View Full Version : General Weather Discussion - September 2019



SEMIweather
09-02-2019, 09:54 PM
Really nothing to note so far this month except that it sure doesn't seem likely to cool down anytime soon. Would be surprised if we got our first real autumn cold front before the 2nd half of the month.

It does at least seem likely to get a bit less humid as the week rolls on.

brian72
09-03-2019, 05:46 AM
How many still watch the local TV weather? Not trying to come down on them but you can get many weather forecasts from multiple sites these days. I know years ago the forecasting was more difficult because of limited radar and satellites, but you can't say that anymore. Gary England in the 70s and 80s was probably the premier Meteorologist in the country. Now it seems they have a lot easier time to forecast these days, and its more about keeping you on their stations, with their bait and switch forecasts.

LakeEffect
09-03-2019, 11:03 AM
How many still watch the local TV weather? Not trying to come down on them but you can get many weather forecasts from multiple sites these days. I know years ago the forecasting was more difficult because of limited radar and satellites, but you can't say that anymore. Gary England in the 70s and 80s was probably the premier Meteorologist in the country. Now it seems they have a lot easier time to forecast these days, and its more about keeping you on their stations, with their bait and switch forecasts.

I nowcast with local mets... get my forecasts from NWS.

WhoRepsTheLurker
09-03-2019, 11:40 AM
How many still watch the local TV weather? Not trying to come down on them but you can get many weather forecasts from multiple sites these days. I know years ago the forecasting was more difficult because of limited radar and satellites, but you can't say that anymore. Gary England in the 70s and 80s was probably the premier Meteorologist in the country. Now it seems they have a lot easier time to forecast these days, and its more about keeping you on their stations, with their bait and switch forecasts.
15576

CloudDeckMedia
09-03-2019, 11:46 AM
The local TV guys talk a lot without saying very much, and the bait & switch questions are insulting ("Will Hurricane Dorian affect our weather? I'll have the answer right after this.") Much of it is reading what's on the screen, and anyone who's had to endure a speaker reading their Powerpoint slides knows what I'm talking about! I only watch them when severe wx is threatening the metro.

Anonymous.
09-04-2019, 02:28 PM
Thank you for making this thread. Yes, Dorian is making the weather quiet across most of the US.

Looks like here in OK we will be mid 90s and sunshine through the weekend. Next week things get more interesting when tropical remnants from Fernand 07L (currently in the GOM) is shredded across Central America and pieces of moisture get pulled up along a boundary that will be a focal point for storms and cooler weather across the plains.

Mel
09-09-2019, 06:50 PM
The Fair starts Thursday. Rain can't be far behind.

Anonymous.
09-10-2019, 12:55 PM
Thursday evening storms should develop along a boundary draped from SW to NE OK. Locally heavy rainfall is likely wherever storms develop and move very slowly. Right now the best shot for prolonged heavy rain looks to be just SE of OKC area.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2019091012/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_57.png

Anonymous.
09-12-2019, 12:55 PM
Storms have begun developing across N and NW OK. These will continue to develop across this slow moving [to the SE] boundary.

Short-range models show majority of OKC rain and storm impact heading into dark tonight. Also indications of flash flooding potential across a large swath of the I-44 corridor, including the metro.

Bunty
09-12-2019, 03:05 PM
Severe thunderstorm watch 649 is in effect until 1000 pm cdt
for the following locations in oklahoma:

Oklahoma counties included are

alfalfa beckham blaine
canadian craig creek
custer dewey ellis
garfield grant kay
kingfisher lincoln logan
major noble nowata
oklahoma osage pawnee
payne rogers roger mills
tulsa washington wa****a
woods woodward

brian72
09-12-2019, 08:10 PM
Hopefully this thing doesn't peter out before we get a good rainfall.

Anonymous.
09-13-2019, 09:27 AM
Great weekend weather on tap.

Anonymous.
09-17-2019, 11:34 AM
Cooler weather is coming by end of the week. We will see a coolfront approach from the NW and tropical moisture coming up from TX over the weekend. The combination will happen right over OK, but most of the moisture is expected to flare up across the E half of OK. Cloud cover will aid in keeping temperatures in the 80s.

OKC could see rain/storms really anytime Friday through Sunday, coverage will be localized. Monitoring radar trends will be necessary for outdoor planning.

BG918
09-17-2019, 03:52 PM
The remnants of TS Imelda will move north over the next few days

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/203424_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Timshel
09-17-2019, 04:29 PM
Cooler weather is coming by end of the week. We will see a coolfront approach from the NW and tropical moisture coming up from TX over the weekend. The combination will happen right over OK, but most of the moisture is expected to flare up across the E half of OK. Cloud cover will aid in keeping temperatures in the 80s.

OKC could see rain/storms really anytime Friday through Sunday, coverage will be localized. Monitoring radar trends will be necessary for outdoor planning.

Do you think the odds are decent that we won't see the 90s again this year after this cool down?

catcherinthewry
09-17-2019, 06:52 PM
The remnants of TS Imelda will move north over the next few days

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/203424_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

I hope Alabama is gonna be OK.

Anonymous.
09-18-2019, 08:12 AM
Do you think the odds are decent that we won't see the 90s again this year after this cool down?

We may technically hit 90 or 91 a few days, as upper 80s will be very normal and with sun exposure and lack of moisture content, we could sneak a 90 or two.

But in terms of the mid to upper 90s? Most definitely we are finished after this.

Anonymous.
09-19-2019, 02:09 PM
Rain chances over the weekend time frame for C OK have gone down from last update. The best shots at rain will be across far SW OK and extreme E OK. OKC's best shot at a random storm or rain shower will be during the day Friday and again early morning Saturday - but chances are very low.

Cooler temperatures will still be present. Next best shot at moisture for C OK looks to be around Tuesday.

brian72
09-22-2019, 08:11 AM
Anymore Rain coming today in OKC metro? Looks like it stayed more west of us

Bunty
09-22-2019, 02:00 PM
And to the northeast. The Stillwater area got 2 to 4 plus inches. One of the wunderground stations in far north Stillwater maxed out at 4.05". In that area, stretches of some major rural roads got flooded and were closed. From a wet September, to no surprise Boomer Lake in north Stillwater went over the spillway again. The rain looks to be likely over with until chances of it rises to 60% on Tuesday.

While, fortunately, it didn't come in Texas sized proportions, there was an interesting rain train effect last night, 9-22-19, tracking from the southwest corner to the northeast corner of the state:

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/rain9-22-2019.png

Sirsteve
09-22-2019, 04:56 PM
Anymore Rain coming today in OKC metro? Looks like it stayed more west of us

looks like we really got the shaft on this storm system. All the rain stayed west and northwest and then it basically died when it got here ( .14 in my gauge in MWC ) then the cold front didnt have the storms materialize like they said either. And now the rain chances have been reduced from previous forecasts for the upcoming week as well. smh.

TheTravellers
09-22-2019, 06:54 PM
looks like we really got the shaft on this storm system. All the rain stayed west and northwest and then it basically died when it got here ( .14 in my gauge in MWC ) then the cold front didnt have the storms materialize like they said either. And now the rain chances have been reduced from previous forecasts for the upcoming week as well. smh.

Posts like this crack me up. Weather's gonna do what weather's gonna do, it doesn't care who lives where, who plants what where, who travels where, or pretty much anything else, it just happens.

Sirsteve
09-22-2019, 07:45 PM
Posts like this crack me up. Weather's gonna do what weather's gonna do, it doesn't care who lives where, who plants what where, who travels where, or pretty much anything else, it just happens.

Yes you are correct i just think its funny when they say 2 to 3 inches of rain and my area is in a flash flood watch and we get diddly.....its more an observation than anything. It also happened a couple weeks ago we were in a flash flood watch and got the other half of diddly.......we got squat. I will just have to pray harder to the weather gods

LakeEffect
09-24-2019, 10:49 AM
Picked up 0.95 inches of rain at our house in Edmond last night...

C_M_25
09-25-2019, 09:10 AM
Anybody notice how hot and muggy it’s been this September? I’m curious how are average temps stack up to previous years.

If this is climate change, I don’t like it!! Fall is the best time of the year in Oklahoma!

Anonymous.
09-25-2019, 09:25 AM
September can be very summer-like in OK, just usually more rain to offset high temperatures.

That being said, it looks like the first real coldfront of this season will arrive the first week of October.


Tonight there is an outside shot at a few storms here in C OK, this will be a low chance of storms developing on the tail end of a boundary sweeping through the area. Most of the activity will be focused to NE and E OK.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2019092512/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_24.png

midtownokcer
09-25-2019, 12:23 PM
Anybody notice how hot and muggy it’s been this September? I’m curious how are average temps stack up to previous years.

If this is climate change, I don’t like it!! Fall is the best time of the year in Oklahoma!

Last September was nice. We got quite a bit of rain and highs were in the 70s-80s for much of the month. We even had a high in the 60s exactly a year ago tomorrow. Definitely felt warmer this year.

15615

SEMIweather
09-25-2019, 08:43 PM
The coolest temperature at KOKC all month has been 66 degrees. For context the *average* low in September here is 63.2 degrees. The consistent heat and humidity has been extremely notable this month, and while the high temperatures should mostly settle down over the next week (with the exception of Friday), it will remain very muggy, and low temperatures won't get much below 70 until the beginning of October at the earliest.

We may finally have some relief from this pattern around next weekend, but TBD.

sacolton
09-28-2019, 02:24 AM
Give me that crisp cool autumn weather and crunchy leaves!

Bunty
09-28-2019, 02:29 PM
The coolest temperature at KOKC all month has been 66 degrees. For context the *average* low in September here is 63.2 degrees. The consistent heat and humidity has been extremely notable this month, and while the high temperatures should mostly settle down over the next week (with the exception of Friday), it will remain very muggy, and low temperatures won't get much below 70 until the beginning of October at the earliest.

We may finally have some relief from this pattern around next weekend, but TBD.

It's only been down to 64 during September at my Stillwater station. On the 27th, it got up to 92, kinda unusual for this late in September. It will be interesting to see if this warming trend stays up through winter and we'll have KFOR's Mike Morgan next spring saying how the averages have been higher than usual every month since September. And back to worries about Global Warming.