Slow moving system entering the region this week. Should see rain chances increase tonight into Tuesday with much cooler temperatures. Highs not even reaching 50 for Tuesday/Wednesday.

Looks like we should rebound toward end of the week. Weekend is looking solid as of now.


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2021110106/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_50.png

Windy again today (Monday) but great temperatures. Next shot of rain looks like Wednesday afternoon. SPC currently has a Marginal Risk across the area for severe storms.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2021110818/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_53.png

First freeze?

First freeze?

No time soon.

No time soon.

There have been several, I think the count was 25, freezes registered at the Mesonet stations already but we haven't seen a state wide freeze.

Amazingly one of those freezes was at Marietta which is south of my farm, near the Arbuckles, where we did not get a freeze thankfully..... Have a lot of new trees and blackberries in the ground that I would like to have a few more weeks to harden off before the first freeze.

According to long-range GFS. First state-wide freeze looks to be around early Thanksgiving week.

No time soon.
Good to hear I’m fine with it not freezing ever lol

I panicked last week took down all my banana trees and put all 50+ of my tropical plants in the greenhouse Almost taking my back out with it

Any idea what time storms coming in tomorrow

Any idea what time storms coming in tomorrow

4-7 and if your west of hwy 81 you might miss out all together for storms.

^^^ thanks!

Yes storm development location is very close to directly over OKC or just E or W. We should have more accurate picture later this afternoon.

SPC has upgraded risk to Slight Risk across the area, mostly for hail threat.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2021111016/hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_7.png

Tornado Watch is on the way for the area. Storms to develop in the next hour just W of C OK. Conditions exist to favor supercells on initiation. So highest hail and tornado threat will be early.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2021111020/hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_4.png

Severe Thunderstorm Watch is out. Tornado probabilities less than 10%.

Freeze potential Saturday morning for decent chunk of the state. Low pressure system in the N Mississippi Valley is strengthening.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2021111118/namconus_T2m_scus_38.png

Cold front just passed C OK. N winds will increase. Thursday morning lows will be near freezing in areas along I-44.

We should see temperatures moderate over the weekend.

Another mild and windy day tomorrow (wednesday). Then front comes through that evening with strong windshift from the north. Minimal precipitation is expected other than mist for C OK, maybe a light rain shower or two. Best rain chances will be across SE OK. Fire danger will continue to be extreme and any ongoing fires will have abrupt shift.

Thanksgiving day looks cold and breezy. However, we will bounce back quickly heading into the weekend with some fantastic mild weather returning.

Snapshot showing rain Wednesday night:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2021112318/hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_34.png

I’d be OK with 70s and 80s all through the winter