View Full Version : Covid-19 in OKC (coronavirus)




soonerguru
12-14-2020, 09:51 AM
Oklahoma has 3.9 million people. California has 39.8 million people. So, if California were doing as bad as Oklahoma it would need to be having 43,000 new cases a day, based on yesterday's numbers.

PoliSciGuy
12-14-2020, 10:38 AM
First COVID vaccine is here in OK, will be first administered at Integris Baptist. We're at the beginning of the end of the epidemic here.

https://twitter.com/KOCODillon/status/1338523378316144648

Bellaboo
12-14-2020, 10:39 AM
These numbers are the result of testing. No telling how many are running around with covid that never get tested.

Pete
12-14-2020, 11:07 AM
2,099 new cases today (remember that Monday's are typically the lowest day of the week); 7-day rolling average 3,054.

8 additional deaths; 7-day rolling average is 23.0.


Hospitalization/ICU numbers will be updated this evening.

Pete
12-15-2020, 11:08 AM
2,224 new cases today; 7-day rolling average 3,044.

14 additional deaths; 7-day rolling average 23.4.

Hospitalizations are 1,741 (+77); all-time high was 1,745 on 12/8.

ICU is 471 (+19); all-time high was 482 on 12/4.

jerrywall
12-15-2020, 11:21 AM
Are our Monday and Tuesdays still showing dips due to the weekends? Because these numbers seem lower than I expected.

Pete
12-15-2020, 11:24 AM
Are our Monday and Tuesdays still showing dips due to the weekends? Because these numbers seem lower than I expected.

Yes, usually the 2 lowest days of the week.

And the bad weather no doubt discouraged people from going out and getting tested.

Last several Tuesdays:

2,224 (today)
2,297
1,737
2,736
1,551
1,702
1,331

gopokes88
12-15-2020, 01:27 PM
Here is something scary, if California was an independent country, they would be in second place after the US in highest number of cases of covid. Over 31000 new cases today. That is more then any other country today except the USA.

and they've been the most restrictive of anyone, probably cause you can't stop a virus

Pete
12-15-2020, 01:30 PM
and they've been the most restrictive of anyone, probably cause you can't stop a virus

They are 40th lowest statewide per capita infection rate after it was once very high; the drastic reduction was specifically due to the restrictions.

Their infection rate is way lower than Oklahoma's even though they have some very dense population centers.

BDP
12-15-2020, 04:23 PM
And it's the most populous state by more than 10 million people. Their per capita infection rate isn't bad for the U.S. It's not great compared to most countries, but for this country, it's not that bad.

dankrutka
12-15-2020, 04:25 PM
and they've been the most restrictive of anyone, probably cause you can't stop a virus

and i mean this literally, not with that attitude.

catcherinthewry
12-15-2020, 06:38 PM
and they've been the most restrictive of anyone, probably cause you can't stop a virus

I guess New Zealand and South Korea didn't get that memo.

Pete
12-16-2020, 02:40 PM
Today's numbers have been delayed.

FighttheGoodFight
12-16-2020, 03:17 PM
Stitt presser saying Teachers are going to be moved up in the vaccine distribution. They are currently in phase 3 or 4. I am guessing they are going to go up to be part of phase 2. This is a pretty large group of people and I believe somewhere near one million (that might include support staff as well though).

BDP
12-16-2020, 04:12 PM
Stitt presser saying Teachers are going to be moved up in the vaccine distribution. They are currently in phase 3 or 4. I am guessing they are going to go up to be part of phase 2. This is a pretty large group of people and I believe somewhere near one million (that might include support staff as well though).

One million in phase 2 total, right?... not one million teachers and staff. One million in just education staff sounds like a lot to me.

Pete
12-16-2020, 04:17 PM
I wonder if today's numbers were purposely held to not come out before Stitt's press conference?


3,238 new cases today (2nd biggest Wednesday ever); 7-day rolling average 3,044.

42 (!) additional deaths, the 2nd highest single-day total. 7-day rolling average now a record 26.1.

Hospitalizations are 1,717 (note: they have stopped including presumed cases, which had been running about 50-80 a day.

They are also now excluding presumed cases from ICU and that number is now 481, just one off the record. Presumed ICU cases had been in the 4-10 range.

Buffalo Bill
12-16-2020, 05:27 PM
I wonder if today's numbers were purposely held to not come out before Stitt's press conference?


3,238 new cases today (2nd biggest Wednesday ever); 7-day rolling average 3,044.

42 (!) additional deaths, the 2nd highest single-day total. 7-day rolling average now a record 26.1.

Hospitalizations are 1,717 (note: they have stopped including presumed cases, which had been running about 50-80 a day.

They are also now excluding presumed cases from ICU and that number is now 481, just one off the record. Presumed ICU cases had been in the 4-10 range.

There's a handy tool from the NY Times to look at ICU bed availability, Covid patients, etc:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/covid-hospitals-near-you.htmls

soonerguru
12-16-2020, 06:36 PM
I wonder if today's numbers were purposely held to not come out before Stitt's press conference?


3,238 new cases today (2nd biggest Wednesday ever); 7-day rolling average 3,044.

42 (!) additional deaths, the 2nd highest single-day total. 7-day rolling average now a record 26.1.

Hospitalizations are 1,717 (note: they have stopped including presumed cases, which had been running about 50-80 a day.

They are also now excluding presumed cases from ICU and that number is now 481, just one off the record. Presumed ICU cases had been in the 4-10 range.

This has happened multiple times now; too many to be a coincidence. What an idiot though if he thinks we won't find out.

C_M_25
12-16-2020, 07:59 PM
I wonder if today's numbers were purposely held to not come out before Stitt's press conference?


3,238 new cases today (2nd biggest Wednesday ever); 7-day rolling average 3,044.

42 (!) additional deaths, the 2nd highest single-day total. 7-day rolling average now a record 26.1.

Hospitalizations are 1,717 (note: they have stopped including presumed cases, which had been running about 50-80 a day.

They are also now excluding presumed cases from ICU and that number is now 481, just one off the record. Presumed ICU cases had been in the 4-10 range.

I wish they would quit moving the goalposts on the reported numbers. They’re trying to make it look better than it really is and they have done this multiple times throughout this pandemic. I feel like the world is living in the 21st century and we’re stuck in the 20th.

C_M_25
12-17-2020, 06:50 AM
Have you guys seen the recent report that shows Oklahoma as #1 for covid cases per 100k residents?

...winning?

David
12-17-2020, 08:46 AM
Stitt's big thing all along has been making us a top ten state, so maybe.

oklip955
12-17-2020, 08:53 AM
Wow, the USA total cases for yesterday was 248K + and Caliif was 61K+. The total number of deaths for the USA was 3538. I hate to think of the numbers after Christmas and New Years gatherings. What will our numbers look like? I don't even want to think about it.

OkiePoke
12-17-2020, 09:36 AM
I wonder if today's numbers were purposely held to not come out before Stitt's press conference?




You know, I first thought that too. But I don't think Stitt really cares about these numbers, so I don't think he is trying to delay them. I don't think his supporters care either.

Pete
12-17-2020, 09:55 AM
You know, I first thought that too. But I don't think Stitt really cares about these numbers, so I don't think he is trying to delay them. I don't think his supporters care either.

But he does get hit with questions from reporters at these things and by delaying anything bad (like yesterday) it completely stops that line of questioning.

His press conferences are all about "here are all the things we're doing" and I'm sure he does not want bad jumps/trends to contradict his positive messages.


I'm not saying he is directly asking the numbers to be held, but it is a possibility. He did completely subvert the White House Task Force reports for several months and they were only made public after a discovery by the press.

Canoe
12-17-2020, 10:04 AM
Have you guys seen the recent report that shows Oklahoma as #1 for covid cases per 100k residents?

...winning?


I haven't seen it yet. Can you post a link?

Anonymous.
12-17-2020, 10:09 AM
scroll down to the table:

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesper100klast7days

Pete
12-17-2020, 10:14 AM
#1 by a wide margin:

http://www.okctalk.com/images/pete/covid121720a.jpg

jerrywall
12-17-2020, 10:43 AM
^^ Is that ACTIVE cases, rather than new daily cases or something? Because we've not been averaging near 6400 a day yet correct?

Pete
12-17-2020, 11:01 AM
^^ Is that ACTIVE cases, rather than new daily cases or something? Because we've not been averaging near 6400 a day yet correct?

I dug into the data...

It seems for whatever reason, the CDC has been dumping the data from many days in one day; and since they did that for the entire week 7 days ago, it has greatly skewed the numbers:

HTTP://www.okctalk.com/images/pete/covid121720c.jpg

jerrywall
12-17-2020, 11:06 AM
My math based on your 7 day rolling puts us at about 77 cases per 100k. Which is still very much not good, and still puts us in the high end at #15. But it's better than that 168.1 figure.

Pete
12-17-2020, 11:07 AM
2,975 new cases today; 7-day rolling average 3,250 (3,271 is the all-time high).

16 more deaths; 7-day rolling average is 23.4 down from yesterday's all-time high of 26.1.

Hospitalizations are 1,699 (-18).

ICU is 481, which is the same as yesterday.

Martin
12-17-2020, 11:08 AM
^^ Is that ACTIVE cases, rather than new daily cases or something? Because we've not been averaging near 6400 a day yet correct?

it can't be 'active' cases as that number would average around 32k total per day for the state.

i think it is 'new' cases per 100k population... but i suspect that the calculation is based on the average of the per 100k rates for each city or zip code rather than a single calculation for the whole state.

LocoAko
12-17-2020, 11:15 AM
I'm starting to know more and more people who have lost family and friends to COVID. It was inevitable with our numbers, but still startling. I worry the (deserved) hype for the vaccine will give people the false impression our guard can start to come down.

Pete
12-17-2020, 11:19 AM
I'm starting to know more and more people who have lost family and friends to COVID. It was inevitable with our numbers, but still startling. I worry the (deserved) hype for the vaccine will give people the false impression our guard can start to come down.

Exactly right.

At first it was only a vague worry but now almost everyone knows people who have been infected and the deaths are starting to hit closer to home.

As of today, more than 6% of all Oklahomans (that's every man, woman and child) have been diagnosed with Covid-19. And that percentage goes up every day.

educator1953
12-17-2020, 11:21 AM
I heard on CNN just a few minutes ago that the USA had a Covid death every 25 seconds yesterday. Yes, seconds.

That is so sad.

Libbymin
12-17-2020, 11:34 AM
We've started working from home at our office since Thanksgiving week but we had one employee who is in her early 30's who tested positive right as that started. She couldn't get out of bed and had no appetite for two weeks. She's better now and no longer negative, but she still feels exhausted all the time. No preexisting conditions either.

PaddyShack
12-17-2020, 02:58 PM
Yet my office still keeps colleagues coming in...

SoonersFan12
12-17-2020, 03:50 PM
Yet my office still keeps colleagues coming in...

And yet you are there in your office, stop complaining :rolleyes:

Bunty
12-17-2020, 08:52 PM
it can't be 'active' cases as that number would average around 32k total per day for the state.

i think it is 'new' cases per 100k population... but i suspect that the calculation is based on the average of the per 100k rates for each city or zip code rather than a single calculation for the whole state.

It's in the opinion of the Washington Post that California is the new epicenter of the coronavirus crisis: https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/12/16/california-coronavirus-hospitalizations/

Bunty
12-17-2020, 09:59 PM
I heard on CNN just a few minutes ago that the USA had a Covid death every 25 seconds yesterday. Yes, seconds.

That is so sad.

I don't get why people are so willing to risk exposing themselves to the virus, unless they can't help it from their circumstances. Even if under 40 and so only may get a brief and mild illness from it, being sick from it for even just a few days would surely be a drag. But as someone else pointed out, it can last a lot longer than just a few days.

I'm prone to getting sinusitis once every winter, so I know I'm susceptible to infection and don't want to take a chance with getting COVID-19. People who don't worry about getting COVID-19 probably don't get sick every winter from something.

soonerguru
12-18-2020, 10:10 AM
Bunty, a friend on FB told me that the Stillwater hospital is ripping up carpeting in a conference room to set up another ICU. Have you heard of this?

Pete
12-18-2020, 11:06 AM
3,556 new cases today; 7-day rolling average 3,201.

17 additional deaths; 7-day rolling average 22.0

Hospitalizations are 1,733 (+34).

ICU is 460 (-21).

Bunty
12-18-2020, 12:02 PM
Bunty, a friend on FB told me that the Stillwater hospital is ripping up carpeting in a conference room to set up another ICU. Have you heard of this?

Channel 9 news said that was true.

Stillwater hospital's Facebook page as of this morning indicated the ICU unit full with 30 patients with one waiting in the ER.

pw405
12-18-2020, 02:08 PM
Spent some time converting my spreadsheets over to MS Excel instead of Open Office. Bigger PITA than expected. Also cleaned up the data labels on the trends so that only some highs/lows are labeled. Much easier to read.

Quick Stats:

7-day Average Deaths: 22
7-day Average Cases: 3,201

Total Dead Last 7 Days: 154
Total Dead Last 14 Days: 301

Total Infected Last 7 Days: 22,407
Total Infected Last 14 Days: 42,885

Total Vaccines Given: 2,253
Total Infected: 251,760
*Total "Immune": 254,013

*Total OK Population Prone to Infection: 3,745,987

*(Documented cases only. Assuming 4.0 MM Population. "Immune" assumes one can only catch virus once per life)

Month Summary

As we know by now, November was a doozy: about ~75,000 cases and 421 dead. Avg. daily deaths up by 41% and daily cases up by 118%. To put the case #'s in perspective: From the first case reported by the state in March, it wasn't until September 19th that we surpassed the ~75,000 total cases we had in just November.

Of course, December is shaping up to be even worse. By 12-19, December will already see more dead than all of November. Total December cases on track to grow by ~25% vs November. December deaths projected to increase by 71% vs November.

https://i.imgur.com/qSMMB4a.png

Trends

The trends here show that the average deaths are rising a few weeks after the November case explosion, much like they have every other time a large increase in cases occurs. Hopefully we saw the peak of 7-day average deaths at 26.1. I wouldn't be surprised if they tick up again soon.

From June to current:

https://i.imgur.com/AjGqjMj.png

From April to current:

https://i.imgur.com/vmDTW6h.png

Looking at the 7/14/21 day case averages, encouraging signs that all 3 trends are consolidating which indicates growth in new cases is slowing... however zero growth at these high levels means many, many more will die.

https://i.imgur.com/oeYEKYV.png

ksearls
12-18-2020, 02:14 PM
Heard from a workmate that a very beloved Moore elementary school teacher died today from COVID. So very sad for her family and all her young students who adored her. Just heartbreaking.

Bill Robertson
12-18-2020, 05:57 PM
I donated blood today and while I was there they were hanging posters wanting volunteers to participate in a new Ebola vaccine trial. Not exactly a warm fuzzy feeling maker.

PoliSciGuy
12-18-2020, 07:31 PM
Moderna vaccine got approved, and looks like we're getting 66k doses, on top of the 33k Pfizer doses. Really hope this momentum continues

https://twitter.com/bhrenton/status/1340106390589874176

Pete
12-18-2020, 08:25 PM
Judge placed a stay on the Oklahoma bar curfew until they can have a formal hearing on Dec. 30th.

Bellaboo
12-19-2020, 09:06 AM
On the news this morning, Tennessee has the highest rate in the country using state population average.

d-usa
12-19-2020, 03:50 PM
4,108 new cases today.

Pete
12-19-2020, 05:41 PM
4,108 new cases today.

Ho-hum, just another 4,000+ case day.

I'm am going to be very, very careful for the next few months.

TheTravellers
12-19-2020, 06:00 PM
4,108 new cases today.

Unfortunately, I still think my earlier post is true - https://www.okctalk.com/showthread.php?t=45625&p=1148597#post1148597

Bill Robertson
12-19-2020, 06:37 PM
Ho-hum, just another 4,000+ case day.

I'm am going to be very, very careful for the next few months.
Me too but I just don't think you can be careful enough. Our only hope is that the vaccines work.

Bunty
12-19-2020, 08:53 PM
Ho-hum, just another 4,000+ case day.

I'm am going to be very, very careful for the next few months.

Yes, best to try to stay out of restaurants, especially during the weekends. I went to Mexico Joe's, Stillwater, early Friday, and it was already getting crowded when I left there shortly after 5:30 pm. I still wonder in Mexico Joe's if putting up boards between the booth seating is effective in blocking the virus. It may be safer to eat there on the bar side since there are no booths there. The tables appear to be situated at least 6 ft. apart. But at the bar they start out at a couple of chairs spaced 6 ft. apart, but management doesn't seem to care if the regulars want to grab chairs and be seated together closer than that.

Anyway, Stillwater is no. 9 in having most positive cases in Oklahoma, so it's nothing out of proportion, since it's ninth biggest city in population. Having a required mask ordinance is helpful.

soonerguru
12-19-2020, 09:43 PM
Heard from a workmate that a very beloved Moore elementary school teacher died today from COVID. So very sad for her family and all her young students who adored her. Just heartbreaking.

This is tragic. It's truly sad she had the misfortune of being employed by Moore Public Schools, where teachers are being treated like sacrificial lambs, and where the city refuses to mandate masks, and where the citizens are Covidiots.

I have a good friend who dreaded going back to work in Moore as a teacher. Unfortunately, she got COVID from one of her students (who could have seen this happening) and had at least two comorbidities. Fortunately, she survived it but it shows what an idiocracy Moore is.

Bunty
12-19-2020, 10:04 PM
So with latest figures as of Dec. 19, let's look again at how having a required city mask wear while indoors in public ordinance works out. While true, it doesn't work to eliminate positive covid cases, it does appear to work out better than having nothing:

Stillwater, OK, pop. 50,299, public mask wear indoors required, total positive COVID-19 cases: 4007, Deaths: 12.

Yukon, OK, pop. 28,828, public mask wear indoors NOT required: total positive COVID-19 cases: 5052, Deaths: 16.

corwin1968
12-19-2020, 10:11 PM
This is tragic. It's truly sad she had the misfortune of being employed by Moore Public Schools, where teachers are being treated like sacrificial lambs, and where the city refuses to mandate masks, and where the citizens are Covidiots.

I have a good friend who dreaded going back to work in Moore as a teacher. Unfortunately, she got COVID from one of her students (who could have seen this happening) and had at least two comorbidities. Fortunately, she survived it but it shows what an idiocracy Moore is.

OKCPS decided it was too dangerous for students to go back to in-person learning at the schools on January 4th, but apparently it is safe enough for teachers to report to the building to do a job they could just as easily do from the safety of their homes.

d-usa
12-20-2020, 11:36 AM
4,970.

30 shy of 5,000.

Libbymin
12-20-2020, 11:41 AM
Yikes

d-usa
12-20-2020, 11:41 AM
https://oklahoman.com/article/5678671/as-the-cdc-dicouraged-holiday-travel-gov-kevin-stitt-urged-tourists-to-visit-oklahoma