mid-September and I’m still planning lake days with the family. It should be back porch, fire pit, roasted marshmallows, and long outdoor walks in the woods season but here we are. I’ve seen this before, as have most of you. It’s going to be stupid hot up until about the middle/end of October then BAM! Here comes a raging winter storm.

Oh. We need rain desperately. It is stupid dry right now.

brunnesa
09-18-2022, 09:40 AM
Sheesh. Mid-September and I’m still planning lake days with the family. It should be back porch, fire pit, roasted marshmallows, and long outdoor walks in the woods season but here we are. I’ve seen this before, as have most of you. It’s going to be stupid hot up until about the middle/end of October then BAM! Here comes a raging winter storm.

Oh. We need rain desperately. It is stupid dry right now.

I am loving the extra lake time and pool swimming though. The cool weather will be here soon though.

C_M_25
09-18-2022, 11:03 AM
I am loving the extra lake time and pool swimming though. The cool weather will be here soon though.

Honestly, I wouldn’t mind but fall is my favorite season. It’s about the best fishing weather you’re going to get in Oklahoma. However, every day over 90 is one less day of nice fall weather. I know we get mid-90’s in September. Been to my share of awfully warm football games, but getting heat waves that lasted multiple weeks in September seemed to be much less common than what we’ve had as of late.

Also, we need rain. The lakes are pretty low around here.

Bowser214
09-18-2022, 11:57 AM
I'm done with summer it needs to go!

Pete
09-18-2022, 12:07 PM
Watch, it will go straight from summer to winter.

Fall is my favorite season, too.

BG918
09-18-2022, 04:02 PM
Some hints of storms late Sunday next weekend otherwise hot and dry all week. Record highs possible mid-week. I don’t remember the last time it was this dry in mid-September.

SEMIweather
09-18-2022, 10:53 PM
Last September was pretty, pretty dry as well…think we went about 25 consecutive days without any rain.

BG918
09-20-2022, 01:57 PM
Models are now showing nothing, zilch, nada in the way of rain for the state for the next two weeks. Truly miserable situation unfolding with the late season heat and drought.

Anonymous.
09-20-2022, 03:15 PM
There is a tropical wave entering the Caribbean in the next couple days that we will need to watch. Conditions are favorable for tropical development there - which would then open the door for a GOM entry.

brunnesa
09-20-2022, 05:55 PM
Models are now showing nothing, zilch, nada in the way of rain for the state for the next two weeks. Truly miserable situation unfolding with the late season heat and drought.

I do not think this is miserable, but it is warmer than typical. Soon it will cool off and start raining some.

BG918
09-20-2022, 06:50 PM
There is a tropical wave entering the Caribbean in the next couple days that we will need to watch. Conditions are favorable for tropical development there - which would then open the door for a GOM entry.

Models all over the place on that system. We should hope for a western GOM storm to bring us moisture.

ksearls
09-21-2022, 11:19 AM
Models all over the place on that system. We should hope for a western GOM storm to bring us moisture.

Any idea when that would that be exactly?

Anonymous.
09-21-2022, 02:09 PM
Storm if formed, should enter the GOM around Sept 28-29.

BG918
09-23-2022, 08:15 AM
Extremely high fire danger across the state today and tomorrow. No rain even in the long range forecast. This could be an historically dry fall with drought conditions continuing to worsen as we go into the drier winter months. We need a tropical system from the GOM in a bad way.

OkiePoke
09-23-2022, 12:22 PM
Large grass fire, getting close to home, near 122nd between Rockwell and Council.

C_M_25
09-25-2022, 12:22 PM
I just wanted to stop by and say: I miss rain.

I’m so ready for a week straight of cloudy, rainy, cool days.

Pete
09-25-2022, 01:31 PM
There are lots of dead and partially dead shrubs and trees all over town.

At the very least, it would be nice to see the end of temps 10-15 degrees above normal. Looks like we are going to be near 90 for the next couple of weeks.