Appears as though below average to average temperatures will start out the month of July. Slim chances of rain through the week. Worth watching, some of the models hint at a storm complex coming through over the weekend/next week.

I would be concerned with the on air health of Mike Morgan and David Payne if this happened in Oklahoma.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/01/americas/guadalajara-mexico-hail-storm-wxc-trnd/index.html

Haha true...but Damon Lane would be chill:cool:

Perhaps a few random bubbling up storms this afternoon into the evening, placement is random and best shot is SW and C OK today. Otherwise we continue holding steady with highs near 90F and lows near 70F.

We had a pretty good rain with some thunder this AM in far NW OKC. Didn't last long, but came down pretty hard when it did.

Some rain and thunderstorms coming out slowly from SW OK is going through a slow death, but they are trying their best to push toward C OK overnight, but will likely die out. Nothing severe expected.

Should see more heat-of-day storms bubble up this afternoon. Best shot is just E of I-35 corridor.

Looks like we will make a run at 100F on Wednesday here in OKC. Highs back into the lowers 90s heading into the weekend.

Should see more heat-of-day storms bubble up this afternoon. Best shot is just E of I-35 corridor.

Looks like we will make a run at 100F on Wednesday here in OKC. Highs back into the lowers 90s heading into the weekend.

This weather sucks for those of us driving jeeps without tops. Is there a good website for rain prediction and radar by the hour for the metro area.

You can use tropical tidbits and switch to HRRR model. It uses rapid refresh, but there is basically nothing that can (and likely never will) predict where exactly thunderstorms will pop up. But you can use this model to anticipate development of storms based on constant refreshing of atmospheric data.

Tropical development in the GOM is looking increasingly likely with Invest 92L. Dependent on how far west it can travel before being swept up in the jetstream to the north, this could affect OK weather late next week.

Tropical development in the GOM is looking increasingly likely with Invest 92L. Dependent on how far west it can travel before being swept up in the jetstream to the north, this could affect OK weather late next week.

If you follow the historical path of this system, wasn't it here once before, went east, then south and is forecast to circle back to the west in the gulf as a tropical system?

Storms will develop later this afternoon across NW and N OK along a cool front that is sagging southward. This will be focal point for potentially severe storms, but the coverage will be very limited.

This will be a scenario this evening of if you do get a storm over you, it will likely be severe with heavy rain and wind gusts, but the chances of getting a storm are relatively low.

Moving on the tropics, Invest 92L is still gaining strength out in the GOM. At this time, most models are bringing the storm onto land somewhere between TX/LA border and then dissipate it northward into AR. However, there are some models sticking to a further W/SW track that take the storm into C TX, this scenario obviously would have more potential to impact OK weather next week. Will be keeping an eye on this.

Outflow from the sagging MCS across NE OK will help be an igniter for storms here in C OK. Should see some cells begin to develop just to the N and NE of OKC heading into the evening commute. Storms will have random pathing, but likely a S/SW movement due to nature of the outflow boundary plus cold front.

5pm Update: OKC has probably dodged the storm potential this evening, the outflow boundary from E OK is only washing out any of the cumulus towers that tried to get going. Short-range models have abandoned all storms in C and W OK.

Looks like Barry will stay to the east. Potential significant impacts in New Orleans.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/175342_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Hey look on the bright side! It's the middle of July, the temps are above 90, and we are completely out of severe weather season! No more filthy, filthy thunderstorm action!!! Go heat ridge, go!

Hey look on the bright side! It's the middle of July, the temps are above 90, and we are completely out of severe weather season! No more filthy, filthy thunderstorm action!!! Go heat ridge, go!

Perfect Weather!

Ridge of death will be running full duty cycles the rest of the week. Today will be our coolest day with a high in the low 90s. After that highs in C OK will range from 98-102 depending where you are. Lows will be in upper 70s and low 80s.

This will last through the weekend until late Sunday into Monday when we can expect a potential front to come through and provide relief.

Ridge of death will be running full duty cycles the rest of the week. Today will be our coolest day with a high in the low 90s. After that highs in C OK will range from 98-102 depending where you are. Lows will be in upper 70s and low 80s.

This will last through the weekend until late Sunday into Monday when we can expect a potential front to come through and provide relief.

I guess I picked a good week to be out of town. Hope the front comes in Sunday!

^When you miss the "ridge of death" I'd say that is good timing.:)

I guess I picked a good week to be out of town. Hope the front comes in Sunday!

Yep.... I was in Colorado hiking when the first wave hit and came back last Thursday to have a nice evening to play a round of golf.

Ridge of death will be running full duty cycles the rest of the week. Today will be our coolest day with a high in the low 90s. After that highs in C OK will range from 98-102 depending where you are. Lows will be in upper 70s and low 80s.

This will last through the weekend until late Sunday into Monday when we can expect a potential front to come through and provide relief.

Will this high heat come with lower humidity?

Will this high heat come with lower humidity?

The humidity will still be high. That is what it taking the temps into the hundreds. Just checked on NWS site.

Yep.... I was in Colorado hiking when the first wave hit and came back last Thursday to have a nice evening to play a round of golf.

Colorado and especially Arizona and New Mexico rely on the "ridge of death" to bring in the southwest monsoon. It usually starts toward the end of July and typically lasts until early September. That's when frontal systems start making their way back down to Oklahoma with more regularity after being blocked by high pressure for several weeks. The big wild card every summer is what happens in the Gulf as tropical weather can influence the prevailing weather pattern.

So if you want cooler weather Colorado is a good place to go in July/August because of the stormy weather. Denver is still hot but has more clouds and storms around especially in the afternoons. The humidity is also noticeably higher though still lower than in Oklahoma.

https://climate.colostate.edu/images/monsoon.jpg

http://okie.world/photos/latejulytemps.jpg

https://scontent.fmkc1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/66841815_10206080890297373_5090710300840165376_n.j pg?_nc_cat=106&_nc_oc=AQl6dsEmFsDeZmH1VL63f6BOGitN-ZeNJs7suv--NVmBCVkqigjYpmZlLdCo5nT6kSKL4Htu38b7tm6_vCWnBIdJ&_nc_ht=scontent.fmkc1-1.fna&oh=f17cf33c232744d826d560ec6c5bb975&oe=5DBEAF84

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Next week sure looks nice for late July, though.

And just like that, were past the peak of summer unless August turns out to be hotter. Seems like a pretty strong cold front for late July though.

I’ve lived here my whole 60 years. I complain every winter about it being too damn hot and I complain every winter about it being too damn cold. Yet I wouldn’t move anywhere else. It’s just venting. The only thing that truly affects me is snow/ice because me and my crew are responsible for removing such from a large area of sidewalks, drives and aircraft ramp/ taxiway areas.

And just like that, were past the peak of summer unless August turns out to be hotter. Seems like a pretty strong cold front for late July though.We’ll see. I raced/rode bicycles for best time for many years. The Hotter Than Hell Hundred in Witchita Falls was the ride I always trained for my best time at. It’s always the 4th Saturday in August. I don’t remember which year but it was in the 90s somewhere. The whole summer was in the 80s and low 90s so that’s what we trained in. Then that week was in the 100 to 110 range. No one was ready for that change. It sucked!!!!!

Statistically, the hottest days on average in OKC are from July 26th through August 1st with an average high of 94.8 degrees and an average low of 72.6 degrees. Average high stays above 90 degrees through September 3rd,

We’ll see. I raced/rode bicycles for best time for many years. The Hotter Than Hell Hundred in Witchita Falls was the ride I always trained for my best time at. It’s always the 4th Saturday in August. I don’t remember which year but it was in the 90s somewhere. The whole summer was in the 80s and low 90s so that’s what we trained in. Then that week was in the 100 to 110 range. No one was ready for that change. It sucked!!!!!


Hey Bill, never knew you rode bicycles. I was always into bicycles myself. Enjoyed the ride(s) on motorcycles. Hang in there. Catch up with you later.
Brad

We’ll see. I raced/rode bicycles for best time for many years. The Hotter Than Hell Hundred in Witchita Falls was the ride I always trained for my best time at. It’s always the 4th Saturday in August. I don’t remember which year but it was in the 90s somewhere. The whole summer was in the 80s and low 90s so that’s what we trained in. Then that week was in the 100 to 110 range. No one was ready for that change. It sucked!!!!!

I was probably premature on my comment. lol I do see in the extended range that its going to get near 100 again, but I will enjoy the one week break super hot temperatures.

Nice summer temps are here this week. But we will return to mid 90s and some 100s over the weekend. Our next relief wave looks to potentially be here around the first of August.

Here come the drought.

Here come the drought.

Yep, I tried watering the lawn a few days last week but after seeing how yellow it already was today, I already gave up on it.

Still getting hot heading into the weekend. However, the relief looks like it will come Monday into Tuesday with cooler temperatures and a chance for some rain.

Looking even further ahead into the first couple weeks of August, we could move back into a milder and wetter pattern with some NW flow that we had earlier in the summer, returning.

Looking even further ahead into the first couple weeks of August, we could move back into a milder and wetter pattern with some NW flow that we had earlier in the summer, returning.

I hope so.... My soil is cracked and dry in Carter County right now and I need to get wheat seed in the ground in about a month.....Went from being too wet to do any tractor work to being too dry to plant in a heartbeat at my farm.

Mine too. Hopefully it goes the way Anonymous is saying.
I hope so.... My soil is cracked and dry in Carter County right now and I need to get wheat seed in the ground in about a month.....Went from being too wet to do any tractor work to being too dry to plant in a heartbeat at my farm.

Forecast isn't as bullish anymore for moisture as it was looking last week. May still sneak in some rain Wednesday. Temperatures won't be as hot near 100, but still mid 90s aren't too much better with these dry conditions.

Rainfall departure from normal over the last 45 days is full drought conditions. Especially across C and W OK. This period is eating away at the near-record rainfall numbers we accumulated in late Spring.

Sure feels like a drought all the sudden. Hoping for some rain!

Forecast isn't as bullish anymore for moisture as it was looking last week. May still sneak in some rain Wednesday. Temperatures won't be as hot near 100, but still mid 90s aren't too much better with these dry conditions.

Rainfall departure from normal over the last 45 days is full drought conditions. Especially across C and W OK. This period is eating away at the near-record rainfall numbers we accumulated in late Spring.

What's normal for June and July? I know July by itself isn't all that high to begin with. If it turns wetter in August, hopefully we won't be in bad shape.

For OKC, June average is around 5" and July around 3". OKC area is about 8" for June-July, but the large majority of that fell in the very beginning of June. The last 45 days in C OK is about an inch. Which obviously isn't ideal.

This map will update daily, but the running total for last 30 days is shown here: So most of OK has seen less than 30% of normal rainfall over the last month (and more).

http://climate.ok.gov/data/public/mesonet/maps/daily/drought/last30dayspct.png

Yeah, looks like I'm going to be almost completely skunked for rain in July at my house.

My yard has gone from looking like Augusta National to almost completely brown.

Pretty much all of OKC has gotten zero rain since July 8th. Will Rogers and Wiley Post observation sites are both sitting at less than 0.10" for the month.

On the plus side, looks like we could get into some sort of NW flow pattern for the first half of August, which might be conducive to storm complexes dropping into the Metro from Colorado.

I'm working on getting some sent down that way. I was like Gandolf in the mountains calling out a spell for the monsoons to start to group up to a MCS and curve southeast.