View Full Version : July 2020 - General Weather Discussion



Anonymous.
06-29-2020, 08:23 AM
Last couple days of June will be hot and windy and continue into July.

Beginning Tuesday, the death ridge will be flexing on us. 100s across most of the state will be common through Thursday before some minor relief heading into the holiday weekend. Rain chances look very slim on Friday or Saturday. Outdoor plans will likely be fine.

After Independence weekend, 100s return. Fire danger will be elevated on the windier days and drought will continue to strengthen.

Welcome to Oklahoma summer.

C_M_25
06-30-2020, 09:30 PM
Ugh. This wind has been annoying. I feel like I have had a continuous cough since January because of allergies. It just won’t stop!!

HangryHippo
06-30-2020, 09:34 PM
Why has it been so windy lately? Will that be dying down soon?

Anonymous.
07-01-2020, 08:17 AM
Wednesday will be the last excessively windy day in OKC for a while, but there will still be wind. That is just what happens when the sun heats the earth across OK. We have such a wide disparity in moist air and dry air across the state/plains, it is a hotspot for wind production.

Heat advisory for the eastern half of the state today, hot and humid - the breeze will be a godsend on days like this.

Holiday weekend looks hot, less windy. If you are lucky, you could get an isolated shower or storm overhead - but nothing organized is expected.

Anonymous.
07-02-2020, 12:54 PM
A very outside chance the storms in N/NE OK create an outflow boundary that sparks additional storms to the SW. NE sides of the OKC metro are the best shot at this, although still a low chance.

LakeEffect
07-02-2020, 02:15 PM
Temp at our house near 9th & Bryant in Edmond dropped from 101 to 86 in the last hour. Nice.

Anonymous.
07-08-2020, 01:33 PM
Very slight chance of a rogue storm or two late Thursday. Otherwise find a swimming a pool.

Temperatures will be 100-105 heading through the weekend and into next week.

The grass probably has a week before it is burnt up.

Bunty
07-09-2020, 09:26 PM
Very slight chance of a rogue storm or two late Thursday. Otherwise find a swimming a pool.

Temperatures will be 100-105 heading through the weekend and into next week.

The grass probably has a week before it is burnt up.

Like a 4 or 5+ inch rain projected, I'll believe the hundreds when I see them.

Anonymous.
07-10-2020, 08:05 AM
Cluster of storms riding down I-35 in N OK right now. Models, for the most part, kill these off before reaching OKC metro, but we will see if they can make it.

Anonymous.
07-10-2020, 09:22 AM
Looks like storms are going to make it. They are currently severe for strong wind gusts. Enjoy the drink!

BoulderSooner
07-10-2020, 09:27 AM
Looks like storms are going to make it. They are currently severe for strong wind gusts. Enjoy the drink!

rain in north Edmond currently

HangryHippo
07-10-2020, 11:11 AM
This is some wild weather.

catcherinthewry
07-10-2020, 11:14 AM
Really getting drenched here on the south side with a lot of high wind as well.

TheTravellers
07-10-2020, 11:22 AM
Deep Fork Drainage Ditch where it crosses Venice Blvd had water easily 2-3 feet over the top of the rails (not the street, the side rails that are 2-3 feet higher than the street), highest we've seen in the 5 years we've lived here, insane...

Pete
07-10-2020, 11:25 AM
Deep Fork Drainage Ditch where it crosses Venice Blvd had water easily 2-3 feet over the top of the rails (not the street, the side rails that are 2-3 feet higher than the street), highest we've seen in the 5 years we've lived here, insane...

Runs directly behind my house and for the first time in my 4 years there it overflowed into my yard.

That thing is wicked scary during a cloudburst... People would not believe how high and fast that water becomes.

Fortunately, my house sits up high and floodwaters would never come close.

TheTravellers
07-10-2020, 11:33 AM
Runs directly behind my house and for the first time in my 4 years there it overflowed into my yard.

That thing is wicked scary during a cloudburst... People would not believe how high and fast that water becomes.

Fortunately, my house sits up high and floodwaters would never come close.

You must be downstream of us. We're a block or so south of it on Venice and yeah, it can go from a little foot wide trickle at the bottom to raging 40-50 MPH 12 foot high rapids in literally 10-15 minutes. Venice turns into a river (again :)) when it rains this hard, but luckily our house is on high ground, so it's only ever gotten up about 3 feet on the yard, which is far enough away from the house to not worry (the flood map literally goes up to our curb, it was one of the things I looked at when buying the house). Going to be some big rain totals w/this one.

Bunty
07-10-2020, 01:40 PM
Interesting. A train of storms have formed just to the NW of Stillwater moving SE. Maybe Stillwater won't be able to get out of the 70s this afternoon.

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/stillwaterstorm.gif

Anonymous.
07-11-2020, 07:11 PM
Severe thunderstorm watch is out. Some strong storms now across northern OK. May or may not drift south enough to reach OKC. Monitor radar if you have outdoor plans Saturday night.

jdizzle
07-12-2020, 12:32 AM
I don't think we need to be downplaying storms after the last 2. This is insane! Not a 5% chance of rain this morning for the whole day. Then this? Man, Oklahoma is weird.

Quicker
07-12-2020, 01:35 AM
So strange... complete power outage at S.134th and May going on now for over 15 minutes....

Dustin
07-12-2020, 08:24 AM
That was a nasty storm last night! Whew!

Dustin
07-12-2020, 08:28 AM
I don't think we need to be downplaying storms after the last 2. This is insane! Not a 5% chance of rain this morning for the whole day. Then this? Man, Oklahoma is weird.

The earth is angry...

Bill Robertson
07-12-2020, 09:12 AM
The earth is angry...It’s seeming that way

C_M_25
07-13-2020, 07:02 AM
Man, it seems like the models/forecasts whiffed pretty hard on these storms over the past 3 days or so. The only ones they did good with was probably saturday night. I checked the forecast last night, thinking there may be a chance of rain given the humidity, and there was nothing. Fast forward 10 hours, and here comes the lightening/thunder! This happened the other day too. Caught out on the lake when an unexpected line of storms blew in. What gives??

Anonymous.
07-13-2020, 12:59 PM
Difficult to forecast MCSes coming down from CO/KS. Saturday was a boundary draped across N OK, with storms riding their outflows.

We could see another rogue MCS tonight and even Tuesday night. However, the forecast right now is for these to die before reaching main part of OK. (We shall see)


Otherwise extremely hot pattern continues through weekend, with relief in sight around Sunday-Monday with some higher rain chances and cooler weather.

mugofbeer
07-14-2020, 10:52 PM
Difficult to forecast MCSes coming down from CO/KS. Saturday was a boundary draped across N OK, with storms riding their outflows.

We could see another rogue MCS tonight and even Tuesday night. However, the forecast right now is for these to die before reaching main part of OK. (We shall see)


Otherwise extremely hot pattern continues through weekend, with relief in sight around Sunday-Monday with some higher rain chances and cooler weather.

Your storms have come up along the Colorado front range of the Rockies or jumped the I25 corridor and exploded on the east plains and held through the night into OK. These haven't been monsoon storms but those are supposed to start tomorrow. Storm systems could continue to be a nightly thing for KS and OK for a while.

Anonymous.
07-20-2020, 10:14 AM
Break from the near 100s is on schedule for this week. Slight chances at some random storms Monday night and perhaps Tuesday night. Best shot is northern OK, but all areas chances are low.

We will look into the GOM by end of this week for potential development.

Pete
07-21-2020, 05:58 PM
Ahhh... Got a nice shower; about .25" near Penn Square.

And temp dropped down into the 70s.

Bill Robertson
07-21-2020, 06:10 PM
Ahhh... Got a nice shower; about .25" near Penn Square.

And temp dropped down into the 70s.
We’ve been hearing a lot of thunder to our east.

Anonymous.
07-23-2020, 10:22 AM
Tropical moisture continues to flow into the area due to the storm down in the GOM.

Slight chance of random pop up storms this afternoon, enjoy if you're lucky enough to be under one.

Anonymous.
07-27-2020, 09:30 AM
Stalled out boundary across the area and a dead tropical storm getting shredded across Central America will result in good rain chances this week. Beginning this afternoon, we should have major rainfall events across large portion of the state.

First round is developing now across N OK and will continue to sag south and east throughout the day. Afternoon will flair up with showers and storms across I-44 corridor. Another heavy round expected late Tuesday morning into afternoon. And repeating again Wednesday. Then it looks like a chance of a line of storms late Thursday into Friday.

Timing of everything is still pretty tough to forecast, so just check radar before doing any outdoor things.


Exact placement of heaviest rain is pretty hard to pin-point, but models favoring C and SC OK. Localized areas of 4"+ and general swaths of 1-2" is likely.

Bunty
07-27-2020, 12:32 PM
FLOOD WATCH

Effective: Mon, 7/27 1:00pm Updated: Mon, 7/27 12:27pm Urgency: Future
Expires: Tue, 7/28 7:00am Severity: Moderate Certainty: Possible

Details:
...Locally Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Thursday...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a
* Flood Watch for flash flooding...flooding of creeks and
rivers...and flooding of low lying areas for portions of
central Oklahoma, northern Oklahoma, northwest Oklahoma,
southwest Oklahoma, and western Oklahoma, including the
following areas, in central Oklahoma, Canadian, Cleveland,
Grady, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, McClain, Oklahoma, Payne,
and Pottawatomie. In northern Oklahoma, Garfield, Grant, Kay,
and Noble. In northwest Oklahoma, Alfalfa, Blaine, Dewey,
Ellis, Harper, Major, Woods, and Woodward. In southwest
Oklahoma, Caddo, Comanche, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, and Kiowa.
In western Oklahoma, Beckham, Custer, Roger Mills, and
Wash ita.
* Through Tuesday evening
* Locally heavy rainfall Monday through Tuesday. Local rainfall
over 3 inches possible.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

Counties in green affected:

https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/oun.png

SoonersFan12
07-27-2020, 01:51 PM
I guess we need the rain

mugofbeer
07-27-2020, 09:22 PM
It's a very fortunate event considering it should be dry and in the mid to upper 90's in OK right now. You're stealing CO's monsoon! :)

SoonersFan12
07-27-2020, 11:10 PM
At least it did not flood

Anonymous.
07-27-2020, 11:39 PM
As of about 20 min before modnight - Western sides of the metro will be seeing flashflooding at the rate the storms are increasing over the area. These storms will continue to meander with little to no direction. Results will be extremely localized flash flooding.

Anonymous.
07-28-2020, 03:24 PM
Models develop another cluster of storms heading into tonight across the area. Again, local flash flooding is main threat.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2020072818/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_12.png